Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 9, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $88.7600 (0.48%) ($88.2500 - $88.8300) on Wed. Jul. 9, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $88.7600(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(64%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(25%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    OIH(-30%)    IWM(-30%)    EWP(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.12(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.88(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.19(1.8%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2008	89	87.19	87.88	88.12			88.76(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	14	122	0.31	37%	0.01	27.4	0.44%	0	1.9	73	0
2	Jul_8_2008	88.99	87.09	87.7	87.86			88.34(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	3	109	0.21	34%	-0.01	14.1	0.44%	0	1.7	74	0
3	Jul_7_2008	89	87.03	87.53	87.8			88.12(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	2	114	0.51	33%	-0.01	11.5	0.44%	0	1.6	75	0
4	Jul_3_2008	89.01	87.01	87.38	87.76			87.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	2	119	0.26	34%	-0.01	14.5	0.45%	0	1.1	73	0
5	Jul_2_2008	89.02	86.98	87.24	87.72			87.68(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	7	121	0.47	34%	-0.02	14.7	0.45%	0	1.1	69	0

6	Jul_1_2008	89.04	86.97	87.14	87.59			87.47(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	4	110	0.36	31%	-0.03	10.4	0.45%	0	0.7	55	0
7	Jun_30_2008	89.07	86.98	87.02	87.5			88(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	14	96	0.24	32%	-0.01	5.2	0.47%	0	1.5	61	0
8	Jun_27_2008	89.08	86.95	86.81	87.21			87.94(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	13	55	0.17	32%	-0.01	-13.5	0.47%	0	1.5	53	0
9	Jun_26_2008	89.09	86.91	86.61	86.95			87.51(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	13	8	0.32	30%	-0.03	-33.3	0.47%	0	1	42	0
10	Jun_25_2008	89.12	86.88	86.46	86.69			87.02(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	3	-33	0.25	27%	-0.03	-58	0.46%	0	0.2	47	0

11	Jun_24_2008	89.15	86.9	86.44	86.63			87.03(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	8	-48	0.27	24%	-0.02	-66.7	0.46%	0	0.2	43	0
12	Jun_23_2008	89.17	86.95	86.41	86.47			86.57(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	6	-72	0.47	21%	-0.04	-77.6	0.5%	0	-0.6	36	0
13	Jun_20_2008	89.21	87.04	86.47	86.34			86.61(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	6	-85	0.32	21%	-0.03	-74.1	0.5%	0	-0.6	42	0
14	Jun_19_2008	89.24	87.11	86.59	86.21			86.21(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	0	-92	0.15	25%	-0.03	-80.5	0.5%	0	-1.2	41	0
15	Jun_18_2008	89.27	87.23	86.69	86.2			86.71(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-10000	-1	-91	0.3	25%	-0.03	-73.9	0.51%	0	-0.7	48	0

16	Jun_17_2008	89.3	87.34	86.77	86.23			86.24(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-5	-89	0.27	22%	-0.04	-64	0.51%	0	-1.3	40	0
17	Jun_16_2008	89.34	87.46	86.94	86.35			85.95(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-12	-86	0.18	22%	-0.04	-62.6	0.51%	0	-1.7	32	0
18	Jun_13_2008	89.38	87.59	87.11	86.62			85.94(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-18	-79	0.58	28%	-0.04	-62	0.53%	0	-2	30	0
19	Jun_12_2008	89.42	87.73	87.26	87.03			86.14(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-9	-57	0.55	33%	-0.04	-54.8	0.53%	0	-2.1	35	0
20	Jun_11_2008	89.46	87.83	87.36	87.24			86.9(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-59	0.25	32%	-0.04	-56.2	0.55%	0	-1.5	35	0

21	Jun_10_2008	89.5	87.9	87.42	87.39			86.81(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-10	-66	0.22	35%	-0.03	-52.9	0.56%	0	-1.8	33	0
22	Jun_9_2008	89.53	88	87.55	87.63			87.33(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.29	36%	-0.02	-39.4	0.57%	0	-1.2	39	0
23	Jun_6_2008	89.55	88.09	87.66	87.66			87.96(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	5	-51	0.25	41%	-0.02	-31.3	0.56%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	Jun_5_2008	89.57	88.13	87.67	87.53			87.2(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-16	-10000	1	-67	1.08	38%	-0.02	-35.7	0.56%	0	-1.5	36	0
25	Jun_4_2008	89.59	88.2	87.82	87.5			87.66(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	2	-63	0.46	38%		-45.5	0.56%	0	-0.9	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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