Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(IBM)
IBM latest price $148.2301 (0.86%) ($146.7359 - $149.2798) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $148.2301(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   IBM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBM advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(70%)    IWD(70%)    SDY(69%)    VYM(68%)    SPY(65%)
Factors Impacting IBM price   IBM will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $146.51(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $146.49(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144.52(2.57%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $132.011b

International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which provides integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Cognitive Solutions, Global Business Services, Technology Services & Cloud Platforms, Systems, and Global Financing. The Cognitive Solutions segment comprises a portfolio of capabilities that help IBM's clients to identify actionable insights and inform decision making for competitive advantage. It includes Watson, a cognitive computing platform that has the ability to interact in natural language, process amounts of big data, and learn from interactions with people and computers. This segment consists of Solutions Software, which provides the basis for many of the company's strategic areas including analytics, security and social; and Transaction Processing Software, which includes software that primarily runs mission-critical systems in industries such as banking, airlines and retail. The Global Business Services segment provides clients with consulting, application management and global process services. The Technology Services & Cloud Platforms segment provides comprehensive IT infrastructure and platform services that create business value for clients. The Systems segment provides clients with innovative infrastructure platforms to help meet the requirements of hybrid cloud and enterprise AI workload. The Global Financing segment encompasses two primary businesses: financing, primarily conducted through IBM Credit LLC, and remanufacturing and remarketing. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.

$. IBM price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2017	138.72	144.52	146.49	146.51			148.23(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	3	43	6.32	70%	0.09	52.3	1.3%	0	1.5	72	0
2	Dec_11_2017	138.59	144.13	146.09	146.25			146.97(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-2	43	4.1	72%	0.07	48.5	1.29%	0	1.1	74	0
3	Dec_8_2017	138.49	143.83	145.78	146.45			146.4(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	14	-10000	0	56	3.52	72%	0.07	50	1.31%	0	1	77	0
4	Dec_7_2017	138.39	143.61	145.51	146.44			145.23(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-1	65	3.77	72%	0.07	49.4	1.31%	0	0.7	73	0
5	Dec_6_2017	138.3	143.44	145.36	146.52			145.73(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	81	3.41	72%	0.02	46.4	1.31%	0	1	81	0

6	Dec_5_2017	138.27	143.24	145.17	146.41			146.92(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	93	5.07	72%	0.04	41.7	1.3%	0	1.6	74	0
7	Dec_4_2017	138.22	142.94	144.72	145.87			147.97(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	30	-10000	9	92	4.66	72%	0.04	30.7	1.3%	0	2.3	81	0
8	Dec_1_2017	138.17	142.61	144	145.02			146.36(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	6	77	5.57	72%	0.03	19.2	1.31%	0	2	72	0
9	Nov_30_2017	138.13	142.45	143.47	144.47			145.61(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	4	64	6.5	72%	0.02	11.1	1.3%	0	1.9	63	0
10	Nov_29_2017	138.1	142.35	142.84	144.05			145.21(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	3	50	5.1	72%	0.03	6.4	1.3%	0	1.8	63	0

11	Nov_28_2017	138.06	142.35	142.38	143.75			144.19(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	43	3.97	69%	0.01	-3.9	1.3%	0	1.3	61	0
12	Nov_27_2017	138.04	142.27	142	143.38			143.73(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	6	35	3.37	69%	0.01	-25.7	1.31%	0	1	61	0
13	Nov_24_2017	138.02	142.27	141.72	142.81			143.6(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	6	23	1.19	69%	-0.01	-60	1.31%	0	0.9	56	0
14	Nov_22_2017	138.04	142.26	141.54	142.29			143.53(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	10	11	3.21	70%	0.04	-89.6	1.3%	0	0.8	47	0
15	Nov_21_2017	137.99	142.25	141.35	141.41			143.7(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	6	-13	3.76	70%	0	-111.1	1.3%	0	0.9	45	0

16	Nov_20_2017	137.99	142.34	141.12	140.83			142.34(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	4	-33	5.68	70%	0	-74.4	1.3%	0	0	39	0
17	Nov_17_2017	137.99	142.65	141	140.43			140.88(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-0	-52	4.92	66%	-0.01	-42.9	1.3%	0	-0.6	31	0
18	Nov_16_2017	138.01	143.16	141.09	140.47			141.02(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-2	-58	5.45	66%	-0.02	-19.7	1.31%	0	-0.7	36	0
19	Nov_15_2017	138.04	143.62	141.33	140.69			139.11(-1.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-58	4.77	64%	-0.03	0	1.3%	0	-1.3	24	0
20	Nov_14_2017	138.08	144.13	141.84	141.25			140.81(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-2	-46	3.76	64%	-0.02	18.1	1.29%	0	-0.9	30	0

21	Nov_13_2017	138.11	144.01	142.17	141.44			140.34(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-49	5.11	64%	-0.02	16.7	1.29%	0	-1	19	0
22	Nov_10_2017	138.14	143.92	142.59	141.62			141.06(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-17	-10000	-2	-60	4.31	64%	-0.01	17.2	1.29%	0	-0.7	14	0
23	Nov_9_2017	138.16	143.8	142.88	141.79			142.14(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-3	-82	4.78	64%	0	18.5	1.28%	0	-0.4	12	0
24	Nov_8_2017	138.16	143.62	143.05	142.08			141.92(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-10000	-5	-99	4.63	64%	-0.01	20.2	1.28%	0	-0.4	19	0
25	Nov_7_2017	138.18	143.48	143.24	142.54			141.72(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-6	-109	3.7	61%		24.1	1.28%	0	-0.4	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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