Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $118.5100 (5.16%) ($116.1000 - $122.6600) on Fri. Feb. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.97% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $118.5100(5.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.485% (StdDev 2.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.02(3.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.27(6.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.72(7.04%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $262.815b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 2.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.29%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 7.11%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.32%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 7.6%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.57%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2017	119.24	110.72	111.27	114.02	114.78	116.59	118.51(5.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	95	130	91	106	2.51	54%	-0.44	51.5	2.97%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Feb_9_2017	119.77	110.25	110.34	112.36	112.59	113.08	112.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	30	40	19	61	0.34	60%	-0.48	51	2.94%	0	0.7	53	0
3	Feb_8_2017	120.35	109.9	109.7	111.35	111.51	112.97	112.69(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	100	31	37	0.41	60%	-0.49	37	3.48%	0	0.8	46	0
4	Feb_7_2017	120.94	109.56	109.18	110.25	110.08	112.1	113.57(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	120	43	21	0.38	60%	-0.37	31.5	3.49%	0	1.2	45	0
5	Feb_6_2017	121.39	109.16	108.35	109.48	108.94	110.05	112.62(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	60	44	3	0.32	60%	-0.38	21.8	3.51%	0	1	48	0

6	Feb_3_2017	121.85	108.82	107.58	108.12	108.01	108.05	110.23(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-0	7	-37	0.35	49%	-0.36	6.1	3.5%	0	0.4	44	0
7	Feb_2_2017	122.29	108.6	107.52	108.08	107.64	107.82	107.64(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-0	-2	-36	0.35	47%	-0.37	-4.4	4.07%	0	-0.3	48	0
8	Feb_1_2017	122.74	108.66	108.15	107.78	107.9	107.97	107.18(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	8	-24	0.38	47%	-0.33	-0.6	4.1%	0	-0.4	54	0
9	Jan_31_2017	123.15	108.49	108.94	107.89	107.61	107.46	109.75(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-20	0	-15	0.41	47%	-0.35	-1.2	4.09%	0	0.3	57	0
10	Jan_30_2017	123.58	108.42	109.28	107.02	107.47	107.83	105.79(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	40	6	-10	0.37	47%	-0.33	-0.9	4.06%	0	-0.7	53	0

11	Jan_27_2017	123.99	108.61	110.13	106.91	106.88	107.75	110.03(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	60	9	1	0.36	45%	-0.35	4.1	4.05%	0	0.4	59	0
12	Jan_26_2017	124.43	108.75	110.14	106.93	106.75	107.1	106.17(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	20	-2	2	0.28	45%	-0.38	9.8	4.02%	0	-0.7	54	0
13	Jan_25_2017	124.91	108.68	110.17	108.63	107.74	106.01	107.71(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-140	-26	2	0.31	45%	-0.37	15.2	4.02%	0	-0.3	49	0
14	Jan_24_2017	125.37	108.53	110.04	110.25	109.64	106.41	105.4(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-47	-220	-64	3	0.37	44%	-0.17	20.1	4.01%	0	-0.8	58	0
15	Jan_23_2017	125.58	108.53	110.17	111.89	112.1	109.46	105.22(-4.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-42	-160	-61	14	0.46	44%	-0.37	28.4	4.04%	0	-0.8	47	0

16	Jan_20_2017	126.05	108.46	110.33	113.72	113.48	112.88	110.14(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-40	-27	39	0.51	46%	-0.3	41.4	4%	0	0.4	52	0
17	Jan_19_2017	126.43	108.39	109.93	113.69	114.06	114.74	114.67(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	50	29	52	0.37	46%	-0.28	40.6	3.98%	0	1.5	50	0
18	Jan_18_2017	126.78	108.11	109.29	111.87	112.32	114.09	115.8(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	120	33	47	0.37	46%	-0.29	33.1	3.98%	0	1.9	64	0
19	Jan_17_2017	127.15	107.74	107.98	109.85	110.4	113.38	113.63(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	200	57	39	0.6	44%	-0.52	26.1	3.97%	0	1.7	62	0
20	Jan_13_2017	127.82	107.34	107.41	108.25	108.59	110.56	114.37(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	56	140	63	36	0.69	44%	-0.32	19.5	3.96%	0	2.2	64	0

21	Jan_12_2017	128.23	106.81	106.79	106.55	106.64	107.41	110(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	50	17	11	0.72	40%	-0.39	7.3	3.92%	0	1.1	58	0
22	Jan_11_2017	128.73	106.71	107.05	105.69	106.22	106.62	105.57(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	40	6	5	0.96	37%	-0.49	3.1	3.91%	0	-0.4	46	0
23	Jan_10_2017	129.36	106.8	106.93	106.32	106.25	105.86	105.66(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-30	3	2	0.4	37%	-0.48	15.8	3.91%	0	-0.4	45	0
24	Jan_9_2017	129.99	106.83	106.83	105.78	106.27	105.83	105.65(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-20	-13	-16	0.41	37%	-0.47	20.9	3.92%	0	-0.4	46	0
25	Jan_6_2017	130.61	106.71	106.62	106.38	106.3	106.64	105.87(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	20	-8	-13	0.44	37%		31.4	3.92%	0	-0.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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