Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 9, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $90.9200 (0.6%) ($90.4300 - $91.0800) on Wed. Apr. 9, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $90.9200(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(64%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-32%)    IWM(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    OIH(-30%)    EWP(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $91.17
5 Day Moving Average   $90.58(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.8(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.17(-0.27%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2008	89	91.17	90.8	90.58			90.92(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	4	-50	0.76	60%	0.06	2.8	0.66%	0	-0.4	37	0
2	Apr_8_2008	88.95	91.14	90.83	90.46			90.38(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-1	-63	0.47	60%	0.04	0	0.66%	0	-1.1	42	0
3	Apr_7_2008	88.91	91.19	90.92	90.5			90.37(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-9	-74	0.33	60%	0.05	8.3	0.66%	0	-1.2	37	0
4	Apr_4_2008	88.87	91.2	90.98	90.76			90.97(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-4	-66	0.42	62%	0.06	18.3	0.65%	0	-0.4	45	0
5	Apr_3_2008	88.82	91.17	91.12	90.87			90.28(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-16	-10000	-6	-47	0.56	61%	0.06	25.3	0.65%	0	-1.3	49	0

6	Apr_2_2008	88.77	91.15	91.32	91.05			90.28(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-7	-28	0.73	62%	0.06	34.1	0.65%	0	-1.2	45	0
7	Apr_1_2008	88.72	91.14	91.46	91.25			90.58(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-4	-3	0.79	62%	0.06	48.8	0.65%	0	-0.7	55	0
8	Mar_31_2008	88.67	91.13	91.46	91.38			91.69(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	6	17	0.43	66%	0.07	64.4	0.63%	0	0.7	53	0
9	Mar_28_2008	88.61	91.08	91.62	91.22			91.53(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-2	-10000	-7	13	0.13	67%	0.08	69.8	0.64%	0	0.6	56	0
10	Mar_27_2008	88.54	91	91.56	91.42			91.17(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-8	30	0.35	67%	0.07	78.9	0.64%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Mar_26_2008	88.48	90.89	91.57	91.65			91.29(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-2	63	0.62	67%	0.08	77.1	0.64%	0	0.4	61	0
12	Mar_25_2008	88.41	90.76	91.57	91.7			91.22(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-7	68	0.31	67%	0.07	72.6	0.64%	0	0.4	58	0
13	Mar_24_2008	88.35	90.63	91.48	91.89			90.9(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-6	89	0.9	67%	0.11	68.5	0.65%	0	0.2	54	0
14	Mar_20_2008	88.25	90.54	91.47	92.06			92.53(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	13	112	0.63	70%	0.09	70.6	0.61%	0	1.6	59	0
15	Mar_19_2008	88.17	90.36	91.24	91.7			92.33(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	8	96	1.37	71%	0.09	63.4	0.61%	0	1.6	63	0

16	Mar_18_2008	88.09	90.16	90.96	91.49			91.54(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	10	93	0.33	70%	0.08	55.4	0.61%	0	1.2	66	0
17	Mar_17_2008	88.02	90	90.8	91.22			92.17(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	7	92	0.57	73%	0.09	44.5	0.6%	0	1.9	70	0
18	Mar_14_2008	87.94	89.83	90.59	91.03			91.71(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	8	102	0.3	73%	0.07	41.9	0.6%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Mar_13_2008	87.88	89.68	90.48	90.8			90.77(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	4	108	0.63	69%	0.07	38	0.59%	0	1.1	61	0
20	Mar_12_2008	87.82	89.6	90.39	90.69			91.25(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	13	112	0.29	66%	0.08	33.7	0.6%	0	1.8	62	0

21	Mar_11_2008	87.75	89.51	90.14	90.34			90.21(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	2	95	0.35	67%	0.07	24.2	0.59%	0	0.8	63	0
22	Mar_10_2008	87.69	89.49	89.99	90.28			91.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	7	97	0.2	70%	0.07	24.5	0.6%	0	2	70	0
23	Mar_7_2008	87.63	89.4	89.71	90.09			90.55(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	18	-10000	-2	79	0.41	67%	0.08	19.3	0.59%	0	1.6	60	0
24	Mar_6_2008	87.56	89.31	89.54	90.14			90.24(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	3	84	0.29	65%	0.08	15.6	0.6%	0	1.3	60	0
25	Mar_5_2008	87.49	89.29	89.43	90.05			89.52(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	25	-10000	6	83	0.36	64%		16	0.59%	0	0.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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