Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $150.6700 (-0.61%) ($150.0000 - $154.9600) on Tue. Aug. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $150.6700(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(40%)    IWO(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $161.05
5 Day Moving Average   $153.86(-2.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $159.75(-5.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $161.05(-6.45%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $334.135b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(58%) Average negative next day return: -2.5%(42%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 3.87%(35%) Average negative next three day return: -4.84%(65%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 3.25%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.87%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2016	150.74	161.05	159.75	153.86	154.19	152.81	150.67(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-60	-50	-64	0.28	55%	0.04	-65.7	3.6%	0	-1.7	45	0
2	Aug_29_2016	150.68	162.05	161.17	157.14	156.93	153.94	151.59(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-140	-60	-44	0.41	55%	-0.03	-46.1	3.63%	0	-1.8	46	0
3	Aug_26_2016	150.73	162.98	162.6	160.13	160.25	155.58	154.96(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-77	-200	-91	-36	0.38	55%	0.03	-24.2	3.63%	0	-1.5	44	0
4	Aug_25_2016	150.69	163.88	163.5	162.3	163.19	159.92	153.64(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-82	-120	-100	-26	0.44	55%	-0.07	-1.9	3.65%	0	-2	41	0
5	Aug_24_2016	150.79	164.59	164.08	165.34	165.73	164.93	158.43(-5.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-30	-32	14	0.35	55%	0.05	29.5	3.63%	0	-1.3	44	0

6	Aug_23_2016	150.72	165.07	164.06	166.39	166.64	166.47	167.07(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-0	7	22	0.2	58%	0.23	55.7	3.56%	0	0.4	40	0
7	Aug_22_2016	150.38	164.71	163.1	165.8	165.98	166.53	166.54(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	30	0	3	0.34	58%	0.25	65.2	3.58%	0	0.4	43	0
8	Aug_19_2016	150.01	164.33	162.55	165.5	165.6	166.82	165.8(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	50	26	4	0.27	58%	0.25	70.4	3.59%	0	0.3	44	0
9	Aug_18_2016	149.63	163.97	162.16	164.94	165.02	165.42	168.87(3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	20	36	-5	0.31	58%	0.3	70.1	3.59%	0	0.9	42	0
10	Aug_17_2016	149.18	163.22	161.5	162.71	163.41	164.38	163.65(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	50	17	-29	0.27	58%	0.27	57.9	3.57%	0	0.1	46	0

11	Aug_16_2016	148.78	162.53	162.25	161.34	161.53	164.62	164.15(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	34	140	52	-19	0.31	58%	0.27	46.9	3.57%	0	0.2	46	0
12	Aug_15_2016	148.38	161.66	162.78	159.95	159.62	162.43	165.05(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	49	120	69	-11	0.45	58%	0.12	34	3.58%	0	0.4	58	0
13	Aug_12_2016	148.2	160.92	163.16	159.21	158.38	158.44	162.99(3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-10	19	-26	0.39	55%	0.26	28.7	3.58%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Aug_11_2016	147.82	160.25	164.07	159.06	158.89	156.8	157.69(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-100	-36	-35	0.27	55%	0.24	25	3.64%	0	-0.3	53	0
15	Aug_10_2016	147.46	159.72	165.05	160.17	160.32	158.32	156.82(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-80	-68	-30	0.32	55%	0.2	28.2	3.65%	0	-0.3	59	0

16	Aug_9_2016	147.17	159.23	166.2	163.32	162.84	160.97	157.19(-2.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-35	-90	-51	12	0.22	55%	0.25	39.8	3.67%	0	-0.2	65	0
17	Aug_8_2016	146.8	159.12	166.62	165.98	165.84	162.31	161.34(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-30	-150	-53	41	0.32	55%	0.29	53.8	3.66%	0	0.2	72	0
18	Aug_5_2016	146.38	158.66	166.48	167.65	167.71	164.7	162.27(-0.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-57	-120	-91	46	0.48	55%	0.31	62.1	3.68%	0	0.4	66	0
19	Aug_4_2016	145.93	158.15	166.2	169.8	170.19	169.38	163.21(-5.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-30	-26	96	0.63	52%	0.34	71.3	3.69%	0	0.5	68	0
20	Aug_3_2016	145.44	157.21	165.36	170.54	170.84	170.73	172.59(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	0	11	127	0.76	55%	0.41	69	3.69%	0	1.5	82	0

21	Aug_2_2016	144.85	155.71	163.01	169.53	169.48	171	170.47(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	60	20	132	0.49	55%	0.35	66	3.7%	0	1.5	81	0
22	Aug_1_2016	144.34	154.33	160.56	167.35	167.98	170.95	169.72(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	140	76	135	0.71	55%	0.38	69.7	3.7%	0	1.7	64	0
23	Jul_29_2016	143.8	153.11	158.51	165.11	164.52	167.97	173.03(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	140	74	121	0.33	55%	0.41	69.8	3.72%	0	2.3	69	0
24	Jul_28_2016	143.21	151.52	155.99	162.14	161.55	165.01	166.9(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	140	85	107	0.28	55%	0.32	61.8	3.7%	0	2.1	66	0
25	Jul_27_2016	142.75	150.59	153.79	159.39	158.77	161.06	167.51(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	81	90	78	91	0.48	55%		60.3	3.71%	0	2.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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