Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 5, 2003

Trading Signals: IEF Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond)
IEF latest price $85.9200 (0.32%) ($85.5200 - $85.9900) on Mon. May. 5, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.34% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $85.9200(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   IEF advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IEF advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(83%)    LQD(58%)    SHY(52%)    REMX(-2%)    XLU(-9%)
Factors Impacting IEF price   IEF will decline at least -0.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-30%)    IWM(-30%)    EWI(-28%)    EEM(-28%)    XLY(-27%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.17% (StdDev 0.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.99(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.91(0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.75(0.2%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IEF price fluctuates within 0.34% (three month std-dev: 0.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20030605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2003	85.74	85.75	85.91	85.99			85.92(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-1	47	0.08	55%	0.01	0	0.34%	0	0.6	61	0
2	May_2_2003	85.73	85.73	85.87	86.01			85.65(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-6	49	0.16	55%	-0.01	0	0.34%	0	-0.3	53	0
3	May_1_2003	85.74	85.74	85.86	86.1			86.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	61	0.08	65%	0.02	0	0.33%	0	1.3	56	0
4	Apr_30_2003	85.72	85.71	85.82	86.07			86.39(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	13	60	0.11	65%	0.05	0	0.33%	0	2.5	55	0
5	Apr_29_2003	85.68	85.69	85.73	85.89			85.87(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	5	35	0.05	56%	0.01	0	0.31%	0	0.7	53	0

6	Apr_28_2003	85.67	85.69	85.68	85.82			86.02(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	8	3	0.04	56%	0.01	0	0.31%	0	344.1	61	0
7	Apr_25_2003	85.66	85.69	85.62	85.71			86.11(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	9	4	0.33	56%	0.04	0	0.32%	0	344.4	58	0
8	Apr_24_2003	85.63	85.69	85.58	85.58			85.97(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	3	-10000	3	1	0.09	56%	0.02	0	0.33%	0	373.8	53	0
9	Apr_23_2003	85.61	85.69	85.57	85.54			85.47(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.08	41%	-0.01	0	0.3%	0	407	49	0
10	Apr_22_2003	85.62	85.69	85.59	85.56			85.51(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	4	2	0.02	41%	0	0	0.31%	0	388.7	39	0

11	Apr_21_2003	85.62	85.69	85.59	85.51			85.49(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.02	41%	-0.01	0	0.32%	0	388.6	50	0
12	Apr_17_2003	85.63	85.69	85.58	85.52			85.47(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.02	41%	-0.02	0	0.33%	0	371.6	50	0
13	Apr_16_2003	85.65	85.69	85.61	85.57			85.76(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.02	50%	0.01	0	0.34%	0	372.9	50	0
14	Apr_15_2003	85.64	85.69	85.58	85.61			85.57(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.03	50%	-0.01	0	0.34%	0	356.5	50	0
15	Apr_14_2003	85.65	85.69	85.64	85.63			85.27(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.11	34%	-0.05	0	0.33%	0	341.1	50	0

16	Apr_11_2003	85.69	85.69	85.64	85.64			85.51(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.1	34%	-0.02	0	0.34%	0	371.8	50	0
17	Apr_10_2003	85.71	85.69	85.64	85.64			85.73(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	0	0	0.08	34%	0	0	0.36%	0	357.2	50	0
18	Apr_9_2003	85.71	85.69	85.64	85.65			85.96(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	6	2	0.1	34%	0.06	0	0.38%	0	343.8	50	0
19	Apr_8_2003	85.66	85.69	85.64	85.56			85.67(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.04	34%	0	0	0.37%	0	342.7	50	0
20	Apr_7_2003	85.66	85.69	85.64	85.66			85.35(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	1323	-10000	1556	622	0.06	0%	-0.09	0	0.32%	0	316.1	50	0

21	Apr_4_2003	85.74	85.69	85.64	68.59			85.55(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	67.8	1528	-10000	1797	719	0.03	0%	-0.07	0	0.37%	0	342.2	50	0
22	Apr_3_2003	85.8	85.69	85.64	51.48			85.7(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	131.6	1885	-10000	2218	887	0.17	0%	-0.07	0	0.45%	0	329.6	50	0
23	Apr_2_2003	85.86	85.69	85.64	34.34			85.55(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	170.7	0	-10000	0	0	0.15	0%	-0.35	0	0%	0	285.2	50	0
24	Apr_1_2003	86.16	85.69	85.64	17.23			86.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.04	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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