Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: HYG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
HYG latest price $78.4300 (-1.08%) ($78.3100 - $78.7900) on Mon. Feb. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $78.4300(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   HYG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HYG advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HYG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(99%)    SPY(77%)    IWD(76%)    IVE(75%)    VT(74%)
Factors Impacting HYG price   HYG will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-19%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $78.85
5 Day Moving Average   $78.83(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.37(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.85(-0.53%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. HYG price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.13%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.21%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2016	82.5	78.85	78.37	78.83	78.9	78.92	78.43(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	0	-13	-1	8.87	36%	-0.1	-41.1	0.66%	0	-0.5	43	0
2	Jan_29_2016	82.58	78.95	78.32	78.75	78.88	79.15	79.29(0.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	26	30	36	-3	14.22	37%	-0.1	-45.1	0.65%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Jan_28_2016	82.66	79	78.27	78.66	78.65	78.87	79.03(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	23	20	36	-18	14.62	37%	-0.08	-43.1	0.65%	0	0	43	0
4	Jan_27_2016	82.73	79.07	78.22	78.38	78.54	78.61	78.63(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	10	41	-53	14.56	37%	-0.1	-43.1	0.64%	0	-0.4	37	0
5	Jan_26_2016	82.81	79.13	78.28	78.08	78.21	78.44	78.75(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	30	25	-89	12.01	37%	-0.05	-48.1	0.64%	0	-0.4	38	0

6	Jan_25_2016	82.85	79.22	78.33	77.86	77.79	78.48	78.05(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	60	47	-107	16.45	35%	-0.11	-50.7	0.63%	0	-1.1	34	0
7	Jan_22_2016	82.94	79.35	78.47	77.83	77.65	77.99	78.83(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	31	20	78	-112	17.65	37%	-0.08	-52.6	0.62%	0	-0.5	34	0
8	Jan_21_2016	83.01	79.42	78.55	77.85	77.48	77.11	77.64(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-76	-50	-42	-177	20.07	31%	-0.11	-50.4	0.59%	0	-1.6	22	0
9	Jan_20_2016	83.1	79.51	78.8	78.04	77.82	77.31	77.12(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-121	-50	-96	-194	25.97	29%	-0.11	-45.9	0.58%	0	-2.3	15	0
10	Jan_19_2016	83.19	79.65	79.12	78.52	78.37	77.85	77.64(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-101	-50	-82	-157	15.98	30%	-0.14	-41.1	0.57%	0	-2.3	26	0

11	Jan_15_2016	83.31	79.77	79.38	78.87	78.84	78.33	77.91(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-98	-50	-85	-137	27.31	30%	-0.1	-44.6	0.58%	0	-2.5	25	0
12	Jan_14_2016	83.39	79.92	79.65	79.19	79.27	78.9	78.95(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-30	-63	-112	18.57	32%	-0.08	-46.6	0.56%	0	-1.7	28	0
13	Jan_13_2016	83.46	79.98	79.81	79.35	79.54	79.36	78.6(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-61	-10	-50	-95	20.35	32%	-0.08	-48.6	0.55%	0	-2.5	33	0
14	Jan_12_2016	83.53	80	80.01	79.68	79.72	79.64	79.48(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10	-21	-46	15.22	35%	-0.06	-70.7	0.54%	0	-1.1	55	0
15	Jan_11_2016	83.58	80.01	80.07	79.83	79.83	79.73	79.4(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10	-22	-30	16.92	35%	-0.06	-83.1	0.54%	0	-1.2	51	0

16	Jan_8_2016	83.63	80.1	80.18	79.97	80	79.79	79.52(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-20	-25	-12	17.9	35%	-0.05	-92.2	0.54%	0	-1.1	48	0
17	Jan_7_2016	83.67	80.19	80.3	80.18	80.04	79.93	79.73(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10	-44	-3	11	39%	-0.05	-88.4	0.54%	0	-0.8	41	0
18	Jan_6_2016	83.71	80.26	80.36	80.34	80.24	80.2	80.25(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-1	27	11.32	41%	-0.05	-88.3	0.56%	0	-0	51	0
19	Jan_5_2016	83.75	80.34	80.28	80.39	80.32	80.14	80.25(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-20	-11	33	11.49	45%	-0.05	-90.1	0.56%	0	-0.1	62	0
20	Jan_4_2016	83.79	80.45	80.21	80.34	80.33	80.28	80.1(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-0	-25	24	14.79	45%	-0.05	-81.3	0.58%	0	-0.5	55	0

21	Dec_31_2015	83.83	80.57	80.19	80.42	80.36	80.51	80.58(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	10	11	29	7.94	44%	-0.04	-60.2	0.58%	0	0	46	0
22	Dec_30_2015	83.86	80.69	80.2	80.45	80.33	80.38	80.53(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-0	14	25	13.15	46%	-0.05	-52.1	0.59%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Dec_29_2015	83.9	80.81	80.15	80.39	80.38	80.21	80.47(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-20	12	9	7.49	46%	-0.05	-47.5	0.6%	0	-0.3	46	0
24	Dec_28_2015	83.94	80.93	80	80.15	80.25	80.27	80.01(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	10	-12	-55	7.15	42%	-0.05	-49.4	0.59%	0	-0.7	39	0
25	Dec_24_2015	83.98	81.08	79.95	80.06	80.1	80.55	80.49(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	14	40	42	-72	5.28	41%		-49.1	0.62%	0	-0.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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