Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $87.3800 (0.82%) ($86.5900 - $87.3800) on Wed. Oct. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $87.3800(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(64%)    LQD(63%)    SHY(39%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    EWI(-30%)    OIH(-29%)    IWM(-29%)    EWP(-29%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $85.67(-1.96%)
Resistance Level   $89.07
5 Day Moving Average   $87.51(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.79(-1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.07(-1.9%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2008	88.4	89.07	88.79	87.51			87.38(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-15	-108	0.25	49%	-0.01	-65.3	0.65%	0	-1.3	43	0
2	Oct_14_2008	88.41	89.3	88.99	87.95			86.67(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-10000	-29	-90	0.74	48%	-0.01	-51.4	0.64%	0	-2.1	38	0
3	Oct_13_2008	88.42	89.52	89.25	88.78			87.08(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-30	-10000	-26	-42	0.48	48%	-0.02	-34.4	0.64%	0	-2.1	41	0
4	Oct_10_2008	88.44	89.74	89.57	89.53			87.68(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-17	16	1.15	48%	0	-14	0.64%	0	-2	44	0
5	Oct_9_2008	88.44	89.85	89.73	90.02			88.72(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	7	-10000	-7	47	0.58	51%	0	-3	0.63%	0	-1.2	48	0

6	Oct_8_2008	88.44	89.92	89.77	90.23			89.62(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	14	-10000	3	48	0.87	54%	0	2.1	0.62%	0	-0.3	41	0
7	Oct_7_2008	88.44	89.95	89.74	90.16			90.78(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	13	23	0.83	58%	0.03	3.1	0.6%	0	0.9	40	0
8	Oct_6_2008	88.41	89.93	89.56	89.8			90.85(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	5	-24	1.07	58%	0.02	-4.2	0.6%	0	1.1	47	0
9	Oct_3_2008	88.39	89.89	89.36	89.66			90.12(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	9	-54	0.51	56%	0.02	-5.4	0.6%	0	0.3	41	0
10	Oct_2_2008	88.37	89.88	89.26	89.42			89.78(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	6	-77	0.3	56%	0.01	-10.8	0.6%	0	-0.1	51	0

11	Oct_1_2008	88.36	89.9	89.34	89.42			89.28(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	0	-84	0.35	55%	0.01	-12.9	0.59%	0	-0.7	47	0
12	Sep_30_2008	88.35	89.93	89.58	89.25			88.96(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-0	-69	0.48	55%	0.01	-12	0.6%	0	-1.2	44	0
13	Sep_29_2008	88.34	89.97	89.79	89.26			90.15(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	9	-64	0.53	58%	0.01	-11	0.57%	0	0.2	48	0
14	Sep_26_2008	88.33	89.93	89.89	89.03			88.91(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-73	0.31	58%	0	-16.3	0.55%	0	-1.2	44	0
15	Sep_25_2008	88.33	89.97	89.97	89.09			88.97(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-15	-80	0.43	58%	0	-12.4	0.55%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Sep_24_2008	88.33	90.01	90.1	89.46			89.24(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-21	-61	0.42	59%	0.02	2.3	0.55%	0	-1	44	0
17	Sep_23_2008	88.31	90.03	90.2	89.99			89.01(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-17	-10000	-16	-19	0.46	59%	0	23.8	0.55%	0	-1.3	47	0
18	Sep_22_2008	88.31	90.06	90.36	90.4			89.01(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-10	-10000	-19	17	0.79	59%	0.01	42.7	0.55%	0	-1.4	49	0
19	Sep_19_2008	88.3	90.06	90.49	90.87			89.2(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.2	14	-10000	-3	63	1.34	57%	0	59	0.55%	0	-1.2	51	0
20	Sep_18_2008	88.3	90.07	90.59	90.95			90.82(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	7	86	0.69	64%	0.02	66.3	0.51%	0	1	62	0

21	Sep_17_2008	88.28	90	90.53	90.8			91.9(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	34	-10000	15	92	0.83	68%	0.03	68.3	0.49%	0	2.6	71	0
22	Sep_16_2008	88.25	89.85	90.31	90.47			91.08(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	6	69	0.81	66%	0.03	69.6	0.48%	0	2	67	0
23	Sep_15_2008	88.22	89.75	90.16	90.34			91.34(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	-10000	12	65	0.53	66%	0.02	82.3	0.48%	0	2.8	71	0
24	Sep_12_2008	88.2	89.63	90.16	90.09			89.62(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-4	53	0.36	58%	0.01	94	0.42%	0	-0	64	0
25	Sep_11_2008	88.19	89.58	89.95	90.17			90.07(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-1	67	0.39	60%		92.7	0.43%	0	1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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