Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 13, 2003

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $90.6300 (0.37%) ($90.4700 - $90.7600) on Fri. Jun. 13, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $90.6300(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(83%)    LQD(57%)    SHY(52%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-9%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-31%)    IWM(-30%)    EWI(-28%)    EEM(-28%)    XLY(-27%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.13(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.64(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.34(1.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2003	87.38	89.34	89.64	90.13			90.63(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	-10000	17	102	0.08	77%	0.08	103.2	0.38%	0	2.3	64	0
2	Jun_12_2003	87.31	89.21	89.5	89.84			90.3(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	12	73	0.05	77%	0.07	101.6	0.38%	0	2	60	0
3	Jun_11_2003	87.25	89.11	89.4	89.63			89.95(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	5	56	0.08	76%	0.06	108.8	0.39%	0	1.6	62	0
4	Jun_10_2003	87.2	89	89.29	89.55			90.14(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	16	51	0.07	76%	0.07	108.1	0.39%	0	2.1	59	0
5	Jun_9_2003	87.14	88.87	89.16	89.27			89.64(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	11	26	0.05	75%	0.07	108.1	0.39%	0	1.4	62	0

6	Jun_6_2003	87.08	88.76	89.11	89.08			89.15(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-2	13	0.11	74%	0.05	101.4	0.38%	0	0.6	58	0
7	Jun_5_2003	87.04	88.66	89.12	89.11			89.25(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-2	36	0.06	74%	0.06	98.7	0.39%	0	0.8	64	0
8	Jun_4_2003	86.99	88.56	89.08	89.14			89.57(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	8	52	0.18	74%	0.07	96.5	0.39%	0	1.3	66	0
9	Jun_3_2003	86.93	88.41	89.04	89			88.72(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-2	62	0	71%	0.05	86.5	0.37%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Jun_2_2003	86.89	88.28	89.03	89.03			88.72(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-6	80	0.17	71%	0.05	75	0.37%	0	0.4	66	0

11	May_30_2003	86.85	88.13	89.02	89.13			89.31(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	1	120	0.17	76%	0.07	67.2	0.36%	0	1	78	0
12	May_29_2003	86.79	87.98	88.91	89.12			89.36(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	-10000	6	142	0.1	76%	0.08	66.2	0.36%	0	1.2	80	0
13	May_28_2003	86.72	87.83	88.8	89.03			88.89(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	36	-10000	-3	152	0.2	75%	0.06	68.9	0.36%	0	0.9	79	0
14	May_27_2003	86.67	87.68	88.69	89.08			88.87(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	-10000	4	187	0.18	75%	0.07	69.3	0.36%	0	1	82	0
15	May_23_2003	86.61	87.54	88.58	89.02			89.2(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	59	-10000	7	214	0.08	79%	0.08	70.5	0.36%	0	1.4	90	0

16	May_22_2003	86.54	87.38	88.39	88.9			89.3(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	-10000	15	239	0.41	79%	0.09	72.1	0.36%	0	1.6	92	0
17	May_21_2003	86.46	87.21	88.17	88.66			88.88(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	-10000	8	233	0.08	77%	0.08	70.5	0.36%	0	1.5	81	0
18	May_20_2003	86.39	87.04	87.99	88.53			89.16(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	-10000	18	241	0.13	77%	0.09	69	0.36%	0	1.9	79	0
19	May_19_2003	86.31	86.85	87.72	88.24			88.57(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	-10000	11	229	0.07	75%	0.08	68.3	0.35%	0	1.7	79	0
20	May_16_2003	86.24	86.69	87.46	88.06			88.59(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	-10000	17	208	0.14	75%	0.08	68.1	0.36%	0	1.9	77	0

21	May_15_2003	86.17	86.53	87.17	87.8			88.12(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	13	180	0.07	72%	0.07	65.4	0.35%	0	1.8	73	0
22	May_14_2003	86.11	86.41	86.97	87.6			88.21(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	-10000	14	161	0.18	72%	0.08	63.5	0.36%	0	2.2	75	0
23	May_13_2003	86.04	86.27	86.78	87.37			87.73(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	17	161	0.12	70%	0.07	63.5	0.35%	0	2	76	0
24	May_12_2003	85.98	86.14	86.59	87.11			87.65(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	-10000	22	140	0.04	70%	0.07	59	0.36%	0	2.3	75	0
25	May_9_2003	85.92	86.03	86.42	86.77			87.28(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	-10000	21	115	0.08	67%		52.2	0.36%	0	2.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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