Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: IBM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(IBM)
IBM latest price $108.7399 (1.4%) ($107.4996 - $109.0500) on Tue. Feb. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $108.7399(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   IBM declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(68%)    IWD(68%)    SDY(67%)    VYM(67%)    SPY(63%)
Factors Impacting IBM price   IBM will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.36(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.04(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.62(0.11%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $96.841b

International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which provides integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Cognitive Solutions, Global Business Services, Technology Services & Cloud Platforms, Systems, and Global Financing. The Cognitive Solutions segment comprises a portfolio of capabilities that help IBM's clients to identify actionable insights and inform decision making for competitive advantage. It includes Watson, a cognitive computing platform that has the ability to interact in natural language, process amounts of big data, and learn from interactions with people and computers. This segment consists of Solutions Software, which provides the basis for many of the company's strategic areas including analytics, security and social; and Transaction Processing Software, which includes software that primarily runs mission-critical systems in industries such as banking, airlines and retail. The Global Business Services segment provides clients with consulting, application management and global process services. The Technology Services & Cloud Platforms segment provides comprehensive IT infrastructure and platform services that create business value for clients. The Systems segment provides clients with innovative infrastructure platforms to help meet the requirements of hybrid cloud and enterprise AI workload. The Global Financing segment encompasses two primary businesses: financing, primarily conducted through IBM Credit LLC, and remanufacturing and remarketing. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.

$. IBM price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2016	119.23	108.62	109.04	107.36			108.74(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-13	-10000	-10	-23	4.06	36%	-0.19	-86.6	1.4%	0	0.1	54	0
2	Feb_12_2016	119.46	108.86	109.12	108.11			107.23(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-11	-10000	-15	-0	4.94	33%	-0.16	-72.3	1.39%	0	-0.6	52	0
3	Feb_11_2016	119.65	109.29	109.36	109.21			104.41(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-7	-10000	-20	31	7.31	28%	-0.18	-52.2	1.36%	0	-1.6	45	0
4	Feb_10_2016	119.86	109.82	109.72	110.72			106.48(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	12	-10000	-8	70	6.47	30%	-0.17	-43.7	1.34%	0	-1.1	49	0
5	Feb_9_2016	120.06	110.31	109.76	111.3			109.92(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	28	-10000	6	92	5.96	31%	-0.15	-39.9	1.28%	0	-0.1	61	0

6	Feb_8_2016	120.24	110.63	109.53	110.88			112.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	9	65	7.36	33%	-0.11	-43.3	1.28%	0	0.5	48	0
7	Feb_5_2016	120.37	110.74	108.97	110.27			112.75(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	9	25	7.18	33%	-0.14	-53	1.28%	0	0.5	44	0
8	Feb_4_2016	120.54	110.89	108.41	109.61			111.95(2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	14	-24	5.27	33%	-0.14	-62.1	1.28%	0	0.3	37	0
9	Feb_3_2016	120.71	111.17	107.96	108.66			109.38(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	10	-80	6.22	27%	-0.16	-67.9	1.24%	0	-0.4	36	0
10	Feb_2_2016	120.9	111.63	107.7	108			107.82(-1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-34	-10000	1	-140	3.29	23%	-0.17	-69.6	1.23%	0	-0.9	29	0

11	Feb_1_2016	121.1	112.19	108.1	107.94			109.47(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	8	-160	3.57	24%	-0.16	-70	1.22%	0	-0.6	30	0
12	Jan_29_2016	121.29	112.72	108.48	107.45			109.44(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-41	-10000	6	-181	8.25	24%	-0.15	-73	1.22%	0	-0.7	35	0
13	Jan_28_2016	121.47	113.33	109.11	107.05			107.18(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-10000	-2	-201	3.94	24%	-0.16	-70.9	1.19%	0	-1.2	27	0
14	Jan_27_2016	121.66	114.09	109.86	107.17			106.08(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-54	-10000	-2	-209	5.03	21%	-0.19	-65.7	1.22%	0	-1.6	21	0
15	Jan_26_2016	121.89	114.84	110.89	107.33			107.51(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-63	-10000	-14	-209	4.62	22%	-0.12	-63.8	1.3%	0	-1.4	22	0

16	Jan_25_2016	122.04	115.54	111.81	108.3			107.06(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-65	-10000	-20	-201	5.45	22%	-0.16	-60.2	1.3%	0	-1.7	20	0
17	Jan_22_2016	122.23	116.28	112.68	109.69			107.43(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-67	-10000	-25	-194	9.24	28%	-0.16	-57.6	1.3%	0	-1.9	19	0
18	Jan_21_2016	122.43	116.99	113.61	111.52			107.79(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-10000	-19	-170	8.85	28%	-0.15	-51.5	1.34%	0	-2.1	17	0
19	Jan_20_2016	122.62	117.59	114.72	112.97			106.87(-4.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-59	-10000	-25	-159	16.16	23%	-0.15	-48.6	1.33%	0	-2.8	14	0
20	Jan_19_2016	122.8	118.22	116	114.91			112.35(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-10000	-11	-115	9.98	27%	-0.19	-46	1.39%	0	-2	28	0

21	Jan_15_2016	123.03	118.62	116.7	115.8			114.03(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-4	-105	9.01	29%	-0.12	-45	1.37%	0	-1.8	29	0
22	Jan_14_2016	123.18	119.04	117.36	115.8			116.56(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	0	-103	5.71	31%	-0.1	-42.6	1.35%	0	-1.1	33	0
23	Jan_13_2016	123.3	119.26	117.89	116.08			115.03(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-9	-106	4.7	31%	-0.06	-42.7	1.33%	0	-1.8	30	0
24	Jan_12_2016	123.37	119.49	118.63	116.78			116.55(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-6	-80	5.08	31%	-0.07	-45.4	1.33%	0	-1.4	44	0
25	Jan_11_2016	123.46	119.59	119.05	117.29			116.84(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-6	-62	4.97	31%		-52.8	1.33%	0	-1.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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