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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020



Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Oct. 28, 2020)

(IBM)

IBM latest price $106.6500 (-3.54%) ($105.9100 - $109.7300) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  IBM declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IBM declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IBM decline at-1.1% a week (63% probability)
  VYM(64%)    XAR(64%)    IVE(63%)    IWD(63%)    SDY(63%)  
Factors Impacting IBM price  IBM will decline at least -0.5% in a week (27% probabilities).
  VXX(-38%)    GBTC(-27%)    VIXM(-24%)    FEX(-15%)    UUP(-8%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.9
 
Relative Volatility   2.6 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   -1.8
Hourly Trend   -2.35% [$109.49(-2.81), $112.13(-1.8)]
Last Hour Trend   0.12% [$106.69, $106.56]


IBM Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  10%
Bullish Price Move  1.7%
Bearish Probability  90%
Bearish Price Move  -1.7%
Recommended Position Size  -47%
Latest Price  $106.6500
Next Day Open Price  $106.91(0.24%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $103.38(-3.07%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $100.37 - $109.11
Resistance Level  $120.59
5 Day Moving Average  $112.24(-4.98%)
10 Day Moving Average  $116.62(-8.55%)
20 Day Moving Average  $120.59(-11.56%)
To recent high  -18.9%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $94.98b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Jan. 21, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $136.15 ($117.00 - $160.00)
  13 analysts (last updated on Wed. Oct. 21, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  27.66%
% to Low Target Price  9.7%
% to High Target Price  50.02%
 


  
 
 


International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which provides integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Cognitive Solutions, Global Business Services, Technology Services & Cloud Platforms, Systems, and Global Financing. The Cognitive Solutions segment comprises a portfolio of capabilities that help IBM's clients to identify actionable insights and inform decision making for competitive advantage. It includes Watson, a cognitive computing platform that has the ability to interact in natural language, process amounts of big data, and learn from interactions with people and computers. This segment consists of Solutions Software, which provides the basis for many of the company's strategic areas including analytics, security and social; and Transaction Processing Software, which includes software that primarily runs mission-critical systems in industries such as banking, airlines and retail. The Global Business Services segment provides clients with consulting, application management and global process services. The Technology Services & Cloud Platforms segment provides comprehensive IT infrastructure and platform services that create business value for clients. The Systems segment provides clients with innovative infrastructure platforms to help meet the requirements of hybrid cloud and enterprise AI workload. The Global Financing segment encompasses two primary businesses: financing, primarily conducted through IBM Credit LLC, and remanufacturing and remarketing. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IBM price fluctuates within 5.12% (three month std-dev: 1.72%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IBM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_28_2020-18.9%-0-1.9%,-0.4(-0.1)-6.2%,-1.2(-0.2)-1.5%,-0.3-1.20.12%-3.3%-2.3-1.8-1.93NAN%-2.49.44   106.65(-3.54%)105.91-109.73Growing Downtrend 103.38(-3.07%)100.37-109.1110
2Oct_27_2020-15.9%-0-1.4%,-0.3(-0.1)-5.4%,-1.2(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.3-0.90.04%-2.3%-2.1-1.5-22.6NAN%-0.65.88   110.56(-1.48%)110.03-112.22Growing Downtrend 108.05(-2.27%)105.74-112.4933
3Oct_26_2020-14.7%-0-1.1%,-0.3(-0.2)-4.7%,-1.2(-0.4)-2.3%,-0.6-0.3-0.07%-1.6%-2.1-1.2-22.3NAN%-0.27.2   112.22(-3.26%)111.84-114.9Growing Downtrend 110.09(-1.9%)108.13-113.8339
4Oct_23_2020-11.8%-0.8-0.5%,-0.1(-0.1)-3.3%,-0.9(-0.4)-1.7%,-0.5-0.60.01%-0.8%-1.6-0.7-2.12.1NAN%0.83.89   116(0.21%)115.53-116.62Relative Oversold 116.22(0.19%)112.12-119.5843
5Oct_22_2020-12%-0.6-0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)-1.9%,-0.6(-0.5)-1.5%,-0.4-2.40.33%0%-1.7-1-2.42NAN%0.67.85   115.76(0.61%)112.98-116.06Relative Oversold 116.78(0.88%)113.46-119.546
 
6Oct_21_2020-12.5%-00%,0(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.1(-0.4)-1.8%,-0.6-3.30.02%1.2%-2-1.9-31.9NAN%0.19.74   115.06(-1.97%)114.82-117.69Downtrend 115.08(0.02%)114.52-116.4244
7Oct_20_2020-10.7%-00.3%,0.1(-0.1)0.8%,0.3(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.4-1.2-0.35%1.8%-1.7-2.5-3.11.7NAN%0.221.46   117.37(-6.49%)116.84-120.15Oversold 119.13(1.5%)117.45-119.5546
8Oct_19_2020-4.5%-6.3% 0.6%,0.2(-0)1.6%,0.6(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.10.3-0.17%2.1%0.60.10.61.9NAN%1.26.96   125.52(-0.33%)125.08-127.35Uptrend 126.11(0.47%)125.09-126.5462
9Oct_16_2020-4.2%-6.6% 0.6%,0.2(-0.1)1.8%,0.7(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.1-0.30.03%2.1%0.8-0.2-0.41.9NAN%0.94.7   125.93(0.83%)124.66-126.43Uptrend Consolidation 125.24(-0.55%)124.75-126.7260
10Oct_15_2020-5%-5.8% 0.7%,0.3(-0.2)2.1%,0.8(-0.3)-1%,-0.4-0.6-0.06%1.8%0.6-1-11.8NAN%0.73.38   124.89(-0.83%)123.81-125.22Uptrend Consolidation 124.34(-0.44%)123.89-125.6764
 
11Oct_14_2020-4.2%-6.6% 1.2%,0.5(0)3%,1.1(-0)0.3%,0.1-1.20.06%1.6%0.9-0.4-0.51.8NAN%0.93.72   125.94(0.67%)125.13-126.94Uptrend 127.29(1.07%)125.36-128.1168
12Oct_13_2020-4.9%-5.9% 1.2%,0.5(0)3.2%,1.2(0.1)0.5%,0.2-2.1-0.14%1.3%0.7-0.6-1.41.8NAN%0.95.39   125.1(-1.66%)124.46-127.15Uptrend 126.56(1.17%)124.7-127.3765
13Oct_12_2020-3.3%-7.7% 1.1%,0.4(0.1)3%,1.2(0.1)0.8%,0.30.6-0.07%1.1%1.40.3-0.81.8NAN%1.34.63   127.21(-0.45%)126.44-128.25Growing Uptrend 128.85(1.29%)126.31-129.4964
14Oct_9_2020-2.8%-10.4% 0.9%,0.4(0.2)2.7%,1.1(0.4)1.2%,0.53.9-0.05%0.9%1.80.80.71.7NAN%1.18.34   127.79(-2.81%)127.6-132Growing Uptrend 129.06(0.99%)126.7-129.6566
15Oct_8_20200%-13.6% 0.5%,0.2(0.3)1.8%,0.8(0.6)1.7%,0.830.22%0.5%3.523.51.5NAN%1.125.25   131.49(5.98%)129.77-135.5Growing Uptrend 132.15(0.5%)129.51-132.8166
 
16Oct_7_2020-3.6%-7.2% -0.3%,-0.2(0.1)0.3%,0.2(0.4)0.4%,0.31.80.27%-0.2%1.61.50.11.1NAN%0.72.82   124.07(1.72%)122.32-124.39Uptrend Reversal 124.63(0.45%)124.16-124.9345
17Oct_6_2020-5.2%-5.4% -0.5%,-0.3(0.1)-0.3%,-0.2(0.2)0.2%,0.11.2-0.41%-0.6%0.40.20.11NAN%0.33.87   121.97(-0.03%)121.59-124.84Rebound 121.59(-0.31%)121.81-121.4941
18Oct_5_2020-5.2%-5.4% -0.6%,-0.4(0.1)-0.6%,-0.4(0.1)0.1%,0-0.60.12%-0.7%0.40.7-1.31.1NAN%0.53.05   122.01(1.19%)121.05-122.75Downtrend Pop 121.79(-0.18%)121.77-121.8548
19Oct_2_2020-6.3%-4.2% -0.7%,-0.5(0.1)-0.7%,-0.6(0.1)0.3%,0.2-0.6-0.09%-0.8%-0.40.1-0.61.1NAN%0.72.92   120.57(-0.43%)118.82-121.75Downtrend 120.38(-0.16%)120.25-120.6946
20Oct_1_2020-5.9%-4.6% -0.8%,-0.5(0)-0.8%,-0.6(-0)0.5%,0.30.3-0.29%-0.8%-0.20.3-0.81.1NAN%0.93.21   121.09(-0.48%)120.36-123.3Downtrend 120.87(-0.18%)120.74-121.1849
 
21Sep_30_2020-5.4%-5.2% -0.8%,-0.4(0.1)-0.8%,-0.4(0.1)0.5%,0.31.2-0.38%-0.8%-0.110.11.4NAN%0.83.26   121.67(0.6%)120.8-122.91Downtrend 121.37(-0.25%)121.22-121.7354
22Sep_29_2020-6%-4.5% -1%,-0.5(0.1)-0.9%,-0.5(-0)0.1%,02.10.15%-0.7%-0.40.80.31.5NAN%0.92.11   120.94(-0.65%)120.21-122.19Downtrend 120.52(-0.35%)120.26-121.1146
23Sep_28_2020-5.4%-5.2% -1.1%,-0.6(0)-0.9%,-0.5(0.1)0.2%,0.10.6-0.02%-0.7%-0.11.80.41.4NAN%0.93.51   121.73(2.34%)120.41-122.33Downtrend 121.35(-0.31%)121.16-121.7952
24Sep_25_2020-7.6%-2.8% -1.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-1%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.3-1.20.29%-0.8%-1.3-0.501.5NAN%1.12.9   118.95(0.73%)116.94-119.41Downtrend 118.56(-0.33%)118.14-119.5341
25Sep_24_2020-8.2%-2.1% -0.9%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.5(-0)-1.1%,-0.6-0.9-0.37%-0.8%-1.9-1.30.61.4NAN%1.23.48   118.09(-0.62%)116.48-119.52Downtrend 117.78(-0.26%)117.31-118.8733
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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