Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $118.8200 (-0.83%) ($118.5700 - $121.6200) on Thu. Jun. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $118.8200(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.71(-0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.15(2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.91(2.51%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $263.502b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.54%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.36%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.61%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2017	116	115.91	116.15	119.71	120.14	119.64	118.82(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-20	7	75	0.22	47%	0.03	27.5	2.1%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Jun_7_2017	115.97	115.75	115.97	118.59	119.41	120.14	119.82(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	60	25	74	0.43	45%	0.05	23	2.13%	0	1.2	57	0
3	Jun_6_2017	115.91	115.55	115.27	117	117.73	120.64	119.71(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	94	190	102	69	0.32	45%	0.03	12.2	2.18%	0	1.3	49	0
4	Jun_5_2017	115.87	115.29	114.63	114.77	114.9	118.68	120.99(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	114	230	138	43	0.48	45%	0.06	-6.6	2.17%	0	1.9	52	0
5	Jun_2_2017	115.8	115.13	113.7	113	112.4	114.82	119.22(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	76	130	103	-6	0.76	45%	0.09	-14.4	2.17%	0	1.5	52	0

6	Jun_1_2017	115.7	115.13	113.29	112.21	111.61	111.11	113.2(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-50	6	-59	0.43	40%	0.07	-16.7	2.07%	0	-0.7	47	0
7	May_31_2017	115.62	115	113.39	113.07	112.57	109.99	111.9(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-170	-73	-82	0.58	40%	0.05	-8.9	2.1%	0	-1.1	45	0
8	May_30_2017	115.56	115.18	114.11	113.29	114.05	112.11	108.52(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-91	-100	-94	-83	0.33	36%	0.11	-6.2	2.06%	0	-2.6	39	0
9	May_26_2017	115.43	115.49	115.14	114.33	114.84	115.15	112.15(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	30	-19	-30	0.25	44%	0.05	11.1	2.1%	0	-1.5	47	0
10	May_25_2017	115.37	115.53	115.66	114.35	114.72	116	115.26(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	28	90	40	-10	0.23	46%	0.06	21.2	2.09%	0	-0.1	44	0

11	May_24_2017	115.3	115.44	115.72	114.49	114.26	114.54	117.53(4.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	10	34	-15	0.48	46%	0.13	35.6	2.09%	0	1	50	0
12	May_23_2017	115.15	115.24	115.54	113.84	114.15	113.43	112.99(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-40	-34	-45	0.28	37%	-0.02	45.1	2.06%	0	-1.1	53	0
13	May_22_2017	115.17	115.34	115.91	115.16	114.78	113.98	113.72(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-60	-48	-29	0.36	37%	0.04	76.4	2.18%	0	-0.7	49	0
14	May_19_2017	115.12	115.24	116.07	116.13	116.21	114.86	112.27(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-30	-80	-37	-10	0.4	37%	0.03	80.4	2.18%	0	-1.1	50	0
15	May_18_2017	115.09	115.08	116.74	117.1	117.17	115.57	115.95(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-35	-90	-50	12	0.26	40%	0.02	80.5	2.17%	0	0.3	58	0

16	May_17_2017	115.07	114.68	116.87	117.08	117.5	117.55	114.29(-4.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	10	-27	31	0.33	40%	0.1	71.6	2.18%	0	-0.1	54	0
17	May_16_2017	114.96	114.29	116.79	117.41	117.29	118.76	119.59(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	80	47	66	0.26	43%	0.04	65.4	2.11%	0	1.3	64	0
18	May_15_2017	114.91	113.65	116.33	116.79	116.51	117.45	118.53(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	50	55	62	0.3	48%	0.13	58.9	2.12%	0	1.2	58	0
19	May_12_2017	114.76	113.1	115.85	116.06	115.74	115.83	117.15(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-0	2	35	0.35	54%	0.13	54.3	2.26%	0	1	63	0
20	May_11_2017	114.61	112.62	115.38	116.38	115.86	115.56	115.84(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-30	-14	44	0.36	54%	0.1	55	2.27%	0	0.8	67	0

21	May_10_2017	114.5	112.13	115.14	116.67	116.61	115.66	115.95(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-60	-11	62	0.24	57%	0.07	51.1	2.29%	0	0.9	68	0
22	May_9_2017	114.42	111.75	114.89	116.03	116.97	116.16	116.48(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-20	-21	65	0.37	57%	0.05	43.5	2.38%	0	1.2	72	0
23	May_8_2017	114.36	111.36	114.7	115.76	116.47	117.55	114.9(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	80	4	91	0.42	57%	0.05	39.7	2.38%	0	0.9	67	0
24	May_5_2017	114.3	111.05	114.35	115.53	115.87	117.78	118.74(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	92	120	79	130	0.39	60%	0.11	33.9	2.32%	0	2	72	0
25	May_4_2017	114.17	110.51	113.28	114.25	114.51	115.4	117.29(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	60	53	106	0.9	60%		22.4	2.33%	0	2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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