Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $86.7200 (0.72%) ($86.1000 - $86.8100) on Mon. Nov. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $86.7200(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(65%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(45%)    GLD(24%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWP(-31%)    EWI(-31%)    VWO(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $86(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.75(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.35(1.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2007	83.37	85.35	85.75	86			86.72(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	9	103	0.5	62%	0.07	78.8	0.4%	0	2.4	67	0
2	Nov_16_2007	83.31	85.25	85.57	85.85			86.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	24	-10000	3	88	0.74	61%	0.07	105.6	0.4%	0	1.8	64	0
3	Nov_15_2007	83.25	85.18	85.46	85.8			86.1(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	9	91	0.21	61%	0.06	120	0.4%	0	2	65	0
4	Nov_14_2007	83.2	85.09	85.34	85.65			85.62(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	6	75	0.1	59%	0.06	117.9	0.39%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Nov_13_2007	83.15	85	85.23	85.56			85.45(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	7	55	0.13	59%	0.06	98.5	0.4%	0	0.8	53	0

6	Nov_12_2007	83.1	84.9	85.19	85.44			86(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	13	53	0.12	63%	0.06	80	0.39%	0	1.6	67	0
7	Nov_9_2007	83.05	84.76	85.07	85.23			85.85(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	9	34	0.28	64%	0.07	67.1	0.39%	0	1.5	65	0
8	Nov_8_2007	82.99	84.63	84.97	85.08			85.34(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	6	18	1.08	59%	0.06	60	0.39%	0	1	56	0
9	Nov_7_2007	82.94	84.53	84.94	84.99			85.15(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	8	24	0.3	59%	0.06	52.3	0.4%	0	0.8	65	0
10	Nov_6_2007	82.89	84.44	84.94	84.85			84.84(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10000	-3	28	0.18	57%	0.05	43.3	0.39%	0	0.5	66	0

11	Nov_5_2007	82.85	84.36	84.93	84.89			84.99(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	1	54	0.17	57%	0.06	41.8	0.4%	0	0.8	73	0
12	Nov_2_2007	82.8	84.29	84.9	84.88			85.09(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	3	82	0.34	59%	0.06	39.4	0.4%	0	1	76	0
13	Nov_1_2007	82.75	84.19	84.88	84.84			84.86(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10000	-3	108	0.22	56%	0.07	35.2	0.4%	0	0.9	76	0
14	Oct_31_2007	82.69	84.14	84.82	84.89			84.47(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	26	-10000	-7	125	0.32	56%	0.05	39.3	0.41%	0	0.4	67	0
15	Oct_30_2007	82.65	84.11	84.78	85.02			85.04(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	4	158	0.12	59%	0.06	46.1	0.4%	0	1.2	77	0

16	Oct_29_2007	82.6	84.05	84.62	84.96			84.95(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	42	-10000	3	157	0.17	59%	0.06	47.7	0.4%	0	1.3	77	0
17	Oct_26_2007	82.55	83.98	84.45	84.92			84.88(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10000	-1	150	0.19	61%	0.06	48.8	0.4%	0	1.3	70	0
18	Oct_25_2007	82.5	83.92	84.27	84.93			85.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	10	152	0.17	61%	0.05	57.1	0.41%	0	1.8	76	0
19	Oct_24_2007	82.46	83.85	84.09	84.75			85.16(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	15	129	0.27	61%	0.05	58.3	0.41%	0	2.2	62	0
20	Oct_23_2007	82.42	83.77	83.9	84.49			84.73(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	16	99	0.37	60%	0.05	51.6	0.41%	0	1.8	60	0

21	Oct_22_2007	82.38	83.71	83.75	84.22			84.75(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	19	66	0.22	60%	0.04	35.7	0.41%	0	2.2	59	0
22	Oct_19_2007	82.35	83.64	83.61	83.89			84.91(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	24	-10000	21	33	0.27	61%	0.04	10.2	0.41%	0	3.1	63	0
23	Oct_18_2007	82.32	83.56	83.43	83.52			84.19(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	3	-10000	10	-19	0.19	60%	0.04	-31.6	0.4%	0	2	52	0
24	Oct_17_2007	82.29	83.56	83.39	83.35			83.87(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-4	-10000	7	-36	0.2	60%	0.02	-69.4	0.4%	0	1.2	49	0
25	Oct_16_2007	82.27	83.5	83.37	83.23			83.36(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.21	59%		-82.5	0.39%	0	-0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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