Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $120.1400 (1.14%) ($115.8800 - $123.8820) on Fri. Mar. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.07% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $120.1400(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(22%)    XHB(20%)    GDXJ(8%)    VIXM(5%)    IGOV(3%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -3.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-6%)    IYT(-6%)    IWF(-6%)    INDA(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.035% (StdDev 6.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $118.09(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.5(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.99(0.97%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   28.2%
Market Cap   $266.429b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 4.11% (three month std-dev: 6.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2016	113.08	118.99	119.5	118.09	117.14	118.09	120.14(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	30	22	-3	0.88	67%	0.16	-25.5	6.07%	0	0.2	61	0
2	Mar_17_2016	112.9	119.36	119.97	117.51	116.92	115.71	118.79(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-90	-4	-8	0.55	67%	0.14	2.1	6.15%	0	-0.1	57	0
3	Mar_16_2016	112.74	119.64	120.53	117.03	117.16	116.2	115.23(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-50	-25	-9	0.44	67%	0.06	24.9	6.22%	0	-0.9	56	0
4	Mar_15_2016	112.67	120.11	121.03	118.4	118.41	118.12	115.39(-4.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-20	-10	8	0.49	67%	0.07	61.9	6.31%	0	-0.9	56	0
5	Mar_14_2016	112.59	120.29	121.76	119.69	119.78	118.13	120.9(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-9	-90	-16	14	0.41	67%	0.21	93.6	6.34%	0	0.1	52	0

6	Mar_11_2016	112.35	120.25	120.92	121.2	121.3	118.7	117.25(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-150	-37	5	0.45	67%	0.13	125	6.42%	0	-0.6	47	0
7	Mar_10_2016	112.2	119.26	120.7	122.83	123.72	121.44	116.36(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-110	-29	5	0.47	67%	0.12	85.7	6.52%	0	-0.4	40	0
8	Mar_9_2016	112.07	118.37	120.42	124.51	124.98	123.91	122.08(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-50	-13	10	0.34	67%	0.3	76.7	6.56%	0	0.4	48	0
9	Mar_8_2016	111.74	117.06	119.51	123.97	124.68	125.99	121.84(-5.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	90	4	6	0.42	67%	0.3	65.5	6.67%	0	0.5	48	0
10	Mar_7_2016	111.41	115.74	119.23	124.02	123.72	126.05	128.45(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	120	40	22	0.47	67%	0.53	55.4	6.7%	0	1.1	60	0

11	Mar_4_2016	110.82	114.26	118.41	120.6	121.14	123.37	125.42(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	140	33	6	0.55	67%	0.47	43.2	6.81%	0	1	55	0
12	Mar_3_2016	110.3	113.1	118.55	118.3	118.19	121.39	124.77(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	190	33	19	0.49	67%	0.49	39.2	6.94%	0	1	74	0
13	Mar_2_2016	109.76	111.76	118.41	115.8	116.23	118.91	119.37(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	170	40	31	0.57	67%	0.34	28	7.03%	0	0.7	71	0
14	Mar_1_2016	109.39	110.58	118.87	114.41	114.28	114.99	122.07(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	40	15	36	0.71	67%	0.47	18.2	7.14%	0	1	74	0
15	Feb_29_2016	108.88	109.69	118.46	113.86	113.54	113.54	111.38(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-12	41	0.49	61%	0.09	14.7	7.04%	0	0.1	70	0

16	Feb_26_2016	108.78	109.44	119.42	115.93	115.15	113.58	113.9(1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-120	-19	63	0.5	61%	0.2	0	7.18%	0	0.4	66	0
17	Feb_25_2016	108.56	108.73	117.78	118.89	118.15	113.54	112.27(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-290	-40	64	0.42	61%	0.16	0	7.33%	0	0.3	61	0
18	Feb_24_2016	108.39	108.59	116.41	121.39	121.32	116.72	112.45(-5.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-270	-59	68	0.78	61%	0.18	0	7.51%	0	0.3	64	0
19	Feb_23_2016	108.2	108.43	114.82	123.83	124.59	122.76	119.29(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-80	-22	97	0.61	61%	0.52	0	7.57%	0	0.9	71	0
20	Feb_22_2016	107.64	107.99	112.4	123.62	124.99	125.93	121.76(-5.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	90	6	100	0.91	61%	0.69	0	7.74%	0	1.2	62	0

21	Feb_19_2016	106.9	107.99	110.08	123.31	122.88	126.42	128.66(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	190	47	19	0.9	61%	1.14	0	7.82%	0	11.3	65	0
22	Feb_18_2016	105.69	107.99	107.28	116.44	118.62	124.05	124.78(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	380	74	30	1.55	61%	1.07	0	8.03%	0	11.9	67	0
23	Feb_17_2016	104.57	107.99	104.46	110.63	110.29	119.33	124.66(5.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	62	560	73	29	0.91	61%	1.22	0	8.27%	0	12.9	58	0
24	Feb_16_2016	103.31	107.99	101.32	104.48	104.28	113.19	118.25(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	88	590	103	41	1.24	61%	0.98	0	8.46%	0	13.9	55	0
25	Feb_12_2016	102.31	107.99	99.78	99.57	98.45	101.24	120.22(27.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	48	160	56	22	4.07	61%		0	8.73%	0	15.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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