Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 21, 2007

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $86.3200 (-0.72%) ($86.2700 - $86.9200) on Fri. Dec. 21, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $86.3200(-0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(65%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(45%)    GLD(25%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWI(-31%)    VWO(-30%)    OIH(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $86.88
5 Day Moving Average   $86.6(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.48(-0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.88(-0.64%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2007	84.69	86.88	86.48	86.6			86.32(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.56	61%	0.05	-5.5	0.49%	0	-0.9	39	0
2	Dec_20_2007	84.65	86.91	86.49	86.48			86.95(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	10	-60	0.31	60%	0.06	-5.6	0.48%	0	0.1	43	0
3	Dec_19_2007	84.6	86.92	86.48	86.28			87.09(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.41	60%	0.06	-2.8	0.5%	0	0.3	46	0
4	Dec_18_2007	84.55	86.9	86.49	86.19			86.4(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-8	-92	0.64	58%	0.05	0	0.5%	0	-0.8	46	0
5	Dec_17_2007	84.51	86.9	86.61	86.37			86.23(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	0	-71	0.19	58%	0.05	13.9	0.5%	0	-1.1	41	0

6	Dec_14_2007	84.47	86.92	86.74	86.36			85.72(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-6	-83	0.24	56%	0.04	15.3	0.49%	0	-1.9	31	0
7	Dec_13_2007	84.44	86.95	86.94	86.49			85.97(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-9	-67	0.22	54%	0.05	27.5	0.49%	0	-1.6	45	0
8	Dec_12_2007	84.4	86.94	87.09	86.68			86.61(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-7	-49	0.47	57%	0.06	37.8	0.49%	0	-0.5	47	0
9	Dec_11_2007	84.35	86.9	87.14	86.83			87.34(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.32	60%	0.08	43.9	0.48%	0	0.6	57	0
10	Dec_10_2007	84.28	86.83	87.13	86.91			86.16(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-15	-25	0.26	56%	0.05	53.6	0.45%	0	-0.9	47	0

11	Dec_7_2007	84.24	86.82	87.32	87.2			86.36(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-12	29	0.19	59%	0.07	69.4	0.45%	0	-0.6	55	0
12	Dec_6_2007	84.18	86.78	87.39	87.44			86.92(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-6	63	0.22	62%	0.07	76.1	0.46%	0	0.2	59	0
13	Dec_5_2007	84.12	86.7	87.43	87.55			87.38(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	4	100	0.28	66%	0.08	78	0.45%	0	0.8	67	0
14	Dec_4_2007	84.05	86.58	87.35	87.47			87.71(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	111	0.2	63%	0.08	68.8	0.45%	0	1.2	72	0
15	Dec_3_2007	83.98	86.44	87.25	87.38			87.63(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	24	-10000	-5	110	0.21	63%	0.08	66.4	0.46%	0	1.3	64	0

16	Nov_30_2007	83.91	86.32	87.1	87.48			87.58(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	7	129	0.4	64%	0.08	70.9	0.46%	0	1.3	64	0
17	Nov_29_2007	83.84	86.18	86.96	87.34			87.46(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	3	129	0.15	63%	0.08	67.3	0.46%	0	1.3	67	0
18	Nov_28_2007	83.77	86.03	86.78	87.29			86.97(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	38	-10000	5	135	0.16	63%	0.07	61.6	0.46%	0	1	66	0
19	Nov_27_2007	83.71	85.94	86.64	87.19			87.28(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	6	138	0.35	63%	0.08	61.3	0.46%	0	1.4	71	0
20	Nov_26_2007	83.64	85.82	86.51	87.08			88.1(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	54	-10000	20	155	0.64	67%	0.1	63.2	0.45%	0	2.5	78	0

21	Nov_23_2007	83.56	85.65	86.27	86.68			86.91(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	-10000	9	138	0.22	63%	0.08	60.7	0.42%	0	1.7	70	0
22	Nov_21_2007	83.49	85.55	86.11	86.52			87.17(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	49	-10000	18	140	0.32	64%	0.08	66.7	0.41%	0	2.3	76	0
23	Nov_20_2007	83.42	85.44	85.91	86.21			86.49(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	-10000	12	122	0.38	62%	0.06	72.9	0.41%	0	1.8	75	0
24	Nov_19_2007	83.37	85.35	85.75	86			86.72(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	9	103	0.5	62%	0.07	78.8	0.4%	0	2.4	67	0
25	Nov_16_2007	83.31	85.25	85.57	85.85			86.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	24	-10000	3	88	0.74	61%		105.6	0.4%	0	1.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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