Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $170.0100 (8.47%) ($163.6300 - $170.6300) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.56% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $170.0100(8.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(40%)    IWO(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IBUY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.78% (StdDev 3.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

5 Day Moving Average   $157.69(7.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.07(10.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.63(10.66%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   30.1%
Market Cap   $377.024b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.9% (three month std-dev: 3.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 5.26%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 13.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.05%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.9%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	151.04	153.63	154.07	157.69	158.03	162.59	170.01(8.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	135	210	144	106	1.38	55%	0.13	-26.7	3.56%	0	2.7	66	0
2	Sep_19_2016	150.84	153.29	152.11	153.07	153.63	156.18	156.74(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	130	63	46	0.33	50%	0.04	-50.6	3.45%	0	0.6	56	0
3	Sep_16_2016	150.78	153.66	151.46	152.05	151.36	153.48	157.2(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	80	58	33	0.45	50%	0.03	-48.8	3.46%	0	0.6	51	0
4	Sep_15_2016	150.74	154.15	150.4	149.67	149.69	151.08	152.92(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	70	36	3	0.32	50%	0.02	-46	3.45%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Sep_14_2016	150.71	154.65	149.93	149.6	148.6	149.24	151.6(3.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	10	6	-21	0.3	50%	0.02	-41	3.45%	0	-0.4	41	0

6	Sep_13_2016	150.68	155.25	149.81	149.9	149.3	148.3	146.89(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-60	-8	-42	0.34	48%	-0.03	-34.9	3.43%	0	-1.1	28	0
7	Sep_12_2016	150.73	156.15	150.3	150.96	150.3	147.96	151.62(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-120	-42	-64	0.45	48%	-0.04	-29.3	3.45%	0	-0.6	32	0
8	Sep_9_2016	150.79	156.72	150.57	150.78	151.36	150.3	145.34(-4.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-40	-37	-75	0.44	43%	-0.04	-29.7	3.42%	0	-1.5	23	0
9	Sep_8_2016	150.85	157.4	151.43	151.08	151.58	152.64	152.55(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	60	17	-68	0.2	45%	0.03	-34.5	3.41%	0	-0.7	25	0
10	Sep_7_2016	150.81	157.65	151.94	150.23	150.45	152.42	153.12(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	10	100	37	-71	0.27	45%	0.02	-48.7	3.41%	0	-0.7	37	0

11	Sep_6_2016	150.78	157.89	153.17	149.74	149.65	150.52	152.15(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	40	30	-75	0.36	45%	0.03	-60.2	3.42%	0	-0.9	35	0
12	Sep_2_2016	150.74	158.36	154.5	149.63	149.64	148.48	150.74(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-50	-18	-96	0.39	50%	-0.01	-68.9	3.39%	0	-1.2	32	0
13	Sep_1_2016	150.76	158.97	155.94	150.47	150.79	148.77	146.82(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-61	-90	-48	-98	0.27	53%	0	-75.4	3.52%	0	-1.9	29	0
14	Aug_31_2016	150.76	159.84	158.14	151.83	152.37	150.81	148.31(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-60	-51	-81	0.29	55%	0.01	-73.7	3.56%	0	-1.8	42	0
15	Aug_30_2016	150.74	161.05	159.75	153.86	154.19	152.81	150.67(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-60	-50	-64	0.28	55%	0.04	-65.7	3.6%	0	-1.7	45	0

16	Aug_29_2016	150.68	162.05	161.17	157.14	156.93	153.94	151.59(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-140	-60	-44	0.41	55%	-0.03	-46.1	3.63%	0	-1.8	46	0
17	Aug_26_2016	150.73	162.98	162.6	160.13	160.25	155.58	154.96(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-77	-200	-91	-36	0.38	55%	0.03	-24.2	3.63%	0	-1.5	44	0
18	Aug_25_2016	150.69	163.88	163.5	162.3	163.19	159.92	153.64(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-82	-120	-100	-26	0.44	55%	-0.07	-1.9	3.65%	0	-2	41	0
19	Aug_24_2016	150.79	164.59	164.08	165.34	165.73	164.93	158.43(-5.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-30	-32	14	0.35	55%	0.05	29.5	3.63%	0	-1.3	44	0
20	Aug_23_2016	150.72	165.07	164.06	166.39	166.64	166.47	167.07(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-0	7	22	0.2	58%	0.23	55.7	3.56%	0	0.4	40	0

21	Aug_22_2016	150.38	164.71	163.1	165.8	165.98	166.53	166.54(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	30	0	3	0.34	58%	0.25	65.2	3.58%	0	0.4	43	0
22	Aug_19_2016	150.01	164.33	162.55	165.5	165.6	166.82	165.8(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	50	26	4	0.27	58%	0.25	70.4	3.59%	0	0.3	44	0
23	Aug_18_2016	149.63	163.97	162.16	164.94	165.02	165.42	168.87(3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	20	36	-5	0.31	58%	0.3	70.1	3.59%	0	0.9	42	0
24	Aug_17_2016	149.18	163.22	161.5	162.71	163.41	164.38	163.65(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	50	17	-29	0.27	58%	0.27	57.9	3.57%	0	0.1	46	0
25	Aug_16_2016	148.78	162.53	162.25	161.34	161.53	164.62	164.15(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	34	140	52	-19	0.31	58%		46.9	3.57%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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