Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $141.2100 (1.01%) ($137.0100 - $142.7450) on Wed. May. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.62% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $141.2100(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(44%)    ARKG(40%)    IWO(40%)    IWC(39%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -1.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.81% (StdDev 3.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $137.05(3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.91(4.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.46(1.99%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   26.8%
Market Cap   $313.155b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 5.11% (three month std-dev: 3.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.45%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.68%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 6.87%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.91%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.61%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.56%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2016	127.87	138.46	134.91	137.05	137.32	139.77	141.21(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	130	43	20	0.39	63%	0.12	-47.7	3.62%	0	0.4	54	INF
2	May_24_2016	127.72	138.85	134.91	135.61	135.54	138.12	139.8(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	130	62	15	0.3	63%	0.12	-51	3.62%	0	0.1	50	INF
3	May_23_2016	127.57	139.22	134.41	134.23	134.15	134.87	138.6(3.22%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	24	40	35	-11	0.33	63%	0.1	-54	3.7%	0	-0.1	40	INF
4	May_20_2016	127.44	139.82	134.21	133.33	133.46	132.96	134.28(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-20	-5	-47	0.31	63%	0.07	-51.2	3.73%	0	-0.6	33	INF
5	May_19_2016	127.35	140.94	134.13	132.7	133.65	133.43	131.34(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	10	-1	-67	0.33	63%	0.04	-49.1	3.75%	0	-1.1	29	INF

6	May_18_2016	127.3	141.92	134.7	132.36	133.07	133.96	134.01(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	60	-2	-87	0.22	63%	0.06	-52.8	3.76%	0	-0.9	29	INF
7	May_17_2016	127.22	142.68	135.18	133.01	133.1	133.87	132.92(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	40	5	-93	0.25	63%	0.06	-50.9	3.76%	0	-1.2	32	INF
8	May_16_2016	127.14	143.54	136.53	134.64	134.47	132.19	134.08(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-120	-16	-92	0.4	63%	0.07	-46	3.81%	0	-1.2	36	INF
9	May_13_2016	127.05	144.36	138.06	135.31	135.95	132.33	131.15(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-170	-70	-112	0.36	63%	0.04	-42.9	3.81%	0	-1.7	30	INF
10	May_12_2016	127	145.34	139.98	135.75	137.2	136.76	129.62(-5.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	10	-45	-106	0.55	76%	0.03	-48.4	3.84%	0	-2.1	25	INF

11	May_11_2016	126.96	146.55	142.39	137.23	137.49	139.58	137.28(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	110	20	-50	0.31	82%	0.1	-57.9	5.11%	0	-1.4	39	INF
12	May_10_2016	126.83	147.07	143.7	137.6	137.21	137.63	141.08(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	10	14	-51	0.52	82%	0.16	-63.5	5.1%	0	-1	44	INF
13	May_9_2016	126.63	147.39	144.41	138.85	137.99	135.41	137.44(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-150	-40	-69	0.39	82%	0.12	-50.5	5.1%	0	-1.7	39	INF
14	May_6_2016	126.48	147.82	145.86	141.44	141.23	136.79	133.34(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-68	-220	-68	-69	0.41	82%	0.08	-29.7	5.1%	0	-2.5	34	INF
15	May_5_2016	126.38	149.01	148.34	144.92	144.85	140.58	136.99(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-72	-210	-78	-53	0.39	82%	0.12	9.6	5.12%	0	-2.5	37	INF

16	May_4_2016	126.23	150.35	149.85	148.26	148.22	145.66	139.13(-5.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-49	-120	-55	-31	0.39	82%	0.15	64.4	5.14%	0	-2.3	36	INF
17	May_3_2016	126.04	151.02	150.97	150.53	150.9	149.12	147.34(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-80	-18	-5	0.28	89%	0.25	122.4	5.1%	0	-0.9	53	INF
18	May_2_2016	125.73	150.44	151.25	150.72	151.1	150.78	150.4(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-20	-3	0.3	77%	0.3	101.3	5.1%	0	-0	57	INF
19	Apr_29_2016	125.36	149.56	151.23	150.98	151.17	152.67	150.74(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	70	5	12	0.29	79%	0.3	86.3	5.24%	0	0.2	60	INF
20	Apr_28_2016	124.98	148.55	151.14	152.38	151.75	151.43	153.68(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-30	17	19	0.37	71%	0.35	82.2	5.28%	0	0.6	47	INF

21	Apr_27_2016	124.54	147.21	150.99	151.82	151.91	149.68	150.48(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-100	-24	-8	0.29	71%	0.33	68.6	5.45%	0	0.3	37	INF
22	Apr_26_2016	124.13	146	150.66	151.51	152.34	152.07	148.28(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	0	-20	-10	0.4	69%	0.31	62.4	5.45%	0	0.2	49	INF
23	Apr_25_2016	123.75	144.9	150.55	151.76	152.35	154.15	151.73(-3.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	90	22	16	0.42	69%	0.36	61	5.45%	0	0.6	65	INF
24	Apr_22_2016	123.3	143.67	149.88	151.41	151.07	152.61	157.74(4.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	60	28	26	0.48	69%	0.46	62.8	5.46%	0	1.2	71	INF
25	Apr_21_2016	122.73	141.94	149.58	149.8	150.17	150.54	150.87(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	9	31	0.45	69%		61.6	5.48%	0	0.7	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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