Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 22, 2018

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $62.3400 (8%) ($57.0500 - $63.0000) on Mon. Jan. 22, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.23% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $62.3400(8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(41%)    ARKG(40%)    IWC(40%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.615% (StdDev 3.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.79(11.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.12(13.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.41(8.59%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $138.249b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 6.53% (three month std-dev: 3.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 9.13%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.23%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 8.22%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2018	66.91	57.41	55.12	55.79	55.34	57.82	62.34(8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	67	290	84	17	1.43	51%	-0.87	-39.1	3.23%	0	1.3	56	0.9
2	Jan_19_2018	67.5	57.38	54.58	54.31	53.81	54.39	57.72(8.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	50	36	-46	1.53	45%	-0.9	-50.8	3.06%	0	0.1	38	1
3	Jan_18_2018	68.11	57.56	54.36	53.63	53.55	52.85	53.19(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-100	-15	-108	0.57	38%	-0.92	-52.2	2.85%	0	-1.1	25	0
4	Jan_17_2018	68.74	58.01	54.69	53.97	53.94	53.24	52.72(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-90	-22	-132	0.73	38%	-0.91	-49.1	2.85%	0	-1.3	22	0
5	Jan_16_2018	69.37	58.47	55.06	54.1	54.22	54.25	52.98(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	10	-9	-146	0.95	38%	-1.45	-50.1	2.85%	0	-1.4	29	0

6	Jan_12_2018	70.39	58.92	55.6	54.24	54.21	54.65	54.95(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-41	60	-3	-154	0.52	40%	-0.82	-52.1	2.85%	0	-1.1	33	0
7	Jan_11_2018	70.97	59.38	56.32	54.89	54.47	54.19	54.31(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-60	-4	-145	0.52	40%	-0.76	-42.4	2.85%	0	-1.4	30	0
8	Jan_10_2018	71.51	59.72	57.14	55.24	55.11	53.78	54.87(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-180	-28	-145	0.82	40%	-0.75	-39.2	2.85%	0	-1.3	36	0
9	Jan_9_2018	72.05	60.06	58.1	55.57	55.78	54.75	53.41(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-120	-45	-140	0.59	40%	-0.73	-37.3	2.82%	0	-1.9	30	0
10	Jan_8_2018	72.58	60.51	59.05	56.16	56.48	56.44	53.66(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	10	-24	-118	1.72	40%	-0.71	-36.5	2.83%	0	-2.3	33	0

11	Jan_5_2018	73.1	60.93	59.96	57.11	56.99	56.81	58.21(3.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-30	-16	-100	0.84	52%	-0.64	-33.6	2.7%	0	-1.1	41	0
12	Jan_4_2018	73.57	60.96	60.42	58.01	57.86	56.52	56.03(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-170	-47	-99	0.85	48%	-0.69	-28.6	2.76%	0	-2	27	0
13	Jan_3_2018	74.08	61.16	61.03	59.39	59.52	57.18	56.53(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-76	-270	-75	-80	0.79	57%	-0.66	-14.6	2.82%	0	-2	43	0
14	Jan_2_2018	74.57	61.36	61.63	61.06	61.41	59.2	56.35(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-64	-230	-70	-44	1.91	57%	-1.05	8.1	3.12%	0	-2.5	41	0
15	Dec_29_2017	75.36	61.64	62.22	62.34	62.89	61.86	58.42(-6.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-33	-90	-41	-10	1.21	60%	-0.57	26.2	3.11%	0	-1.9	44	0

16	Dec_28_2017	75.79	61.81	62.59	63.15	63.36	63.61	62.71(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	40	-4	20	0.64	68%	-0.54	42.4	2.98%	0	0.6	56	0
17	Dec_27_2017	76.2	61.68	62.72	63.18	63.17	63.93	62.96(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	80	22	49	0.51	68%	-0.57	37.8	2.98%	0	0.8	66	0
18	Dec_26_2017	76.64	61.49	62.51	62.91	62.64	63.11	64.85(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	40	22	49	0.47	68%	-0.96	27.2	2.99%	0	2.1	67	0
19	Dec_22_2017	77.38	61.49	62.14	62.36	62.16	62.41	62.78(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	20	9	39	0.47	49%	-0.62	14	2.98%	0	1.1	60	0
20	Dec_21_2017	77.86	61.2	62.03	62.12	61.96	62.16	62.44(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	6	30	0.42	36%	-0.55	20	3.61%	0	0.8	54	0

21	Dec_20_2017	78.29	61.18	61.93	61.96	61.81	61.9	62.85(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	3	0	-2	19	0.42	36%	-0.61	26.7	4.74%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Dec_19_2017	78.77	61.11	61.49	62.23	62.1	61.76	61.63(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-40	-1	20	0.5	36%	-0.71	43.5	4.74%	0	0.4	56	0
23	Dec_18_2017	79.33	61.07	61.27	62.03	62.58	61.73	62.08(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-70	-6	16	0.46	36%	-0.92	40.3	4.74%	0	0.7	60	0
24	Dec_15_2017	80.07	60.99	61.05	61.88	62.44	62.44	61.62(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	30	-11	14	1.24	41%	-0.85	40	4.74%	0	0.4	59	0
25	Dec_14_2017	80.76	60.91	61	61.89	62.46	63.44	61.61(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	140	12	20	0.52	40%		28.6	4.87%	0	0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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