Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $128.4500 (2.42%) ($121.8500 - $132.7160) on Mon. Mar. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.7% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $128.4500(2.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(22%)    XHB(20%)    GDXJ(8%)    VIXM(5%)    IGOV(3%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -3.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
IYT(-6%)    IWF(-6%)    INDA(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLK(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.35% (StdDev 6.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.02(3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.23(7.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.74(10.98%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   37.1%
Market Cap   $284.858b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 9.96% (three month std-dev: 6.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.2%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.26%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -6.18%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.9%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.39%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2016	111.41	115.74	119.23	124.02	123.72	126.05	128.45(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	120	40	22	0.47	67%	0.53	55.4	6.7%	0	1.1	60	INF
2	Mar_4_2016	110.82	114.26	118.41	120.6	121.14	123.37	125.42(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	140	33	6	0.55	67%	0.47	43.2	6.81%	0	1	55	INF
3	Mar_3_2016	110.3	113.1	118.55	118.3	118.19	121.39	124.77(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	190	33	19	0.49	67%	0.49	39.2	6.94%	0	1	74	INF
4	Mar_2_2016	109.76	111.76	118.41	115.8	116.23	118.91	119.37(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	170	40	31	0.57	67%	0.34	28	7.03%	0	0.7	71	INF
5	Mar_1_2016	109.39	110.58	118.87	114.41	114.28	114.99	122.07(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	40	15	36	0.71	67%	0.47	18.2	7.14%	0	1	74	INF

6	Feb_29_2016	108.88	109.69	118.46	113.86	113.54	113.54	111.38(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-12	41	0.49	61%	0.09	14.7	7.04%	0	0.1	70	INF
7	Feb_26_2016	108.78	109.44	119.42	115.93	115.15	113.58	113.9(1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-120	-19	63	0.5	61%	0.2	0	7.18%	0	0.4	66	INF
8	Feb_25_2016	108.56	108.73	117.78	118.89	118.15	113.54	112.27(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-290	-40	64	0.42	61%	0.16	0	7.33%	0	0.3	61	INF
9	Feb_24_2016	108.39	108.59	116.41	121.39	121.32	116.72	112.45(-5.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-270	-59	68	0.78	61%	0.18	0	7.51%	0	0.3	64	INF
10	Feb_23_2016	108.2	108.43	114.82	123.83	124.59	122.76	119.29(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-80	-22	97	0.61	61%	0.52	0	7.57%	0	0.9	71	INF

11	Feb_22_2016	107.64	107.99	112.4	123.62	124.99	125.93	121.76(-5.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	90	6	100	0.91	61%	0.69	0	7.74%	0	1.2	62	INF
12	Feb_19_2016	106.9	107.99	110.08	123.31	122.88	126.42	128.66(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	190	47	19	0.9	61%	1.14	0	7.82%	0	11.3	65	INF
13	Feb_18_2016	105.69	107.99	107.28	116.44	118.62	124.05	124.78(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	380	74	30	1.55	61%	1.07	0	8.03%	0	11.9	67	INF
14	Feb_17_2016	104.57	107.99	104.46	110.63	110.29	119.33	124.66(5.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	62	560	73	29	0.91	61%	1.22	0	8.27%	0	12.9	58	INF
15	Feb_16_2016	103.31	107.99	101.32	104.48	104.28	113.19	118.25(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	88	590	103	41	1.24	61%	0.98	0	8.46%	0	13.9	55	INF

16	Feb_12_2016	102.31	107.99	99.78	99.57	98.45	101.24	120.22(27.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	48	160	56	22	4.07	61%	1.26	0	8.73%	0	15.4	54	INF
17	Feb_11_2016	101.04	107.99	98.06	95.23	94.99	95.37	94.29(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	20	-19	-8	0.81	24%	-0.5	0	4.82%	0	14.8	50	INF
18	Feb_10_2016	101.55	107.99	98.6	96.84	96.49	95.66	95.74(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-70	5	2	0.88	24%	-0.48	0	5.02%	0	15.1	50	INF
19	Feb_9_2016	102.04	107.99	99.97	97.26	97.11	94.6	93.89(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-190	-30	-12	0.89	24%	-0.72	0	5.14%	0	14.8	50	INF
20	Feb_8_2016	102.78	107.99	101.56	97.47	97.47	97.33	93.71(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10	-37	-15	1.22	24%	-0.88	0	5.37%	0	15.3	50	INF

21	Feb_5_2016	103.69	107.99	103.41	99.78	98.76	99.63	98.51(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	30	6	2	0.93	24%	-0.55	0	5.54%	0	17.3	50	INF
22	Feb_4_2016	104.26	107.99	103.41	101.33	99.98	97.61	102.34(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-210	-5	-2	0.97	24%	-0.23	0	5.8%	0	18	50	INF
23	Feb_3_2016	104.5	107.99	103.41	100.72	100.86	97.9	97.84(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-200	-60	-24	0.8	24%	-0.9	0	5.78%	0	16.3	50	INF
24	Feb_2_2016	105.45	107.99	103.41	103.19	103.46	102.35	94.96(-9.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-70	-36	-14	1.29	24%	-1.63	0	5.87%	0	16.3	50	INF
25	Feb_1_2016	107.2	107.99	103.41	106.19	106.14	103.82	105.27(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-150	-21	-8	1	37%		0	5.38%	0	24.7	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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