Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $132.8500 (4.64%) ($126.8000 - $133.4400) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.06% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $132.8500(4.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.53% (StdDev 3.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.73(8.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.49(13.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.96(17.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.2%
Market Cap   $294.616b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 6.3% (three month std-dev: 3.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 5.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.62%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 9.38%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.29%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2017	117.98	112.96	117.49	122.73	123.84	127.34	132.85(4.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	153	220	139	195	0.77	61%	-0.34	44.1	3.06%	0	2.8	79	INF
2	Feb_14_2017	118.38	111.98	114.83	118.69	119.64	122.7	126.96(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	97	200	84	137	0.54	59%	-0.35	44.6	3.01%	0	2.7	73	INF
3	Feb_13_2017	118.79	111.21	113	116.02	116.7	120.33	122.62(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	102	240	94	124	0.8	56%	-0.38	46.4	2.99%	0	2.5	73	INF
4	Feb_10_2017	119.24	110.72	111.27	114.02	114.78	116.59	118.51(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	95	130	91	106	2.51	54%	-0.44	51.5	2.97%	0	2.1	70	INF
5	Feb_9_2017	119.77	110.25	110.34	112.36	112.59	113.08	112.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	40	19	61	0.34	60%	-0.48	51	2.94%	0	0.7	53	INF

6	Feb_8_2017	120.35	109.9	109.7	111.35	111.51	112.97	112.69(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	100	31	37	0.41	60%	-0.49	37	3.48%	0	0.8	46	INF
7	Feb_7_2017	120.94	109.56	109.18	110.25	110.08	112.1	113.57(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	120	43	21	0.38	60%	-0.37	31.5	3.49%	0	1.2	45	INF
8	Feb_6_2017	121.39	109.16	108.35	109.48	108.94	110.05	112.62(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	60	44	3	0.32	60%	-0.38	21.8	3.51%	0	1	48	INF
9	Feb_3_2017	121.85	108.82	107.58	108.12	108.01	108.05	110.23(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-0	7	-37	0.35	49%	-0.36	6.1	3.5%	0	0.4	44	INF
10	Feb_2_2017	122.29	108.6	107.52	108.08	107.64	107.82	107.64(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-0	-2	-36	0.35	47%	-0.37	-4.4	4.07%	0	-0.3	48	INF

11	Feb_1_2017	122.74	108.66	108.15	107.78	107.9	107.97	107.18(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	8	-24	0.38	47%	-0.33	-0.6	4.1%	0	-0.4	54	INF
12	Jan_31_2017	123.15	108.49	108.94	107.89	107.61	107.46	109.75(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-20	0	-15	0.41	47%	-0.35	-1.2	4.09%	0	0.3	57	INF
13	Jan_30_2017	123.58	108.42	109.28	107.02	107.47	107.83	105.79(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	40	6	-10	0.37	47%	-0.33	-0.9	4.06%	0	-0.7	53	INF
14	Jan_27_2017	123.99	108.61	110.13	106.91	106.88	107.75	110.03(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	60	9	1	0.36	45%	-0.35	4.1	4.05%	0	0.4	59	INF
15	Jan_26_2017	124.43	108.75	110.14	106.93	106.75	107.1	106.17(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	20	-2	2	0.28	45%	-0.38	9.8	4.02%	0	-0.7	54	INF

16	Jan_25_2017	124.91	108.68	110.17	108.63	107.74	106.01	107.71(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-140	-26	2	0.31	45%	-0.37	15.2	4.02%	0	-0.3	49	INF
17	Jan_24_2017	125.37	108.53	110.04	110.25	109.64	106.41	105.4(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-47	-220	-64	3	0.37	44%	-0.17	20.1	4.01%	0	-0.8	58	INF
18	Jan_23_2017	125.58	108.53	110.17	111.89	112.1	109.46	105.22(-4.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-42	-160	-61	14	0.46	44%	-0.37	28.4	4.04%	0	-0.8	47	INF
19	Jan_20_2017	126.05	108.46	110.33	113.72	113.48	112.88	110.14(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-40	-27	39	0.51	46%	-0.3	41.4	4%	0	0.4	52	INF
20	Jan_19_2017	126.43	108.39	109.93	113.69	114.06	114.74	114.67(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	50	29	52	0.37	46%	-0.28	40.6	3.98%	0	1.5	50	INF

21	Jan_18_2017	126.78	108.11	109.29	111.87	112.32	114.09	115.8(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	120	33	47	0.37	46%	-0.29	33.1	3.98%	0	1.9	64	INF
22	Jan_17_2017	127.15	107.74	107.98	109.85	110.4	113.38	113.63(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	200	57	39	0.6	44%	-0.52	26.1	3.97%	0	1.7	62	INF
23	Jan_13_2017	127.82	107.34	107.41	108.25	108.59	110.56	114.37(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	56	140	63	36	0.69	44%	-0.32	19.5	3.96%	0	2.2	64	INF
24	Jan_12_2017	128.23	106.81	106.79	106.55	106.64	107.41	110(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	50	17	11	0.72	40%	-0.39	7.3	3.92%	0	1.1	58	INF
25	Jan_11_2017	128.73	106.71	107.05	105.69	106.22	106.62	105.57(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	40	6	5	0.96	37%		3.1	3.91%	0	-0.4	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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