Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $167.5100 (4.96%) ($159.5700 - $167.8200) on Wed. Jul. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.71% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $167.5100(4.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(40%)    IWO(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.855% (StdDev 3.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $159.39(5.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $153.79(8.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $150.59(11.24%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   29.2%
Market Cap   $371.48b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 4.31% (three month std-dev: 3.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(22%) Average negative next day return: -1.63%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 9.07%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 6.26%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.2%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2016	142.75	150.59	153.79	159.39	158.77	161.06	167.51(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	81	90	78	91	0.48	55%	0.33	60.3	3.71%	0	2.6	73	INF
2	Jul_26_2016	142.28	149.59	151.47	155.56	155.69	158.09	159.59(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	58	110	56	63	0.28	52%	0.23	61.6	3.67%	0	1.9	70	INF
3	Jul_25_2016	141.96	148.18	150.81	152.68	152.82	156.47	158.5(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	170	72	63	0.28	52%	0.24	28.4	3.68%	0	1.7	68	INF
4	Jul_22_2016	141.62	147.37	150.02	150.85	150.13	153.28	158.2(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	71	130	75	58	0.32	52%	0.25	25.1	3.71%	0	1.9	62	INF
5	Jul_21_2016	141.27	147.07	149.26	148.96	148.53	149.16	153.16(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	20	43	44	0.47	52%	0.25	27.7	3.73%	0	1.1	63	INF

6	Jul_20_2016	140.92	146.77	148.33	147.37	147.54	146.98	148.34(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-20	-9	8	0.24	52%	0.19	24.9	3.71%	0	0.3	49	INF
7	Jul_19_2016	140.65	146.47	147.83	146.75	147.38	147.89	145.22(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	40	-16	-5	0.18	52%	0.25	21.3	3.71%	0	-0.2	46	INF
8	Jul_18_2016	140.3	146.48	147.73	148.57	148.19	148.11	149.33(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10	5	28	0.29	52%	0.26	31.5	3.69%	0	0.5	69	INF
9	Jul_15_2016	139.94	145.96	147.43	149.05	149.46	146.86	148.73(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-110	-30	21	0.26	52%	0.27	23.1	3.69%	0	0.5	56	INF
10	Jul_14_2016	139.56	145.61	146.85	149.65	150.54	148.28	145.25(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-39	-90	-53	5	0.25	52%	0.24	15.7	3.68%	0	-0.1	46	INF

11	Jul_13_2016	139.22	145.51	147.3	149.35	150.83	152.05	145.24(-5.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	13	90	7	29	0.43	52%	0.19	-0.8	3.72%	0	-0	50	INF
12	Jul_12_2016	138.96	145.37	147.72	148.87	148.94	152.8	154.31(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	180	75	61	0.43	56%	0.25	-19.4	3.64%	0	1.6	58	INF
13	Jul_11_2016	138.62	144.85	145.44	146.71	146.13	149.6	151.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	70	150	81	36	0.5	51%	0.17	-51.1	3.64%	0	1.3	55	INF
14	Jul_8_2016	138.38	144.72	144.5	145.63	144.36	145.07	151.73(5.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	10	44	19	0.53	51%	0.2	-72.3	3.76%	0	1.4	59	INF
15	Jul_7_2016	138.11	144.76	144.57	143.82	143.75	142.66	143.75(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-50	-13	-3	0.42	48%	0.15	-90.4	3.74%	0	-0.2	53	INF

16	Jul_6_2016	137.91	145.54	144.98	145.05	143.14	143.66	142.85(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-26	-10	-35	1	0.71	53%	0.18	-66.9	3.77%	0	-0.4	52	INF
17	Jul_5_2016	137.66	146.46	144.96	146.35	144.92	144.84	143.47(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	41	-30	41	40	0.44	58%	0.17	-45.9	3.91%	0	-0.4	53	INF
18	Jul_1_2016	137.42	147.52	145.13	143.79	144.5	142.61	146.36(2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-8	-80	-11	3	1	58%	0.39	-32.5	4.22%	0	-0.1	52	INF
19	Jun_30_2016	136.88	148.48	144.4	143.1	142.46	144.99	142.68(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	110	-33	-20	2.17	58%	0.36	-19.3	4.2%	0	-0.6	46	INF
20	Jun_29_2016	136.39	149.67	144.34	145.42	143.68	146.39	149.87(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	100	75	25	0.58	61%	0.42	-1.5	4.15%	0	0	48	INF

21	Jun_28_2016	135.82	149.91	143.58	145.06	144.19	139.93	149.37(14.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-220	-11	-28	1.28	61%	0.43	4.4	4.15%	0	-0.1	43	INF
22	Jun_27_2016	135.24	149.87	142.81	143.61	144.69	140.96	130.67(-8.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-118	-160	-122	-104	0.71	55%	0.24	4.7	3.76%	0	-1.9	27	INF
23	Jun_24_2016	134.91	150.59	144.35	146.47	146.16	148.44	142.92(-7.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	100	9	-58	0.74	60%	0.31	17.5	3.62%	0	-0.8	30	INF
24	Jun_23_2016	134.49	150.44	145.08	145.61	145.56	148.41	154.26(4.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	63	140	99	-47	0.43	66%	0.43	17.7	3.51%	0	0.4	35	INF
25	Jun_22_2016	133.91	149.82	144.87	143.07	142.74	143.88	148.1(4.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	50	29	-103	0.47	64%		13.7	3.53%	0	-0.2	27	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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