Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $88.0100 (-0.27%) ($87.9100 - $88.4700) on Thu. Jan. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.5% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $88.0100(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(65%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(44%)    GLD(25%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWP(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    VWO(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.25% (StdDev 0.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.18(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.63(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.99(1.17%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2008	85.31	86.99	87.63	88.18			88.01(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	2	126	0.26	66%	0.06	41.5	0.5%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Jan_9_2008	85.26	86.95	87.41	88.14			88.25(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	6	118	0.34	66%	0.05	40.2	0.5%	0	1.5	67	0
3	Jan_8_2008	85.22	86.84	87.19	88.01			88.39(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	12	112	0.29	66%	0.07	30.9	0.5%	0	1.8	70	0
4	Jan_7_2008	85.16	86.73	86.98	87.74			88.2(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	15	101	0.34	66%	0.06	16.9	0.5%	0	1.9	72	0
5	Jan_4_2008	85.11	86.66	86.84	87.42			88.04(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	19	90	0.37	63%	0.06	2.5	0.51%	0	2	68	0

6	Jan_3_2008	85.06	86.61	86.73	87			87.81(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	20	66	0.2	63%	0.07	-14.3	0.51%	0	2	58	0
7	Jan_2_2008	85	86.6	86.57	86.57			87.63(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	17	-10000	15	21	0.56	63%	0.09	-33.3	0.51%	0	1.8	50	0
8	Dec_31_2007	84.92	86.58	86.42	86.25			87.01(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	6	-6	0.18	62%	0.06	-48.6	0.51%	0	0.7	56	0
9	Dec_28_2007	84.87	86.6	86.3	86.12			86.61(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.3	62%	0.05	-48.6	0.51%	0	0	52	0
10	Dec_27_2007	84.83	86.64	86.23	86.18			85.92(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-11	-38	0.21	60%	0.05	-42.1	0.5%	0	-1.1	43	0

11	Dec_26_2007	84.79	86.7	86.3	86.42			85.66(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.14	60%	0.07	-31.1	0.5%	0	-1.6	38	0
12	Dec_24_2007	84.73	86.78	86.47	86.57			86.07(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.2	60%	0.05	-20	0.49%	0	-1.1	37	0
13	Dec_21_2007	84.69	86.88	86.48	86.6			86.32(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.56	61%	0.05	-5.5	0.49%	0	-0.9	39	0
14	Dec_20_2007	84.65	86.91	86.49	86.48			86.95(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	10	-60	0.31	60%	0.06	-5.6	0.48%	0	0.1	43	0
15	Dec_19_2007	84.6	86.92	86.48	86.28			87.09(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.41	60%	0.06	-2.8	0.5%	0	0.3	46	0

16	Dec_18_2007	84.55	86.9	86.49	86.19			86.4(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-8	-92	0.64	58%	0.05	0	0.5%	0	-0.8	46	0
17	Dec_17_2007	84.51	86.9	86.61	86.37			86.23(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	0	-71	0.19	58%	0.05	13.9	0.5%	0	-1.1	41	0
18	Dec_14_2007	84.47	86.92	86.74	86.36			85.72(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-6	-83	0.24	56%	0.04	15.3	0.49%	0	-1.9	31	0
19	Dec_13_2007	84.44	86.95	86.94	86.49			85.97(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-9	-67	0.22	54%	0.05	27.5	0.49%	0	-1.6	45	0
20	Dec_12_2007	84.4	86.94	87.09	86.68			86.61(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-7	-49	0.47	57%	0.06	37.8	0.49%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Dec_11_2007	84.35	86.9	87.14	86.83			87.34(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.32	60%	0.08	43.9	0.48%	0	0.6	57	0
22	Dec_10_2007	84.28	86.83	87.13	86.91			86.16(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-15	-25	0.26	56%	0.05	53.6	0.45%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	Dec_7_2007	84.24	86.82	87.32	87.2			86.36(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-12	29	0.19	59%	0.07	69.4	0.45%	0	-0.6	55	0
24	Dec_6_2007	84.18	86.78	87.39	87.44			86.92(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-6	63	0.22	62%	0.07	76.1	0.46%	0	0.2	59	0
25	Dec_5_2007	84.12	86.7	87.43	87.55			87.38(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	4	100	0.28	66%		78	0.45%	0	0.8	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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