Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 7, 2007

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $84.8900 (1.07%) ($84.4900 - $84.8900) on Fri. Sep. 7, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $84.8900(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(66%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(46%)    GLD(24%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWI(-32%)    VWO(-31%)    EWP(-31%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.17(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.98(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.46(1.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2007	81.97	83.46	83.98	84.17			84.89(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	-10000	10	88	0.41	63%	0.02	70.2	0.38%	0	2	71	0
2	Sep_6_2007	81.95	83.33	83.82	84.01			83.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	3	75	0.27	61%	0.01	69.6	0.39%	0	1	66	0
3	Sep_5_2007	81.94	83.22	83.75	83.96			84.17(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	2	83	0.31	59%	0.01	59.8	0.38%	0	1.3	72	0
4	Sep_4_2007	81.93	83.12	83.69	83.93			83.65(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	1	100	0.28	58%	0.01	58.8	0.38%	0	0.7	70	0
5	Aug_31_2007	81.92	83.06	83.65	83.91			84.14(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	9	120	0.26	57%	0.02	59.5	0.38%	0	1.5	82	0

6	Aug_30_2007	81.9	82.98	83.54	83.76			84.12(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	10	121	0.2	57%	0.01	56.1	0.39%	0	1.7	83	0
7	Aug_29_2007	81.89	82.88	83.42	83.6			83.7(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	5	120	0.51	55%	0.02	51.9	0.38%	0	1.3	77	0
8	Aug_28_2007	81.87	82.79	83.32	83.52			84.02(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	6	132	0.27	57%	0.01	54.1	0.38%	0	2	87	0
9	Aug_27_2007	81.86	82.71	83.17	83.43			83.59(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	5	128	0.12	55%	0.02	65.2	0.38%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Aug_24_2007	81.84	82.65	83.04	83.35			83.36(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10000	4	120	0.12	55%	0.01	74.2	0.38%	0	1.4	67	0

11	Aug_23_2007	81.83	82.6	82.91	83.29			83.33(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	4	106	0.23	55%	0	86.4	0.38%	0	1.5	59	0
12	Aug_22_2007	81.83	82.54	82.8	83.22			83.3(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	8	104	0.2	54%	0.01	94.9	0.38%	0	1.6	65	0
13	Aug_21_2007	81.82	82.46	82.65	83.09			83.57(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	14	89	0.46	54%	0	94.9	0.38%	0	2.3	69	0
14	Aug_20_2007	81.82	82.36	82.51	82.87			83.21(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	13	64	0.93	53%	0.01	94.7	0.37%	0	1.8	56	0
15	Aug_17_2007	81.81	82.26	82.41	82.67			83.03(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	12	44	0.31	51%	-0.01	91.1	0.37%	0	1.7	58	0

16	Aug_16_2007	81.82	82.18	82.36	82.48			82.97(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	10	25	0.9	51%	0	80.3	0.38%	0	1.6	54	0
17	Aug_15_2007	81.82	82.08	82.27	82.32			82.65(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	12	5	0.9	50%	-0.01	77.4	0.37%	0	1.1	53	0
18	Aug_14_2007	81.83	82	82.27	82.14			82.5(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	3	-12	0.53	50%	-0.01	64.7	0.37%	0	0.9	60	0
19	Aug_13_2007	81.84	81.91	82.21	82.1			82.2(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.15	50%	-0.01	59.7	0.37%	0	0.5	59	0
20	Aug_10_2007	81.85	81.85	82.22	82.12			82.07(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-7	17	0.69	50%	-0.01	59.5	0.37%	0	0.3	60	0

21	Aug_9_2007	81.86	81.78	82.26	82.23			82.19(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	54	0.24	48%	-0.01	62.1	0.37%	0	0.6	61	0
22	Aug_8_2007	81.87	81.69	82.27	82.22			81.73(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-4	75	0.31	46%	-0.02	60.4	0.37%	0	0.1	62	0
23	Aug_7_2007	81.89	81.64	82.28	82.28			82.3(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10000	-4	98	0.67	49%	-0.02	63	0.36%	0	0.9	70	0
24	Aug_6_2007	81.91	81.57	82.21	82.34			82.31(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	1	127	0.27	49%	-0.01	62.5	0.36%	0	0.9	73	0
25	Aug_3_2007	81.92	81.47	82.12	82.33			82.64(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	2	141	0.95	51%		56.6	0.35%	0	1.4	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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