Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $62.9600 (-2.91%) ($62.8100 - $65.9500) on Wed. Dec. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.98% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $62.9600(-2.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(41%)    ARKG(40%)    IWC(40%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.49% (StdDev 2.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.18(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.72(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.68(2.08%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $139.624b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 2.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.34%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.91%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.2%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.77%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2017	76.2	61.68	62.72	63.18	63.17	63.93	62.96(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	80	22	49	0.51	68%	-0.57	37.8	2.98%	0	0.8	66	INF
2	Dec_26_2017	76.64	61.49	62.51	62.91	62.64	63.11	64.85(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	40	22	49	0.47	68%	-0.96	27.2	2.99%	0	2.1	67	INF
3	Dec_22_2017	77.38	61.49	62.14	62.36	62.16	62.41	62.78(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	20	9	39	0.47	49%	-0.62	14	2.98%	0	1.1	60	INF
4	Dec_21_2017	77.86	61.2	62.03	62.12	61.96	62.16	62.44(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	6	30	0.42	36%	-0.55	20	3.61%	0	0.8	54	INF
5	Dec_20_2017	78.29	61.18	61.93	61.96	61.81	61.9	62.85(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	3	0	-2	19	0.42	36%	-0.61	26.7	4.74%	0	1.1	54	INF

6	Dec_19_2017	78.77	61.11	61.49	62.23	62.1	61.76	61.63(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-40	-1	20	0.5	36%	-0.71	43.5	4.74%	0	0.4	56	INF
7	Dec_18_2017	79.33	61.07	61.27	62.03	62.58	61.73	62.08(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-70	-6	16	0.46	36%	-0.92	40.3	4.74%	0	0.7	60	INF
8	Dec_15_2017	80.07	60.99	61.05	61.88	62.44	62.44	61.62(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	30	-11	14	1.24	41%	-0.85	40	4.74%	0	0.4	59	INF
9	Dec_14_2017	80.76	60.91	61	61.89	62.46	63.44	61.61(-4.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	140	12	20	0.52	40%	-0.82	28.6	4.87%	0	0.5	46	INF
10	Dec_13_2017	81.43	60.79	60.97	61.86	62.19	62.45	64.2(5.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	24	50	24	23	1.36	37%	-0.8	10.5	4.87%	0	2.4	54	INF

11	Dec_12_2017	82.09	60.5	60.53	60.66	61.18	61.48	60.64(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	60	1	-3	0.35	30%	-0.82	-36.2	4.88%	0	0.1	47	INF
12	Dec_11_2017	82.77	60.49	60.39	60.39	60.58	61.93	61.34(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	170	15	-3	0.38	29%	-0.8	-58.2	5.14%	0	0.7	52	INF
13	Dec_8_2017	83.44	60.44	60.17	60.09	60.11	60.88	61.68(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	12	90	18	-8	0.49	29%	-0.81	-81.6	5.14%	0	1	53	INF
14	Dec_7_2017	84.12	60.51	60.28	60	59.85	59.24	61.46(5.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-5	-80	-3	-12	0.68	29%	-0.77	-71.8	5.14%	0	0.7	56	INF
15	Dec_6_2017	84.77	60.64	60.32	59.99	60.22	59.35	58.2(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-90	-16	-12	0.64	26%	-0.78	-64	5.08%	0	-1.5	50	INF

16	Dec_5_2017	85.44	60.97	60.69	60.38	60.72	60.46	59.26(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10	-6	2	0.51	26%	-0.78	-45.8	5.08%	0	-0.9	55	INF
17	Dec_4_2017	86.11	61.25	60.86	60.35	60.73	61.09	59.87(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	60	4	6	0.33	26%	-0.79	-38.4	5.08%	0	-0.7	49	INF
18	Dec_1_2017	86.8	61.5	60.96	60.2	60.43	60.98	61.21(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	80	3	5	0.45	26%	-0.78	-30.6	5.12%	0	-0.1	54	INF
19	Nov_30_2017	87.48	61.56	60.84	60.6	60.47	60.38	61.41(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	0	-20	0	1	0.43	26%	-0.76	-19.2	5.1%	0	-0.1	42	INF
20	Nov_29_2017	88.15	61.72	60.61	60.77	61.05	59.87	60.13(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-120	-12	-11	0.68	26%	-0.74	-6.9	5.1%	0	-0.7	36	INF

21	Nov_28_2017	88.81	61.81	60.49	61.1	61.59	60.57	59.15(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-90	-21	-22	1.15	26%	-0.69	-3.7	5.09%	0	-1.2	31	INF
22	Nov_27_2017	89.43	62.02	60.64	61.42	62	62.23	59.12(-6.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	50	-5	-21	1.15	26%	-0.73	-4.4	5.1%	0	-1.4	30	INF
23	Nov_24_2017	90.09	62.16	60.78	61.74	61.85	62.62	63.2(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	90	17	-17	0.19	30%	-1.02	-12	5.05%	0	0.5	40	INF
24	Nov_22_2017	91.02	61.97	60.76	61.08	61.13	61.76	62.24(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	70	14	-24	0.49	30%	-0.32	-36.5	5.04%	0	0.1	49	INF
25	Nov_21_2017	91.31	61.88	60.93	60.45	60.54	61.07	61.8(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	70	14	-32	0.63	30%		-58.3	5.05%	0	-0	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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