Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IEF: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 5, 2003

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $83.0500 (-0.67%) ($82.8300 - $83.7600) on Tue. Aug. 5, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $83.0500(-0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(82%)    LQD(57%)    SHY(52%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-9%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-31%)    IWM(-30%)    EWI(-28%)    EEM(-28%)    XLY(-27%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $80.84(-2.66%)
Resistance Level   $85.01
5 Day Moving Average   $83.4(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.86(-0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.01(-2.31%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20030905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2003	87.1	85.01	83.86	83.4			83.05(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-2	-139	0.17	42%	-0.05	-67.8	0.52%	0	-1.3	27	0
2	Aug_4_2003	87.14	85.22	84.05	83.44			83.61(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-5	-154	0.5	43%	-0.05	-73.3	0.52%	0	-1.1	29	0
3	Aug_1_2003	87.18	85.39	84.14	83.54			83(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10000	-16	-190	0.16	40%	-0.06	-76.9	0.51%	0	-1.6	18	0
4	Jul_31_2003	87.23	85.62	84.41	83.88			83.38(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-10000	-13	-192	0.24	40%	-0.06	-76	0.51%	0	-1.6	17	0
5	Jul_30_2003	87.28	85.86	84.67	84.17			83.94(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-10000	-11	-191	0.16	43%	-0.05	-75.2	0.51%	0	-1.4	23	0

6	Jul_29_2003	87.32	86.07	84.88	84.41			83.27(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-61	-10000	-15	-197	0.3	41%	-0.06	-77.4	0.5%	0	-2	19	0
7	Jul_28_2003	87.37	86.33	85.17	84.73			84.09(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-51	-10000	-5	-187	0.12	43%	-0.05	-79.9	0.49%	0	-1.7	24	0
8	Jul_25_2003	87.41	86.54	85.48	84.83			84.71(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-10000	-10	-187	0.03	45%	-0.03	-85	0.48%	0	-1.4	26	0
9	Jul_24_2003	87.44	86.72	85.78	85.03			84.82(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-51	-10000	-11	-172	0.19	46%	-0.05	-86.8	0.48%	0	-1.5	24	0
10	Jul_23_2003	87.48	86.94	86.04	85.25			85.15(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-9	-160	0.21	46%	-0.03	-82.1	0.49%	0	-1.4	23	0

11	Jul_22_2003	87.51	87.17	86.25	85.45			84.89(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-10000	-11	-159	0.12	46%	-0.03	-73.2	0.49%	0	-1.7	21	0
12	Jul_21_2003	87.54	87.4	86.48	85.68			84.59(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-62	-10000	-26	-169	0.5	46%	-0.05	-73.2	0.48%	0	-2.2	15	0
13	Jul_18_2003	87.58	87.64	86.75	86.22			85.71(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-10000	-21	-151	0.18	50%	-0.02	-76.5	0.45%	0	-1.7	23	0
14	Jul_17_2003	87.6	87.82	86.94	86.63			85.93(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-43	-10000	-16	-125	0.17	49%	-0.03	-74.6	0.46%	0	-1.7	23	0
15	Jul_16_2003	87.63	87.98	87.16	86.94			86.11(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-11	-114	0.3	49%	-0.02	-75.6	0.46%	0	-1.8	20	0

16	Jul_15_2003	87.65	88.16	87.35	87.17			86.08(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-38	-10000	-10	-121	0.53	50%	-0.02	-74.8	0.46%	0	-2.1	17	0
17	Jul_14_2003	87.67	88.37	87.59	87.38			87.27(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-29	-10000	2	-123	0.19	54%	0	-70	0.43%	0	-1.1	28	0
18	Jul_11_2003	87.67	88.53	87.69	87.34			87.78(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	-10000	2	-146	0.04	56%	0	-61.5	0.42%	0	-0.7	36	0
19	Jul_10_2003	87.67	88.66	87.74	87.3			87.47(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-48	-10000	-7	-170	0.29	56%	-0.01	-56.6	0.42%	0	-1.1	31	0
20	Jul_9_2003	87.68	88.78	87.9	87.42			87.27(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-8	-162	0.09	56%	0	-52.5	0.42%	0	-1.4	31	0

21	Jul_8_2003	87.68	88.93	88.15	87.57			87.11(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-15	-150	0.16	57%	-0.01	-44.1	0.42%	0	-1.7	25	0
22	Jul_7_2003	87.69	89.06	88.38	87.84			87.08(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-10000	-12	-136	0.2	57%	-0.01	-37	0.43%	0	-2.1	22	0
23	Jul_3_2003	87.7	89.18	88.6	88.07			87.55(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-42	-10000	-9	-141	0.21	59%	0	-37	0.42%	0	-2	22	0
24	Jul_2_2003	87.7	89.27	88.77	88.23			88.11(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-12	-150	0.09	59%	0	-36.6	0.41%	0	-1.6	29	0
25	Jul_1_2003	87.7	89.35	88.88	88.45			88.02(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10000	-20	-144	0.17	59%		-25.6	0.42%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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