Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 8, 2006

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $80.2800 (0.05%) ($80.1400 - $80.3500) on Mon. May. 8, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.3% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $80.2800(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(82%)    TIP(66%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(47%)    GLD(22%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWI(-31%)    VWO(-30%)    OIH(-30%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.15% (StdDev 0.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $80.58
5 Day Moving Average   $80.18(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.33(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.58(-0.37%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.42% (three month std-dev: 0.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2006	82.38	80.58	80.33	80.18			80.28(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	3	-87	0.08	38%	-0.05	-73.8	0.3%	0	-0.9	35	0
2	May_5_2006	82.42	80.61	80.39	80.14			80.24(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-9	-94	0.09	38%	-0.04	-90.2	0.3%	0	-1.1	41	0
3	May_4_2006	82.45	80.66	80.46	80.25			80.05(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0.19	38%	-0.05	-85.7	0.3%	0	-1.8	45	0
4	May_3_2006	82.49	80.72	80.53	80.37			80.1(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-6	-56	0.12	38%	-0.04	-79.1	0.3%	0	-1.8	39	0
5	May_2_2006	82.52	80.78	80.6	80.44			80.21(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-5	-54	0.09	38%	-0.02	-85.4	0.3%	0	-1.7	38	0

6	May_1_2006	82.54	80.83	80.68	80.5			80.08(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-15	-50	0.17	36%	-0.04	-102.6	0.3%	0	-2.4	39	0
7	Apr_28_2006	82.57	80.91	80.76	80.68			80.79(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0.07	39%	-0.04	-102.7	0.29%	0	-0.4	49	0
8	Apr_27_2006	82.6	80.94	80.73	80.7			80.67(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-1	-36	0.13	39%	-0.04	-100	0.29%	0	-0.8	41	0
9	Apr_26_2006	82.63	81	80.75	80.71			80.45(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-6	-50	0.08	39%	-0.02	-97.7	0.29%	0	-1.5	34	0
10	Apr_25_2006	82.65	81.07	80.81	80.78			80.49(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-10	-45	0.24	37%	-0.04	-91.5	0.29%	0	-1.5	39	0

11	Apr_24_2006	82.68	81.15	80.86	80.89			81(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	3	-32	0.12	39%	-0.02	-77.4	0.29%	0	-0.3	45	0
12	Apr_21_2006	82.7	81.22	80.84	80.85			80.9(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	8	-57	0.11	39%	-0.02	-68.3	0.28%	0	-0.6	38	0
13	Apr_20_2006	82.72	81.27	80.87	80.76			80.73(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-85	0.13	39%	-0.02	-75.4	0.28%	0	-1	36	0
14	Apr_19_2006	82.74	81.35	80.93	80.79			80.8(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-5	-87	0.13	39%	-0.04	-69.1	0.29%	0	-1	33	0
15	Apr_18_2006	82.77	81.41	80.98	80.85			81.03(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-93	0.28	39%	-0.04	-65.2	0.29%	0	-0.7	35	0

16	Apr_17_2006	82.8	81.49	80.99	80.83			80.77(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-1	-125	0.16	37%	-0.04	-56.8	0.28%	0	-1.2	25	0
17	Apr_13_2006	82.83	81.56	81.07	80.84			80.46(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-48	-10000	-14	-151	0.18	37%	-0.04	-50.7	0.28%	0	-1.8	16	0
18	Apr_12_2006	82.86	81.67	81.18	80.99			80.89(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-9	-143	0.2	42%	-0.04	-43.5	0.28%	0	-1.4	30	0
19	Apr_11_2006	82.89	81.73	81.26	81.09			81.08(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-10000	-4	-141	0.15	42%	-0.04	-40	0.28%	0	-1.2	29	0
20	Apr_10_2006	82.92	81.78	81.34	81.13			80.93(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-5	-146	0.12	40%	-0.02	-37.1	0.28%	0	-1.7	29	0

21	Apr_7_2006	82.94	81.83	81.47	81.19			80.83(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-48	-10000	-13	-151	0.13	40%	-0.04	-38.6	0.28%	0	-2.1	23	0
22	Apr_6_2006	82.97	81.88	81.62	81.34			81.2(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-5	-126	0.29	43%	-0.02	-36	0.28%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Apr_5_2006	82.99	81.92	81.71	81.4			81.43(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-6	-131	0.1	44%	-0.02	-39.1	0.28%	0	-1.3	31	0
24	Apr_4_2006	83.01	81.94	81.79	81.47			81.24(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-11	-120	0.13	44%	-0.01	-44.4	0.28%	0	-1.9	40	0
25	Apr_3_2006	83.02	81.97	81.89	81.59			81.23(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-10000	-17	-105	0.24	44%		-53.7	0.28%	0	-2.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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