Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(IBM)
IBM latest price $132.0600 (2.46%) ($131.7500 - $134.2300) on Fri. Jun. 5, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.96% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $132.0600(2.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   IBM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBM advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(61%)    IVE(59%)    IWD(59%)    DIA(58%)    IFRA(55%)
Factors Impacting IBM price   IBM will decline at least -1.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-19%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.98% (StdDev 3.96%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $128.18(3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.82(4.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.9(7.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   39.3%
Market Cap   $117.61b

International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which provides integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Cognitive Solutions, Global Business Services, Technology Services & Cloud Platforms, Systems, and Global Financing. The Cognitive Solutions segment comprises a portfolio of capabilities that help IBM's clients to identify actionable insights and inform decision making for competitive advantage. It includes Watson, a cognitive computing platform that has the ability to interact in natural language, process amounts of big data, and learn from interactions with people and computers. This segment consists of Solutions Software, which provides the basis for many of the company's strategic areas including analytics, security and social; and Transaction Processing Software, which includes software that primarily runs mission-critical systems in industries such as banking, airlines and retail. The Global Business Services segment provides clients with consulting, application management and global process services. The Technology Services & Cloud Platforms segment provides comprehensive IT infrastructure and platform services that create business value for clients. The Systems segment provides clients with innovative infrastructure platforms to help meet the requirements of hybrid cloud and enterprise AI workload. The Global Financing segment encompasses two primary businesses: financing, primarily conducted through IBM Credit LLC, and remanufacturing and remarketing. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.

$. IBM price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 3.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.13%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2020	126.55	122.9	125.82	128.18	128.77	130.37	132.06(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	100	45	71	5.89	49%	-0.05	40.9	3.96%	1.1	2.2	78	2
2	Jun_4_2020	126.61	122.31	124.51	126.75	126.84	128.42	128.89(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	90	28	58	3.83	51%	-0.06	31.1	3.98%	0.5	1.8	76	1.6
3	Jun_3_2020	126.69	121.98	123.73	125.87	125.7	127.16	129.05(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	40	80	33	61	3.91	49%	-0.06	19.4	4.01%	1.5	2.1	78	1.7
4	Jun_2_2020	126.76	121.61	122.82	125.17	124.81	125.25	126(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	17	51	2.98	49%	-0.09	10	4.03%	0.7	1.5	60	1.3
5	Jun_1_2020	126.87	121.37	122.35	124.32	124.68	124.23	124.89(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-20	9	41	2.87	49%	-0.09	-4.9	4.03%	0.5	1.3	53	1

6	May_29_2020	126.99	121.2	121.58	123.02	123.9	124.36	124.9(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	50	5	24	7.9	49%	-0.09	-23.7	4.06%	-0.1	1.4	52	1.3
7	May_28_2020	127.11	121.18	120.78	121.87	122.59	125.12	124.53(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	31	160	33	23	3.88	49%	-0.09	-28.8	4.09%	0.7	1.3	55	0.9
8	May_27_2020	127.22	121.33	119.9	121.24	121.28	123.43	125.54(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	130	51	18	5.66	47%	-0.07	-17.5	4.09%	1.1	1.4	52	1.5
9	May_26_2020	127.31	121.32	119.3	120.19	120.41	120.09	121.76(2.85%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	8	-10	13	-7	5.46	47%	-0.16	-13.3	4.11%	1.2	0.1	48	1.3
10	May_22_2020	127.51	121.5	119.32	120.15	120.25	119.12	118.39(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-60	-24	-21	4.17	45%	-0.13	-5.6	4.06%	-1.1	-1	44	1.2

11	May_21_2020	127.68	121.82	119.76	119.87	121.02	120.73	119.12(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	10	-0	-13	3.99	45%	-0.07	-1.6	4.09%	-2.3	-0.9	45	1.1
12	May_20_2020	127.77	121.95	119.96	119.43	120.2	121.39	121.38(0.91%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	9	90	17	-14	3.84	45%	-0.1	2.7	4.09%	-0.3	-0.2	40	1.5
13	May_19_2020	127.9	121.87	120.09	119.43	118.63	121.32	120.29(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	23	170	37	-19	3.24	45%	-0.1	-6.3	4.09%	0.6	-0.5	33	0.9
14	May_18_2020	128.03	121.73	120.3	118.3	117.4	119.02	121.56(3.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	20	70	35	-25	4.2	45%	-0.11	-15.8	4.08%	1.5	-0.1	41	1.4
15	May_15_2020	128.17	121.68	120.28	118.5	117.71	115.94	116.98(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-130	-14	-49	4.73	45%	-0.15	-15	4.05%	0.6	-1.4	32	1

16	May_14_2020	128.36	121.68	120.8	119.7	119.15	115.78	116.95(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-62	-210	-62	-63	5.26	44%	-0.09	-6.8	4.08%	-0.5	-1.4	36	0.8
17	May_13_2020	128.48	121.87	121.66	120.56	120.9	119.48	115.73(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-53	-70	-53	-51	5.87	44%	-0.16	-4.7	4.09%	-1.8	-1.8	43	0.1
18	May_12_2020	128.68	122.08	122.96	122.05	122.27	122.52	120.26(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	20	-1	-11	4.77	44%	-0.12	13.8	4.06%	-1.2	-0.6	55	1.2
19	May_11_2020	128.84	122.26	123.56	122.51	122.44	122.33	122.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10	3	4	3.53	44%	-0.1	31.9	4.06%	1.5	0.1	65	2.3
20	May_8_2020	128.97	122.19	123.89	122.33	122.69	122.02	122.99(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-30	-3	7	4.98	44%	-0.09	51.4	4.03%	0.3	0.3	56	2

21	May_7_2020	129.09	122.11	124.07	122.11	122.28	122.56	121.23(-1.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-9	20	-14	6	4.41	43%	-0.11	66.9	4.06%	-2.3	-0.3	54	1.4
22	May_6_2020	129.23	122.03	124.14	122.97	122.37	123.35	123.17(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	40	7	27	3.85	43%	-0.09	95	4.06%	0.7	0.4	65	0.8
23	May_5_2020	129.35	121.65	123.82	124.08	123.09	122	122.58(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-90	-4	31	3.89	45%	-0.09	102.1	4.06%	0.9	0.3	58	1.1
24	May_4_2020	129.47	121.29	123.32	124.81	124.34	121.38	121.68(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-34	-180	-49	11	4.01	46%	-0.1	103.8	4.11%	-0.6	0.1	47	0.5
25	May_1_2020	129.6	120.6	123.24	125.66	125.91	124.18	121.87(-2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-32	-90	-48	17	4.91	47%		83.5	4.1%	-1.4	0.3	52	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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