Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 4, 2019

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $117.6400 (3.28%) ($111.8000 - $118.2500) on Wed. Dec. 4, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.79% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $117.6400(3.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 16.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(42%)    IBB(38%)    IWC(37%)    IWO(37%)    ARKG(36%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    VXX(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.395% (StdDev 2.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.27(4.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.94(14.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.14(26.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   105.1%
Market Cap   $260.885b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 13.56% (three month std-dev: 2.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 5.57%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.17%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.72%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -9.96%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 7.74%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.6%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2019	71.28	93.14	102.94	112.27	111.7	113.76	117.64(3.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	167	110	91	395	0.73	82%	0.71	86.2	2.79%	0	1.9	92	0.4
2	Dec_3_2019	70.78	90.93	99.71	109.04	109.12	111.42	113.9(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	159	150	89	370	0.67	78%	0.64	84.2	2.8%	0	1.9	92	-0.5
3	Dec_2_2019	70.33	88.98	96.6	105.53	105.95	109.65	112.3(3.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	175	260	120	339	1.37	78%	0.62	82.6	2.88%	0	2.1	92	0.6
4	Nov_29_2019	69.9	87.05	93.53	100.85	102.2	106.82	108.37(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	197	360	162	300	0.46	78%	0.46	78.5	2.86%	0	2.2	88	1.5
5	Nov_27_2019	69.58	85.22	90.91	96.76	97.2	102.25	109.16(7.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	186	380	163	256	1.27	78%	0.43	74.9	2.85%	0	2.7	91	1.9

6	Nov_26_2019	69.28	83.4	88.23	92.24	92.76	97.58	101.49(5.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	174	380	161	213	1.05	76%	0.32	78.2	2.74%	0	2.6	90	2
7	Nov_25_2019	69.06	81.98	86.26	89.05	89.47	92.16	96.34(8.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	145	220	133	182	1.9	74%	0.23	83.1	2.68%	0	2.5	90	2.1
8	Nov_22_2019	68.9	80.84	84.74	86.39	86.67	87.94	88.89(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	110	54	133	0.34	63%	0.29	88.1	2.55%	0	1.6	80	1.6
9	Nov_21_2019	68.7	80.06	84.1	85.06	85.03	86.79	87.9(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	140	47	125	0.35	63%	0.1	85.9	2.7%	0	1.5	80	1.3
10	Nov_20_2019	68.63	79.1	83.38	84.09	83.91	85.4	86.59(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	120	52	136	0.76	63%	0.12	83.9	2.71%	0	1.4	82	1.3

11	Nov_19_2019	68.55	78.22	82.64	83.55	83.23	83.27	85.55(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-10	23	132	0.44	64%	0.1	85.3	2.71%	0	1.4	75	1.5
12	Nov_18_2019	68.48	77.38	81.58	83.05	82.96	82.42	83.01(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-50	-14	113	0.37	63%	0.04	86.7	2.71%	0	1	72	1.8
13	Nov_15_2019	68.45	76.64	80.91	82.84	83.14	83.19	82.25(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	20	-6	121	0.41	63%	0.04	87.8	2.72%	0	1	71	2
14	Nov_14_2019	68.42	75.81	80.25	82.94	83.07	83.5	83.05(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	40	16	140	0.3	63%	0.09	89.7	2.72%	0	1.2	75	1.5
15	Nov_13_2019	68.36	74.89	79.26	82.5	82.64	83.09	83.92(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	40	26	154	0.35	63%	0.07	91.8	2.72%	0	1.5	84	1.3

16	Nov_12_2019	68.31	73.92	78.29	81.55	81.81	82.64	83.02(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	71	80	40	163	0.49	63%	0.06	95.3	2.72%	0	1.5	81	1.5
17	Nov_11_2019	68.27	72.98	77.42	79.85	80.34	82.2	81.96(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	83	180	57	161	0.34	63%	0	90.2	2.73%	0	1.5	80	1.4
18	Nov_8_2019	68.27	71.93	76.64	78.67	78.23	80.97	82.76(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	100	230	76	171	0.45	66%	0.01	83.7	2.73%	0	1.7	83	1.2
19	Nov_7_2019	68.26	70.77	75.66	77.16	76.76	78.48	80.86(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	105	140	83	170	0.8	66%	-0.04	75.9	2.86%	0	1.6	85	1.1
20	Nov_6_2019	68.29	69.67	74.42	75.55	75.27	75.48	79.17(6.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	10	25	135	0.93	67%	-0.06	63.3	2.85%	0	1.5	85	1

21	Nov_5_2019	68.33	68.59	73.39	75.55	74.45	75.04	74.52(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	31	50	-1	128	0.61	60%	-0.13	54.6	2.78%	0	1	80	1
22	Nov_4_2019	68.42	67.83	72.84	74.59	74.47	75.07	76.04(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	60	50	29	151	0.6	60%	-0.06	49.8	2.9%	0	1.3	86	1.3
23	Nov_1_2019	68.46	67.03	72.03	74.28	73.99	73.85	75.22(3.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-20	4	162	0.49	60%	-0.09	45.9	2.9%	0	1.4	89	1.5
24	Oct_31_2019	68.52	66.36	71.04	73.93	73.87	73.88	72.78(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	-0	11	183	0.33	59%	-0.13	45.7	2.87%	0	1.2	89	1.2
25	Oct_30_2019	68.61	65.93	70.25	73.05	73.26	74.12	74.41(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	71	90	29	197	0.26	59%		44.2	2.87%	0	1.6	95	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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