Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $92.1700 (0.5%) ($91.6700 - $92.5900) on Mon. Mar. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $92.1700(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(64%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-32%)    IWM(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    OIH(-30%)    EWP(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.22(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.8(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90(2.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2008	88.02	90	90.8	91.22			92.17(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	7	92	0.57	73%	0.09	44.5	0.6%	0	1.9	70	0
2	Mar_14_2008	87.94	89.83	90.59	91.03			91.71(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	8	102	0.3	73%	0.07	41.9	0.6%	0	1.8	70	0
3	Mar_13_2008	87.88	89.68	90.48	90.8			90.77(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	4	108	0.63	69%	0.07	38	0.59%	0	1.1	61	0
4	Mar_12_2008	87.82	89.6	90.39	90.69			91.25(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	13	112	0.29	66%	0.08	33.7	0.6%	0	1.8	62	0
5	Mar_11_2008	87.75	89.51	90.14	90.34			90.21(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	2	95	0.35	67%	0.07	24.2	0.59%	0	0.8	63	0

6	Mar_10_2008	87.69	89.49	89.99	90.28			91.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	7	97	0.2	70%	0.07	24.5	0.6%	0	2	70	0
7	Mar_7_2008	87.63	89.4	89.71	90.09			90.55(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	18	-10000	-2	79	0.41	67%	0.08	19.3	0.59%	0	1.6	60	0
8	Mar_6_2008	87.56	89.31	89.54	90.14			90.24(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	3	84	0.29	65%	0.08	15.6	0.6%	0	1.3	60	0
9	Mar_5_2008	87.49	89.29	89.43	90.05			89.52(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	25	-10000	6	83	0.36	64%	0.07	16	0.59%	0	0.3	51	0
10	Mar_4_2008	87.43	89.31	89.31	89.9			89.91(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	11	61	0.31	64%	0.08	13	0.59%	0	0.9	50	0

11	Mar_3_2008	87.36	89.28	89.16	89.62			90.25(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	15	31	0.48	64%	0.09	-1.3	0.59%	0	1.4	51	0
12	Feb_29_2008	87.28	89.26	89.02	89.24			90.76(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	10	-10000	14	-1	0.42	65%	0.08	-18.9	0.58%	0	2.3	56	0
13	Feb_28_2008	87.21	89.2	88.8	88.87			89.8(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-4	-10000	5	-30	0.29	63%	0.08	-34.8	0.57%	0	1	57	0
14	Feb_27_2008	87.14	89.18	88.73	88.75			88.76(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10000	4	-47	0.2	58%	0.07	-47.7	0.55%	0	-0.7	40	0
15	Feb_26_2008	87.08	89.22	88.81	88.65			88.55(0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	2	-59	0.26	61%	0.06	-62.5	0.57%	0	-1.2	37	0

16	Feb_25_2008	87.03	89.29	88.93	88.6			88.33(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-5	-59	0.18	61%	0.06	-63.5	0.59%	0	-1.7	42	0
17	Feb_22_2008	86.98	89.38	88.93	88.73			88.92(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	1	-52	0.24	63%	0.07	-54.8	0.59%	0	-0.8	42	0
18	Feb_21_2008	86.92	89.41	89.07	88.71			89.17(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-18	-10000	-1	-67	0.36	64%	0.06	-55	0.59%	0	-0.4	43	0
19	Feb_20_2008	86.87	89.46	89.13	88.73			88.26(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-11	-68	0.5	62%	0.06	-44.4	0.58%	0	-2.1	41	0
20	Feb_19_2008	86.82	89.57	89.32	89.01			88.34(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-12	-44	0.56	63%	0.09	-16.7	0.59%	0	-2.3	41	0

21	Feb_15_2008	86.74	89.65	89.44	89.31			88.98(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-6	-28	0.51	67%	0.06	10	0.58%	0	-1.5	42	0
22	Feb_14_2008	86.69	89.69	89.53	89.45			88.79(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.48	67%	0.06	38.3	0.58%	0	-2.1	37	0
23	Feb_13_2008	86.64	89.69	89.65	89.47			89.28(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-4	-15	0.31	65%	0.07	51.1	0.58%	0	-1.1	50	0
24	Feb_12_2008	86.58	89.71	89.68	89.59			89.66(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-3	-15	0.43	65%	0.08	67.4	0.58%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Feb_11_2008	86.51	89.66	89.67	89.68			89.85(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.2	65%		69.2	0.58%	0	0.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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