Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 8, 2006

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $80.8000 (0.14%) ($80.7400 - $81.1000) on Thu. Jun. 8, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.31% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $80.8000(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(81%)    TIP(66%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(47%)    GLD(22%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWI(-31%)    VWO(-30%)    OIH(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.155% (StdDev 0.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.78(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.68(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.55(0.31%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2006	81.65	80.55	80.68	80.78			80.8(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	8	15	0.15	45%	-0.05	48.6	0.31%	0	0.8	53	0
2	Jun_7_2006	81.69	80.52	80.68	80.68			80.69(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	5	16	0.14	45%	-0.05	40.5	0.31%	0	0.6	64	0
3	Jun_6_2006	81.73	80.5	80.67	80.62			80.8(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	1	16	0.1	44%	-0.01	37.8	0.31%	0	1	59	0
4	Jun_5_2006	81.74	80.47	80.66	80.62			80.73(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	0	27	0.1	44%	-0.04	38.9	0.31%	0	0.9	63	0
5	Jun_2_2006	81.77	80.45	80.65	80.6			80.89(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	3	46	0.4	42%	-0.04	30.6	0.31%	0	1.5	69	0

6	Jun_1_2006	81.8	80.45	80.65	80.56			80.27(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-9	50	0.1	35%	-0.04	20	0.3%	0	-0.5	54	0
7	May_31_2006	81.83	80.4	80.62	80.67			80.43(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-4	64	0.11	39%	-0.05	25	0.3%	0	0.1	53	0
8	May_30_2006	81.87	80.39	80.61	80.72			80.68(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-1	76	0.1	39%	-0.06	25	0.3%	0	1	59	0
9	May_26_2006	81.92	80.36	80.55	80.73			80.75(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	3	71	0.18	39%	-0.05	10.8	0.31%	0	1.3	59	0
10	May_25_2006	81.96	80.36	80.46	80.73			80.68(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	0	60	0.18	39%	-0.04	8.3	0.31%	0	1.1	59	0

11	May_24_2006	81.99	80.35	80.41	80.7			80.81(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	12	67	0.17	39%	-0.04	5.7	0.31%	0	1.6	66	0
12	May_23_2006	82.02	80.33	80.35	80.55			80.69(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	6	51	0.1	39%	-0.01	-14.7	0.31%	0	1.3	63	0
13	May_22_2006	82.03	80.33	80.31	80.48			80.72(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	11	45	0.19	41%	-0.05	-30.6	0.31%	0	1.4	60	0
14	May_19_2006	82.07	80.32	80.26	80.34			80.61(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	12	31	0.22	41%	-0.04	-35.9	0.32%	0	0.9	61	0
15	May_18_2006	82.1	80.32	80.22	80.19			80.66(0.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	6	-10000	8	-2	0.17	41%	-0.04	-43.6	0.32%	0	1.1	45	0

16	May_17_2006	82.13	80.33	80.22	80.09			80.09(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.25	39%	-0.06	-55	0.31%	0	-0.7	38	0
17	May_16_2006	82.18	80.37	80.15	80.13			80.32(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	1	-36	0.09	39%	-0.02	-52.4	0.31%	0	-0.1	47	0
18	May_15_2006	82.2	80.4	80.14	80.11			80.02(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-4	-48	0.11	37%	-0.05	-50	0.3%	0	-1.1	40	0
19	May_12_2006	82.24	80.44	80.15	80.16			79.85(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.13	37%	-0.05	-50	0.3%	0	-1.7	28	0
20	May_11_2006	82.28	80.47	80.24	80.24			80.15(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.2	38%	-0.04	-57.5	0.3%	0	-1	34	0

21	May_10_2006	82.31	80.51	80.29	80.22			80.29(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.1	38%	-0.05	-67.5	0.3%	0	-0.7	41	0
22	May_9_2006	82.35	80.55	80.3	80.22			80.25(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	0	-74	0.06	38%	-0.04	-70.7	0.3%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	May_8_2006	82.38	80.58	80.33	80.18			80.28(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	3	-87	0.08	38%	-0.05	-73.8	0.3%	0	-0.9	35	0
24	May_5_2006	82.42	80.61	80.39	80.14			80.24(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-9	-94	0.09	38%	-0.04	-90.2	0.3%	0	-1.1	41	0
25	May_4_2006	82.45	80.66	80.46	80.25			80.05(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0.19	38%		-85.7	0.3%	0	-1.8	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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