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     Mon. Jul. 20, 2020



Trading Signals: HUM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Humana Inc. )

HUM latest price $396.7600 (-1.91%) ($394.6700 - $404.8400) on Mon. Jul. 20, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  HUM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  HUM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support HUM advance at 1.4% a week (55% probability)
  XLV(69%)    IBB(53%)    SPY(50%)    IVW(48%)    IWF(48%)  
Factors Impacting HUM price  HUM will advance at least 0.3% in a week (30% probabilities).
  VXX(-39%)    VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    BJK(-10%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.7
 
Relative Volatility   0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly Trend   0.86% [$400.85(1.85), $397.44(2.94)]
Last Hour Trend   0.08% [$396.65, $396.32]


HUM Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  42%
Bullish Price Move  1.7%
Bearish Probability  58%
Bearish Price Move  -1.7%
Recommended Position Size  -9%
Latest Price  $396.7600
Next Day Open Price  $397.39(0.16%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $398.39(0.41%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $407.84(2.79%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $394.98 - $399.87
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $387.62
5 Day Moving Average  $397.81(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average  $391.64(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average  $387.62(2.36%)
To recent high  -3.4%
To recent low  10.6%
Market Cap  $52.488b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Nov. 4, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $433.04 ($388.00 - $510.00)
  23 analysts (last updated on Wed. Jul. 15, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  9.14%
% to Low Target Price  -2.21%
% to High Target Price  28.54%
 


  
 
 


Humana Inc. engages in the provision of health insurance services. The firm operates through the following segments: Retail, Group and Specialty, Healthcare Services, and Individual Commercial. The Retail segment consists of products sold on a retail basis to individuals including medical and supplemental benefit plans such as Medicare, and State-based Medicaid contracts. The Group and Specialty segment contains employer group fully-insured commercial medical products and specialty health insurance benefits marketed to individuals and groups, including dental, vision, military services and other supplemental health & voluntary insurance benefits. The Healthcare Services segment offer services such as pharmacy solutions, provider services, clinical care, predictive modeling and informatics services to other Humana businesses, as well as external health plan members, external health plans, and other employers.. The Individual Commercial segment includes Individual Commercial products marketed under the HumanaOne brand. The company was founded by David A. Jones, Sr. and Wendell Cherry in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, KY.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. HUM price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.69%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. HUM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200820

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_20_2020-3.4%-10.6% 1.3%,0.6(0.1)1.2%,0.5(-0)0.8%,0.31.20.08%1%1.1-0.70.2(2.24%,NAN%)2.10.51   396.76(-1.91%)394.67-404.84Uptrend 398.39(0.41%)394.98-399.8765
2Jul_17_2020-1.5%-12.7% 1.1%,0.5(0.1)1.3%,0.6(0.1)1.2%,0.51.50.07%1.2%2.11.5-0(2.2%,NAN%)20.67   404.49(2.17%)397.69-405.19Growing Uptrend 406.27(0.44%)400.93-407.674
3Jul_16_2020-3.6%-10.3% 0.8%,0.4(0.2)1%,0.5(-0.1)0.7%,0.31.50.08%1.2%1.40.1-0.6(1.96%,NAN%)1.80.89   395.89(0.13%)392.77-401.83Uptrend 396.6(0.18%)393.75-397.8369
4Jul_15_2020-3.7%-11.8% 0.5%,0.3(0.1)1.1%,0.6(0.1)0.5%,0.31.5-0.02%1.3%1.5-0.2-0.9(1.87%,NAN%)1.80.81   395.37(-0.3%)385.58-395.85Uptrend 395.73(0.09%)393.15-396.8571
5Jul_14_2020-3.4%-12.6% 0.2%,0.1(0.2)1%,0.6(0.1)0.3%,0.10.60.59%1.3%1.90.7-1.1(1.79%,NAN%)1.31.09   396.54(3.84%)379.72-396.82Uptrend 396.5(-0.01%)393.88-397.660
 
6Jul_13_2020-7%-9.7% -0.1%,-0(-0)0.9%,0.6(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.5-0.9-0.37%1.1%-0.1-1.2-1.5(1.63%,NAN%)10.6   381.87(0.08%)381.17-390.39N/A 382.37(0.13%)381.87-382.853
7Jul_10_2020-7.1%-9.6% 0%,0(0)1.2%,0.7(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.3-2.40.17%1%-0.2-2-1.6(1.65%,NAN%)1.30.46   381.58(-0.35%)377.2-385.67Uptrend Consolidation 381.96(0.1%)381.89-382.2152
8Jul_9_2020-6.8%-12% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)1.5%,0.9(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.3-2.10.08%1%0.1-0.9-1.5(1.72%,NAN%)10.94   382.92(-0.8%)378.62-387.59N/A 383.53(0.16%)382.42-384.4155
9Jul_8_2020-6%-14.5% 0.1%,0(0.1)1.6%,0.9(-0.1)-0.1%,-0-0.6-0.09%0.6%0.5-0.8-1.3(1.82%,NAN%)1.10.54   386(-1.46%)384.02-396.03N/A 386.19(0.05%)383.89-388.1150
10Jul_7_2020-4.6%-22.4% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)1.8%,1(0.2)0.6%,0.30.6-0.27%0.5%1.21.1-1.3(1.86%,NAN%)10.89   391.7(-1.2%)390.74-397.56Uptrend Reversal 394.05(0.6%)392.07-395.3550
 
11Jul_6_2020-3.5%-23.9% -0.3%,-0.2(0.3)1.5%,0.7(0.3)1.1%,0.61.5-0.06%0.1%1.71.2-1(2%,NAN%)1.10.65   396.46(1.17%)389.62-396.76Uptrend Reversal 399(0.64%)396.86-400.4250
12Jul_2_2020-4.6%-34.4% -0.9%,-0.5(0.2)0.9%,0.5(0.2)0.8%,0.42.40.01%-0.2%1.31-1.5(1.91%,NAN%)1.20.67   391.89(0.09%)390.01-397.71Uptrend Reversal 394.28(0.61%)392.26-395.6450
13Jul_1_2020-4.7%-34.3% -1.3%,-0.6(0.2)0.6%,0.3(0.4)1.1%,0.52.10.17%-0.6%1.21-1.5(1.94%,NAN%)0.90.87   391.55(0.98%)385.77-395Uptrend Reversal 393.98(0.62%)391.93-395.3550
14Jun_30_2020-5.6%-33% -1.6%,-0.7(0)-0.3%,-0.1(0.2)0.3%,0.10.90.26%-0.9%0.60.8-0.7(2.25%,NAN%)0.40.91   387.75(2.21%)379-389.3Rebound 384.45(-0.85%)386.88-383.450
15Jun_29_2020-7.6%-30.1% -1.6%,-0.7(-0)-0.8%,-0.3(0.2)-0%,-00.6-0.03%-1.4%-0.40.2-0.2(2.44%,NAN%)0.40.73   379.36(1.26%)373.67-379.9Rebound 380.88(0.4%)377.97-382.1450
 
16Jun_26_2020-8.8%-28.5% -1.5%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.4(0)-0.3%,-0.1-0.3-0.28%-1.6%-0.90.11(2.81%,NAN%)0.11.16   374.64(-0.4%)373.25-380.31Downtrend 373.7(-0.25%)372.54-376.4850
17Jun_25_2020-8.4%-39.8% -1.3%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.3%,-0.5(0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-1.20.1%-2%-0.9-0.61.3(2.88%,NAN%)0.20.59   376.13(1.16%)365.06-376.91Downtrend Consolidation 375.98(-0.04%)379.92-374.6950
18Jun_24_2020-9.5%-58.8% 0%,0(-0.1)0%,0(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.2-0.60.24%-2.4%-1.4-0.71.3(2.86%,NAN%)00.71   371.8(-2.61%)365.91-382.39Range Bound 374.44(0.71%)377.65-371.850
19Jun_23_2020-7%-78% 0%,0(0)0%,0(0.2)0.2%,0.100.03%-2.2%-0.7-0.61(2.72%,NAN%)0.10.73   381.78(0.52%)375.51-385.89Range Bound 383.19(0.37%)384.89-381.7850
20Jun_22_2020-7.5%-77.1% 0%,0(0)0%,0(0.1)0.1%,00.3-0.01%-2.2%-0.9-0.71.1(2.74%,NAN%)0.30.65   379.81(-0.25%)371.3-381.43Range Bound 381.44(0.43%)383.45-379.8150
 
21Jun_19_2020-7.3%-77.6% 0%,0(-0)0%,0(0.2)0.1%,0-0.30.06%-2%-0.9-0.51(2.67%,NAN%)-0.10.96   380.76(0.45%)379.69-389.73Range Bound 382.36(0.42%)384.32-380.7650
22Jun_18_2020-7.7%-76.8% 0%,0(-0)0%,0(0.2)0.3%,0.100.08%-1.9%-1.2-0.90.8(2.61%,NAN%)-0.30.79   379.07(-0.24%)373-379.46Range Bound 381.31(0.59%)384.01-379.0750
23Jun_17_2020-7.5%-77.2% 0%,0(-0.1)0%,0(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.30.9-0.04%-1.8%-1.2-0.80.5(2.5%,NAN%)-0.70.95   380(0.53%)377.1-383.23Range Bound 381.94(0.51%)384.27-38050
24Jun_16_2020-8%-76.3% -0.6%,-0.3(-0.1)-3%,-1.3(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.30-0.29%-1.6%-1.5-1.10.1(2.39%,NAN%)-0.70.94   378(-0.22%)375-388.07Growing Downtrend 377.47(-0.14%)376.19-380.7138
25Jun_15_2020-7.7%-76.7% -0.3%,-0.1(-0.2)-2.6%,-1.1(-0.3)-1%,-0.5-1.20.3%-1.2%-1.7-0.5-0.4(2.22%,NAN%)-1.21.01   378.85(0.03%)366.06-379.3Growing Downtrend 378.62(-0.06%)377.59-381.5941
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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