Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $88.9200 (0.3%) ($88.6400 - $88.9600) on Tue. May. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $88.9200(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(64%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-32%)    IWM(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    OIH(-30%)    EWP(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.55(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.61(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.64(0.32%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.45% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2008	89.63	88.64	88.61	88.55			88.92(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	6	5	0.23	50%	0.02	-55.6	0.6%	0	0.7	46	0
2	May_19_2008	89.61	88.66	88.52	88.39			88.65(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.16	48%	0.02	-70.8	0.6%	0	-0	47	0
3	May_16_2008	89.59	88.69	88.48	88.44			88.45(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-4	-20	0.32	48%	0.03	-78.4	0.6%	0	-0.5	47	0
4	May_15_2008	89.56	88.74	88.46	88.55			88.6(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.27	48%	0.03	-81.5	0.61%	0	-0.3	50	0
5	May_14_2008	89.53	88.78	88.48	88.62			88.11(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0.17	48%	-0.02	-84.2	0.6%	0	-1.3	44	0

6	May_13_2008	89.55	88.86	88.58	88.67			88.14(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-1	-10000	1	-8	0.46	48%	0.02	-82.8	0.61%	0	-1.3	36	0
7	May_12_2008	89.53	88.96	88.66	88.64			88.88(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	5	-15	0.11	51%	0.03	-74.3	0.6%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	May_9_2008	89.5	89.05	88.64	88.52			89.03(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	6	-29	0.24	51%	0.02	-66.3	0.6%	0	-0	43	0
9	May_8_2008	89.48	89.13	88.59	88.35			88.93(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-10000	0	-51	0.45	53%	0.02	-69.6	0.6%	0	-0.2	42	0
10	May_7_2008	89.46	89.21	88.56	88.34			88.36(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-10000	-6	-62	0.36	48%	0.02	-63	0.61%	0	-1	33	0

11	May_6_2008	89.44	89.33	88.66	88.5			88.01(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-19	-10000	-6	-56	0.56	48%	0.02	-56	0.62%	0	-1.5	24	0
12	May_5_2008	89.42	89.45	88.81	88.68			88.29(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.16	50%	0.03	-54.7	0.62%	0	-1.4	21	0
13	May_2_2008	89.39	89.56	88.92	88.77			88.16(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-18	-10000	-3	-62	0.34	49%	0.02	-58.9	0.62%	0	-1.6	16	0
14	May_1_2008	89.37	89.7	89.05	88.85			88.88(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	2	-71	0.34	51%	0.02	-64.8	0.62%	0	-1	18	0
15	Apr_30_2008	89.35	89.78	89.11	88.81			89.17(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-10000	-2	-87	0.17	51%	0.02	-73.3	0.62%	0	-0.8	29	0

16	Apr_29_2008	89.33	89.83	89.15	88.85			88.89(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-4	-98	0.14	51%	0.03	-77.9	0.62%	0	-1.2	21	0
17	Apr_28_2008	89.3	89.92	89.29	88.97			88.73(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-5	-95	0.17	51%	0.02	-73.6	0.62%	0	-1.5	31	0
18	Apr_25_2008	89.28	90.06	89.48	89.11			88.57(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-6	-86	0.21	53%	0.02	-65.2	0.62%	0	-1.8	29	0
19	Apr_24_2008	89.26	90.21	89.72	89.27			88.69(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-6	-77	0.31	51%	0.02	-70.6	0.63%	0	-2	25	0
20	Apr_23_2008	89.24	90.34	89.91	89.43			89.39(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-64	0.19	52%	0.01	-78.5	0.63%	0	-1.3	41	0

21	Apr_22_2008	89.23	90.44	90.06	89.5			89.48(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-6	-58	0.43	55%	0.02	-80.3	0.63%	0	-1.4	42	0
22	Apr_21_2008	89.21	90.53	90.15	89.66			89.41(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-9	-50	0.3	55%	0.02	-86.1	0.65%	0	-1.7	38	0
23	Apr_18_2008	89.19	90.61	90.26	89.92			89.4(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-10	-48	2.28	55%	0.02	-86.6	0.66%	0	-2	30	0
24	Apr_17_2008	89.17	90.76	90.42	90.23			89.49(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-7	-36	0.81	56%	0.03	-54.7	0.66%	0	-1.9	32	0
25	Apr_16_2008	89.14	90.9	90.51	90.45			89.7(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-8	-32	1.12	56%		-38.2	0.66%	0	-1.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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