Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ICPT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $116.0100 (-6.11%) ($114.5800 - $124.2000) on Tue. Mar. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.07% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $116.0100(-6.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.535% (StdDev 3.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.1%

Resistance Level   $124.23
5 Day Moving Average   $123.17(-5.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.25(-6.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.23(-6.62%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $257.271b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 3.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.82%(33%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 2.53%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -3.49%(37%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 3.91%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.29%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2017	112.97	124.23	124.25	123.17	123.46	121.87	116.01(-6.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-58	-80	-61	-48	0.76	60%	-0.07	-37.5	3.07%	0	-2.3	32	0
2	Mar_20_2017	113.05	124.74	124.94	124.34	124.63	124.51	123.56(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	0	-16	-29	0.27	65%	0	-29.3	3.02%	0	-0.4	44	0
3	Mar_17_2017	113.05	124.97	125.2	125.19	124.9	125.05	125.23(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	0	-5	-16	0.23	65%	-0.03	-7.1	2.99%	0	0.1	52	0
4	Mar_16_2017	113.08	125.18	125.36	125.64	125.65	124.74	125.2(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-50	-3	-0	0.22	65%	-0.04	19.9	3.02%	0	0	61	0
5	Mar_15_2017	113.13	125.52	125.49	125.67	125.92	124.76	125.87(3.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-23	-60	-32	4	0.36	65%	-0.04	43.1	3.04%	0	0.1	66	0

6	Mar_14_2017	113.18	125.56	125.76	125.57	126.26	126.56	121.84(-4.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	30	-6	23	0.33	60%	-0.1	59.1	3.02%	0	-1	51	0
7	Mar_13_2017	113.29	125.64	126.37	125.54	126.03	127.09	127.8(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	70	32	42	0.24	64%	-0.09	72.5	3%	0	0.6	53	0
8	Mar_10_2017	113.39	125.2	126.07	125.19	124.93	125.97	127.5(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	50	19	29	0.25	64%	-0.1	75.8	2.98%	0	0.6	48	0
9	Mar_9_2017	113.5	124.51	125.3	125.09	124.78	124.97	125.35(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	0	14	11	0.32	64%	-0.12	68.2	3%	0	0.2	44	0
10	Mar_8_2017	113.64	123.94	124.44	125.35	125.04	123.88	125.37(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-70	-28	-28	0.55	64%	-0.14	67	3.02%	0	0.3	41	0

11	Mar_7_2017	113.8	123.39	124.19	126.07	126.26	124.6	121.68(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-90	-48	-36	0.36	62%	-0.16	69.8	3%	0	-0.3	45	0
12	Mar_6_2017	113.98	123	124.58	127.25	127.75	126.2	126.03(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-70	-28	-14	0.29	66%	-0.15	76.7	2.98%	0	0.5	55	0
13	Mar_3_2017	114.15	122.26	124.76	127.02	127.8	127.91	127.03(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	20	-4	8	0.28	66%	-0.15	70.8	2.99%	0	0.7	61	0
14	Mar_2_2017	114.32	121.34	124.97	125.45	126.71	129.3	126.62(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	170	68	48	0.66	66%	-0.17	60.6	3.02%	0	0.7	66	0
15	Mar_1_2017	114.51	120.4	125.49	123.31	123.76	127.68	128.99(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	87	230	93	68	0.45	66%	-0.21	49.2	3.01%	0	1.1	68	0

16	Feb_28_2017	114.75	119.44	125.24	122.07	120.99	124.13	127.59(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	76	160	78	71	0.74	57%	-0.24	47.7	3.04%	0	1	66	0
17	Feb_27_2017	115.03	118.37	124.74	121.65	120.53	119.83	124.87(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-70	17	57	0.47	57%	-0.25	45.5	3.14%	0	0.8	65	0
18	Feb_24_2017	115.32	117.63	124.17	122.36	121.66	117.86	119.19(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-60	-240	-92	35	0.56	54%	-0.3	48.6	3.09%	0	0.2	64	0
19	Feb_23_2017	115.67	117.03	123.69	124.49	124.41	121.23	115.93(-5.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-75	-180	-118	55	1.43	54%	-0.34	49.9	3.1%	0	-0.1	65	0
20	Feb_22_2017	116.07	116.67	123.57	127.88	127.72	125.47	122.79(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-130	-54	130	0.48	59%	-0.27	56.5	3.02%	0	0.7	75	0

21	Feb_21_2017	116.38	115.82	122.75	128.71	129.21	127.59	125.45(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-80	-31	158	0.56	59%	-0.75	54.3	3.04%	0	1.1	73	0
22	Feb_17_2017	117.26	114.8	121.53	128.15	128.66	129.98	128.45(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	80	15	190	0.51	61%	-0.28	49.3	3%	0	1.6	81	0
23	Feb_16_2017	117.59	113.83	119.72	126.16	126.76	130.83	129.85(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	130	240	104	209	0.54	61%	-0.33	46.2	3.05%	0	2	72	0
24	Feb_15_2017	117.98	112.96	117.49	122.73	123.84	127.34	132.85(4.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	153	220	139	195	0.77	61%	-0.34	44.1	3.06%	0	2.8	79	0
25	Feb_14_2017	118.38	111.98	114.83	118.69	119.64	122.7	126.96(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	97	200	84	137	0.54	59%		44.6	3.01%	0	2.7	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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