Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $122.0700 (9.6%) ($110.9200 - $122.1200) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.14% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $122.0700(9.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(22%)    XHB(20%)    GDXJ(8%)    VIXM(5%)    IGOV(3%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -3.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
IYT(-6%)    IWF(-6%)    INDA(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)    XLK(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.57% (StdDev 7.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9%

5 Day Moving Average   $114.41(6.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $118.87(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.58(10.39%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   30.3%
Market Cap   $270.71b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 10.88% (three month std-dev: 7.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	109.39	110.58	118.87	114.41	114.28	114.99	122.07(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	40	15	36	0.71	67%	0.47	18.2	7.14%	0	1	74	0
2	Feb_29_2016	108.88	109.69	118.46	113.86	113.54	113.54	111.38(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-12	41	0.49	61%	0.09	14.7	7.04%	0	0.1	70	0
3	Feb_26_2016	108.78	109.44	119.42	115.93	115.15	113.58	113.9(1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-120	-19	63	0.5	61%	0.2	0	7.18%	0	0.4	66	0
4	Feb_25_2016	108.56	108.73	117.78	118.89	118.15	113.54	112.27(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-290	-40	64	0.42	61%	0.16	0	7.33%	0	0.3	61	0
5	Feb_24_2016	108.39	108.59	116.41	121.39	121.32	116.72	112.45(-5.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-270	-59	68	0.78	61%	0.18	0	7.51%	0	0.3	64	0

6	Feb_23_2016	108.2	108.43	114.82	123.83	124.59	122.76	119.29(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-80	-22	97	0.61	61%	0.52	0	7.57%	0	0.9	71	0
7	Feb_22_2016	107.64	107.99	112.4	123.62	124.99	125.93	121.76(-5.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	90	6	100	0.91	61%	0.69	0	7.74%	0	1.2	62	0
8	Feb_19_2016	106.9	107.99	110.08	123.31	122.88	126.42	128.66(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	190	47	19	0.9	61%	1.14	0	7.82%	0	11.3	65	0
9	Feb_18_2016	105.69	107.99	107.28	116.44	118.62	124.05	124.78(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	380	74	30	1.55	61%	1.07	0	8.03%	0	11.9	67	0
10	Feb_17_2016	104.57	107.99	104.46	110.63	110.29	119.33	124.66(5.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	62	560	73	29	0.91	61%	1.22	0	8.27%	0	12.9	58	0

11	Feb_16_2016	103.31	107.99	101.32	104.48	104.28	113.19	118.25(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	88	590	103	41	1.24	61%	0.98	0	8.46%	0	13.9	55	0
12	Feb_12_2016	102.31	107.99	99.78	99.57	98.45	101.24	120.22(27.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	48	160	56	22	4.07	61%	1.26	0	8.73%	0	15.4	54	0
13	Feb_11_2016	101.04	107.99	98.06	95.23	94.99	95.37	94.29(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	20	-19	-8	0.81	24%	-0.5	0	4.82%	0	14.8	50	0
14	Feb_10_2016	101.55	107.99	98.6	96.84	96.49	95.66	95.74(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-70	5	2	0.88	24%	-0.48	0	5.02%	0	15.1	50	0
15	Feb_9_2016	102.04	107.99	99.97	97.26	97.11	94.6	93.89(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-190	-30	-12	0.89	24%	-0.72	0	5.14%	0	14.8	50	0

16	Feb_8_2016	102.78	107.99	101.56	97.47	97.47	97.33	93.71(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10	-37	-15	1.22	24%	-0.88	0	5.37%	0	15.3	50	0
17	Feb_5_2016	103.69	107.99	103.41	99.78	98.76	99.63	98.51(-3.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	30	6	2	0.93	24%	-0.55	0	5.54%	0	17.3	50	0
18	Feb_4_2016	104.26	107.99	103.41	101.33	99.98	97.61	102.34(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-210	-5	-2	0.97	24%	-0.23	0	5.8%	0	18	50	0
19	Feb_3_2016	104.5	107.99	103.41	100.72	100.86	97.9	97.84(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-200	-60	-24	0.8	24%	-0.9	0	5.78%	0	16.3	50	0
20	Feb_2_2016	105.45	107.99	103.41	103.19	103.46	102.35	94.96(-9.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-70	-36	-14	1.29	24%	-1.63	0	5.87%	0	16.3	50	0

21	Feb_1_2016	107.2	107.99	103.41	106.19	106.14	103.82	105.27(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-150	-21	-8	1	37%	-0.36	0	5.38%	0	24.7	50	0
22	Jan_29_2016	107.59	107.99	103.41	107.59	107.73	104.58	106.23(6.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	-200	37	15	0.91	37%	-0.32	0	6.01%	0	23.2	50	0
23	Jan_28_2016	107.93	107.99	103.41	86.34	110.35	108.46	99.32(-9.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.6	117	710	138	55	0.89	0%	-2.59	0	4.32%	0	19.7	50	0
24	Jan_27_2016	110.8	107.99	103.41	66.48	110.35	108.46	110.19(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	41.2	715	-10000	841	336	0.68	0%	-0.28	0	1.18%	0	104	50	0
25	Jan_26_2016	111.11	107.99	103.41	44.44	110.35	108.46	109.92(-2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	55	0	-10000	0	0	0.72	0%		0	0%	0	92.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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