Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2017

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $106.1700 (-1.43%) ($104.8800 - $109.0300) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.02% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $106.1700(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(46%)    IBB(42%)    IWO(40%)    ARKG(39%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -2.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.01% (StdDev 4.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

Resistance Level   $108.75
5 Day Moving Average   $106.93(-0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.14(-3.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.75(-2.37%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $235.449b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.37% (three month std-dev: 4.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.68%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2017	124.43	108.75	110.14	106.93	106.75	107.1	106.17(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	20	-2	2	0.28	45%	-0.38	9.8	4.02%	0	-0.7	54	INF
2	Jan_25_2017	124.91	108.68	110.17	108.63	107.74	106.01	107.71(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-140	-26	2	0.31	45%	-0.37	15.2	4.02%	0	-0.3	49	INF
3	Jan_24_2017	125.37	108.53	110.04	110.25	109.64	106.41	105.4(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-47	-220	-64	3	0.37	44%	-0.17	20.1	4.01%	0	-0.8	58	INF
4	Jan_23_2017	125.58	108.53	110.17	111.89	112.1	109.46	105.22(-4.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-42	-160	-61	14	0.46	44%	-0.37	28.4	4.04%	0	-0.8	47	INF
5	Jan_20_2017	126.05	108.46	110.33	113.72	113.48	112.88	110.14(-3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-40	-27	39	0.51	46%	-0.3	41.4	4%	0	0.4	52	INF

6	Jan_19_2017	126.43	108.39	109.93	113.69	114.06	114.74	114.67(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	50	29	52	0.37	46%	-0.28	40.6	3.98%	0	1.5	50	INF
7	Jan_18_2017	126.78	108.11	109.29	111.87	112.32	114.09	115.8(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	120	33	47	0.37	46%	-0.29	33.1	3.98%	0	1.9	64	INF
8	Jan_17_2017	127.15	107.74	107.98	109.85	110.4	113.38	113.63(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	200	57	39	0.6	44%	-0.52	26.1	3.97%	0	1.7	62	INF
9	Jan_13_2017	127.82	107.34	107.41	108.25	108.59	110.56	114.37(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	56	140	63	36	0.69	44%	-0.32	19.5	3.96%	0	2.2	64	INF
10	Jan_12_2017	128.23	106.81	106.79	106.55	106.64	107.41	110(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	50	17	11	0.72	40%	-0.39	7.3	3.92%	0	1.1	58	INF

11	Jan_11_2017	128.73	106.71	107.05	105.69	106.22	106.62	105.57(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	40	6	5	0.96	37%	-0.49	3.1	3.91%	0	-0.4	46	INF
12	Jan_10_2017	129.36	106.8	106.93	106.32	106.25	105.86	105.66(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-30	3	2	0.4	37%	-0.48	15.8	3.91%	0	-0.4	45	INF
13	Jan_9_2017	129.99	106.83	106.83	105.78	106.27	105.83	105.65(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-20	-13	-16	0.41	37%	-0.47	20.9	3.92%	0	-0.4	46	INF
14	Jan_6_2017	130.61	106.71	106.62	106.38	106.3	106.64	105.87(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	20	-8	-13	0.44	37%	-0.5	31.4	3.92%	0	-0.3	51	INF
15	Jan_5_2017	131.26	106.61	106.51	107.06	106.87	106.7	105.69(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-20	-7	-8	0.46	37%	-0.46	40.8	3.92%	0	-0.3	54	INF

16	Jan_4_2017	131.86	106.63	106.83	108.64	108.08	105.96	108.74(5.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-12	-150	-16	2	0.63	35%	-0.43	57.7	3.91%	0	0.7	51	INF
17	Jan_3_2017	132.43	106.36	106.89	107.67	109	107.04	102.95(-5.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-90	-39	-11	0.76	31%	-0.7	40.9	3.89%	0	-1.2	47	INF
18	Dec_30_2016	133.37	106.25	107.58	107.93	108.63	110.2	108.65(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	120	5	13	0.58	35%	-0.37	17.2	3.84%	0	0.7	55	INF
19	Dec_29_2016	133.87	105.85	107.32	106.81	107.48	110.95	109.27(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	240	72	36	0.56	33%	-0.36	-11.2	3.86%	0	1	60	INF
20	Dec_28_2016	134.36	105.45	106.84	105.83	105.26	107.07	113.59(9.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	43	100	50	20	1.34	33%	-0.33	-32.5	3.87%	0	2.4	65	INF

21	Dec_27_2016	134.8	104.95	106.23	104.94	104.43	104.01	103.89(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-40	-9	-7	0.26	29%	-0.63	-64.5	3.67%	0	-0.4	48	INF
22	Dec_23_2016	135.66	105.17	106.58	106.14	105.71	103.46	104.25(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-160	-37	-3	0.42	29%	-0.44	-47.7	3.68%	0	-0.2	54	INF
23	Dec_22_2016	136.26	105.7	106.8	107.21	107.26	104.85	103.03(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-39	-160	-55	9	0.28	29%	-0.51	-38.9	3.68%	0	-0.7	59	INF
24	Dec_21_2016	136.96	106.23	106.85	107.82	108.39	107.96	104.4(-4.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10	-21	32	0.38	29%	-0.49	-27.6	3.69%	0	-0.4	59	INF
25	Dec_20_2016	137.63	106.58	106.83	107.8	108.1	109.67	109.14(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	110	18	52	0.24	37%		-29	3.66%	0	0.6	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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