Trading Signals: HUM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: HUM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Humana Inc. )
HUM latest price $182.7900 (1.01%) ($180.0800 - $183.0100) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $182.7900(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   HUM advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HUM advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HUM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(57%)    IVE(48%)    SPY(47%)    VYM(46%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting HUM price   HUM will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $178.14(2.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.89(6.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $166.82(9.57%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.4%
Market Cap   $24.182b

Humana Inc. engages in the provision of health insurance services. The firm operates through the following segments: Retail, Group and Specialty, Healthcare Services, and Individual Commercial. The Retail segment consists of products sold on a retail basis to individuals including medical and supplemental benefit plans such as Medicare, and State-based Medicaid contracts. The Group and Specialty segment contains employer group fully-insured commercial medical products and specialty health insurance benefits marketed to individuals and groups, including dental, vision, military services and other supplemental health & voluntary insurance benefits. The Healthcare Services segment offer services such as pharmacy solutions, provider services, clinical care, predictive modeling and informatics services to other Humana businesses, as well as external health plan members, external health plans, and other employers.. The Individual Commercial segment includes Individual Commercial products marketed under the HumanaOne brand. The company was founded by David A. Jones, Sr. and Wendell Cherry in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, KY.

$. HUM price fluctuates within 4.41% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2015	152.12	166.82	170.89	178.14			182.79(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	72	-10000	23	218	2.26	76%	0.27	85.7	1.61%	0	2.2	76	0
2	Mar_19_2015	151.71	165.45	168.54	174.88			180.96(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	-10000	24	171	1.7	73%	0.26	81.1	1.62%	0	2.3	69	0
3	Mar_18_2015	151.32	164.04	166.56	171.54			178.63(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	-10000	25	127	1.85	75%	0.25	76.1	1.64%	0	2.4	69	0
4	Mar_17_2015	150.94	162.83	164.62	168.02			174(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	22	72	1.65	75%	0.21	72.4	1.68%	0	2.1	60	0
5	Mar_16_2015	150.62	161.85	163.17	165.02			174.31(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	20	-10000	18	26	2.8	73%	0.22	71.4	1.69%	0	2.7	62	0

6	Mar_13_2015	150.29	160.74	161.82	162.62			166.5(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	11	-12	1.53	70%	0.15	71.1	1.59%	0	1.4	52	0
7	Mar_12_2015	150.06	160.11	161.52	161.27			164.28(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.99	70%	0.14	65.9	1.6%	0	1	64	0
8	Mar_11_2015	149.85	159.57	161.38	160.84			161(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	1	-2	0.96	68%	0.11	64.8	1.58%	0	0.3	65	0
9	Mar_10_2015	149.69	159.13	161.78	160.68			159(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-2	16	2.36	66%	0.09	63.3	1.58%	0	-0	58	0
10	Mar_9_2015	149.55	158.6	162.33	160.93			162.34(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	1	42	1.05	69%	0.13	58.1	1.57%	0	0.7	65	0

11	Mar_6_2015	149.36	157.9	162.53	160.86			159.73(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-7	65	1.25	68%	0.11	55.4	1.55%	0	0.3	65	0
12	Mar_5_2015	149.2	157.46	162.27	161.79			162.11(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-2	87	0.97	70%	0.13	59.4	1.55%	0	0.8	67	0
13	Mar_4_2015	149	156.89	161.48	162.04			160.22(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-8	90	2.3	70%	0.12	62.1	1.56%	0	0.6	66	0
14	Mar_3_2015	148.82	156.33	161.07	163.07			160.25(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-10000	-7	116	1.22	71%	0.13	64.2	1.56%	0	0.7	68	0
15	Mar_2_2015	148.63	155.64	160.6	163.91			162(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	35	-10000	-4	151	2.14	71%	0.15	61.5	1.56%	0	1	77	0

16	Feb_27_2015	148.41	154.87	159.72	164.41			164.38(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	55	-10000	13	182	1.5	71%	0.18	59.8	1.55%	0	1.5	80	0
17	Feb_26_2015	148.15	154.1	158.65	162.76			163.35(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	-10000	16	171	1.72	71%	0.18	52.7	1.56%	0	1.5	71	0
18	Feb_25_2015	147.89	153.35	157.64	160.75			165.37(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	50	-10000	16	153	0.8	71%	0.2	42.7	1.56%	0	2.1	75	0
19	Feb_24_2015	147.59	152.56	156.23	158.75			164.44(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	-10000	16	134	1.02	71%	0.2	39.6	1.57%	0	2.4	76	0
20	Feb_23_2015	147.29	151.87	154.48	156.84			164.52(5.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	43	-10000	19	114	3.26	71%	0.2	37.1	1.58%	0	3.1	79	0

21	Feb_20_2015	146.99	151.14	152.75	154.47			156.12(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	4	87	1.29	67%	0.12	36.1	1.44%	0	1.7	71	0
22	Feb_19_2015	146.82	150.98	152.15	153.99			153.28(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	-0	82	1.06	65%	0.08	43.9	1.44%	0	0.8	57	0
23	Feb_18_2015	146.7	150.95	151.88	154			155.4(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	91	0.72	65%	0.11	55.6	1.44%	0	1.6	63	0
24	Feb_17_2015	146.54	150.61	151.18	153.25			154.86(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	14	78	0.91	65%	0.11	57.4	1.45%	0	1.7	57	0
25	Feb_13_2015	146.38	150.34	150.3	151.7			152.67(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	9	38	0.73	65%		50.6	1.45%	0	1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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