Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 20, 2003

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $89.1600 (0.67%) ($88.4400 - $89.1600) on Tue. May. 20, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.36% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $89.1600(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(83%)    LQD(58%)    SHY(52%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-9%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    IWM(-30%)    EWI(-28%)    EEM(-28%)    XLY(-27%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.18% (StdDev 0.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.53(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.99(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.04(2.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2003	86.39	87.04	87.99	88.53			89.16(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	-10000	18	241	0.13	77%	0.09	69	0.36%	0	1.9	79	0
2	May_19_2003	86.31	86.85	87.72	88.24			88.57(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	66	-10000	11	229	0.07	75%	0.08	68.3	0.35%	0	1.7	79	0
3	May_16_2003	86.24	86.69	87.46	88.06			88.59(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	-10000	17	208	0.14	75%	0.08	68.1	0.36%	0	1.9	77	0
4	May_15_2003	86.17	86.53	87.17	87.8			88.12(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	13	180	0.07	72%	0.07	65.4	0.35%	0	1.8	73	0
5	May_14_2003	86.11	86.41	86.97	87.6			88.21(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	-10000	14	161	0.18	72%	0.08	63.5	0.36%	0	2.2	75	0

6	May_13_2003	86.04	86.27	86.78	87.37			87.73(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	17	161	0.12	70%	0.07	63.5	0.35%	0	2	76	0
7	May_12_2003	85.98	86.14	86.59	87.11			87.65(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	-10000	22	140	0.04	70%	0.07	59	0.36%	0	2.3	75	0
8	May_9_2003	85.92	86.03	86.42	86.77			87.28(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	-10000	21	115	0.08	67%	0.06	52.2	0.36%	0	2.2	73	0
9	May_8_2003	85.87	85.95	86.29	86.44			87.14(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	31	-10000	12	86	0.11	67%	0.06	43.1	0.37%	0	2.4	72	0
10	May_7_2003	85.82	85.88	86.17	86.24			87.05(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	23	-10000	8	68	0.16	67%	0.06	43.8	0.37%	0	2.9	65	0

11	May_6_2003	85.77	85.81	86	86.11			86.45(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	8	57	0.07	61%	0.03	38.9	0.36%	0	2.1	62	0
12	May_5_2003	85.74	85.75	85.91	85.99			85.92(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-1	47	0.08	55%	0.01	0	0.34%	0	0.6	61	0
13	May_2_2003	85.73	85.73	85.87	86.01			85.65(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-6	49	0.16	55%	-0.01	0	0.34%	0	-0.3	53	0
14	May_1_2003	85.74	85.74	85.86	86.1			86.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	61	0.08	65%	0.02	0	0.33%	0	1.3	56	0
15	Apr_30_2003	85.72	85.71	85.82	86.07			86.39(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	13	60	0.11	65%	0.05	0	0.33%	0	2.5	55	0

16	Apr_29_2003	85.68	85.69	85.73	85.89			85.87(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	5	35	0.05	56%	0.01	0	0.31%	0	0.7	53	0
17	Apr_28_2003	85.67	85.69	85.68	85.82			86.02(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	8	3	0.04	56%	0.01	0	0.31%	0	344.1	61	0
18	Apr_25_2003	85.66	85.69	85.62	85.71			86.11(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	9	4	0.33	56%	0.04	0	0.32%	0	344.4	58	0
19	Apr_24_2003	85.63	85.69	85.58	85.58			85.97(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	3	-10000	3	1	0.09	56%	0.02	0	0.33%	0	373.8	53	0
20	Apr_23_2003	85.61	85.69	85.57	85.54			85.47(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.08	41%	-0.01	0	0.3%	0	407	49	0

21	Apr_22_2003	85.62	85.69	85.59	85.56			85.51(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	4	2	0.02	41%	0	0	0.31%	0	388.7	39	0
22	Apr_21_2003	85.62	85.69	85.59	85.51			85.49(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.02	41%	-0.01	0	0.32%	0	388.6	50	0
23	Apr_17_2003	85.63	85.69	85.58	85.52			85.47(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.02	41%	-0.02	0	0.33%	0	371.6	50	0
24	Apr_16_2003	85.65	85.69	85.61	85.57			85.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.02	50%	0.01	0	0.34%	0	372.9	50	0
25	Apr_15_2003	85.64	85.69	85.58	85.61			85.57(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.03	50%		0	0.34%	0	356.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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