Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Biotech large cap etf)
IBB latest price $106.9900 (0.78%) ($103.7100 - $107.0100) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $106.9900(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   IBB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IBB advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IBB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(86%)    XLV(76%)    QQQ(71%)    IWM(70%)    SPY(70%)
Factors Impacting IBB price   IBB will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.88(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.44(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.53(3.34%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. IBB price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	102.75	103.53	105.44	105.88			106.99(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	4	64	4.98	54%	0.11	44.1	1.82%	0	1.7	66	0
2	Jan_21_2015	102.64	103.31	105.13	105.52			106.16(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	64	4.41	54%	0.09	47.1	1.84%	0	1.3	63	0
3	Jan_20_2015	102.55	103.26	104.58	105.29			107.74(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	6	57	5.04	54%	0.14	47.6	1.84%	0	1.9	63	0
4	Jan_16_2015	102.41	103.07	103.98	104.74			105.94(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	3	46	5.79	54%	0.1	49.3	1.85%	0	1.4	61	0
5	Jan_15_2015	102.31	102.83	103.59	104.44			102.57(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-5	46	5.41	49%	0	43.9	1.8%	0	-0.1	61	0

6	Jan_14_2015	102.31	102.62	103.48	104.89			105.19(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	3	69	4.44	53%	0.09	34	1.77%	0	1.3	75	0
7	Jan_13_2015	102.22	102.32	103.12	104.65			104.99(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	10	63	7.13	53%	0.08	17.4	1.8%	0	1.2	54	0
8	Jan_12_2015	102.14	102.16	102.86	103.71			105.02(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	7	36	6.64	53%	0.09	4.1	1.83%	0	1.3	47	0
9	Jan_9_2015	102.05	102.05	102.56	103.09			104.44(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	5	17	3.11	53%	0.08	-1.4	1.86%	0	1.1	49	0
10	Jan_8_2015	101.97	101.95	102.11	102.63			104.81(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	7	4.24	53%	0.1	-7.3	1.88%	0	1.4	57	0

11	Jan_7_2015	101.87	101.95	101.46	101.89			104(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	5	-6	4.65	53%	0.07	-12.2	1.91%	0	1	62	0
12	Jan_6_2015	101.8	101.93	101.31	101.4			100.27(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-5	-8	5.65	47%	-0.06	-8.9	1.82%	0	-0.8	54	0
13	Jan_5_2015	101.86	102.07	101.83	101.88			101.95(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-1	13	4.63	47%	0.01	1	1.83%	0	-0.1	50	0
14	Jan_2_2015	101.85	102.08	102.07	101.93			102.11(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	5	20	2.78	47%	0.01	3.3	1.86%	0	0	48	0
15	Dec_31_2014	101.84	102.11	101.98	101.49			101.12(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	6	8	3.75	47%	-0.03	3.9	1.89%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Dec_30_2014	101.87	102.17	101.71	100.91			101.54(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-3	-25	1.74	47%	-0.02	1	1.92%	0	-0.3	44	0
17	Dec_29_2014	101.89	102.12	101.51	101.21			102.67(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-6	-36	2.16	47%	0.04	0	1.95%	0	0.3	46	0
18	Dec_26_2014	101.85	102.05	101.42	101.82			102.2(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-28	2.5	47%	0.01	0	1.99%	0	0.1	49	0
19	Dec_24_2014	101.84	102.01	101.51	102.32			99.93(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-2	-16	3.78	43%	-0.09	0	1.98%	0	-1	47	0
20	Dec_23_2014	101.93	102.03	101.8	102.56			98.23(-4.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-2	-2	-10000	1	-11	10.93	43%	-0.18	0	1.99%	0	-1.8	43	0

21	Dec_22_2014	102.11	102.15	102.49	102.49			103.03(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	-10000	9	-3	6.48	51%	0.05	0	1.73%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Dec_19_2014	102.06	102.15	102.62	101.73			105.73(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	8	-10000	9	4	6.06	58%	0.2	0	1.66%	0	52.1	63	0
23	Dec_18_2014	101.86	102.15	102.3	100.99			104.66(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	3	-10000	3	1	4.55	58%	0.17	0	1.69%	0	55.4	58	0
24	Dec_17_2014	101.69	102.15	102.02	100.72			101.13(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	5.8	49%	-0.04	0	1.54%	0	55.9	51	0
25	Dec_16_2014	101.73	102.15	102.18	101.06			97.89(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-21	-8	6.09	37%		0	1.34%	0	52.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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