Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $121.0700 (-1.35%) ($120.3300 - $123.2000) on Fri. Jun. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $121.0700(-1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $122.8
5 Day Moving Average   $123.82(-2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.99(-3.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.8(-1.41%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $268.492b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.45%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.87%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.88%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2017	118.27	122.8	125.99	123.82	123.36	122.23	121.07(-1.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-41	-80	-60	18	0.23	50%	0.08	57.7	2.22%	0	-0.4	57	0
2	Jun_29_2017	118.18	122.73	125.86	126.07	125.77	122.73	122.73(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-47	-180	-77	44	0.35	50%	0.08	70.6	2.23%	0	0	62	0
3	Jun_28_2017	118.08	122.3	125.52	127.63	127.75	124.5	122.99(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-85	-180	-128	44	0.49	50%	0.08	70.3	2.23%	0	0.1	58	0
4	Jun_27_2017	117.98	121.8	125.46	128.72	129.48	128.81	122.01(-6.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-21	-20	-58	92	0.5	50%	0.08	67.7	2.24%	0	0	55	0
5	Jun_26_2017	117.89	121.19	125.3	129.31	129.82	131	130.31(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	80	46	153	0.42	56%	0.18	65.9	2.08%	0	1.5	67	0

6	Jun_23_2017	117.68	120.27	124.07	128.42	128.54	130.14	132.29(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	102	90	85	154	0.39	56%	0.21	63.3	2.07%	0	2	67	0
7	Jun_22_2017	117.43	119.37	122.48	125.64	126.67	128.64	130.57(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	106	130	101	119	0.37	56%	0.2	55.8	2.07%	0	2.1	68	0
8	Jun_21_2017	117.19	118.66	121.23	123.15	123.89	126.95	128.4(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	95	190	94	97	0.52	50%	0.16	52.3	2.06%	0	2.1	74	0
9	Jun_20_2017	117	117.86	120.3	121.82	121.9	124.7	125(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	114	160	117	104	0.41	48%	0.17	42.4	2.18%	0	1.7	73	0
10	Jun_19_2017	116.8	117.28	119.72	120.7	120.49	120.83	125.82(6.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	72	10	65	94	0.63	48%	0.14	32.2	2.18%	0	2.2	77	0

11	Jun_16_2017	116.64	116.57	119.14	119.13	119.5	119.1	118.4(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10	-18	65	0.47	42%	0.1	17.4	2.04%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Jun_15_2017	116.52	116.44	119.24	118.79	119.2	120.15	118.12(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	70	11	82	0.28	46%	0.09	15.1	2.04%	0	0.5	55	0
13	Jun_14_2017	116.41	116.25	118.82	118.93	118.76	119.9	121.76(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	60	46	90	0.33	44%	0.14	14.1	2.05%	0	1.6	55	0
14	Jun_13_2017	116.25	116.09	117.86	118.54	118.56	118.25	119.41(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-20	13	69	0.36	44%	0.13	16.1	2.11%	0	1	60	0
15	Jun_12_2017	116.1	116.01	116.84	118.6	118.63	117.62	117.98(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-26	-60	-47	36	0.29	44%	0.07	21.8	2.11%	0	0.6	57	0

16	Jun_9_2017	116.02	115.96	116.29	119.2	119.51	118.87	116.67(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-30	-31	52	0.3	44%	0.02	25.1	2.11%	0	0.2	58	0
17	Jun_8_2017	116	115.91	116.15	119.71	120.14	119.64	118.82(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-20	7	75	0.22	47%	0.03	27.5	2.1%	0	0.9	54	0
18	Jun_7_2017	115.97	115.75	115.97	118.59	119.41	120.14	119.82(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	60	25	74	0.43	45%	0.05	23	2.13%	0	1.2	57	0
19	Jun_6_2017	115.91	115.55	115.27	117	117.73	120.64	119.71(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	94	190	102	69	0.32	45%	0.03	12.2	2.18%	0	1.3	49	0
20	Jun_5_2017	115.87	115.29	114.63	114.77	114.9	118.68	120.99(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	114	230	138	43	0.48	45%	0.06	-6.6	2.17%	0	1.9	52	0

21	Jun_2_2017	115.8	115.13	113.7	113	112.4	114.82	119.22(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	76	130	103	-6	0.76	45%	0.09	-14.4	2.17%	0	1.5	52	0
22	Jun_1_2017	115.7	115.13	113.29	112.21	111.61	111.11	113.2(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-50	6	-59	0.43	40%	0.07	-16.7	2.07%	0	-0.7	47	0
23	May_31_2017	115.62	115	113.39	113.07	112.57	109.99	111.9(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-170	-73	-82	0.58	40%	0.05	-8.9	2.1%	0	-1.1	45	0
24	May_30_2017	115.56	115.18	114.11	113.29	114.05	112.11	108.52(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-91	-100	-94	-83	0.33	36%	0.11	-6.2	2.06%	0	-2.6	39	0
25	May_26_2017	115.43	115.49	115.14	114.33	114.84	115.15	112.15(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	30	-19	-30	0.25	44%		11.1	2.1%	0	-1.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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