Trading Signals: HUM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: HUM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Humana Inc. )
HUM latest price $147.7400 (-1.74%) ($147.3600 - $150.5900) on Fri. Feb. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $147.7400(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   HUM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HUM declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HUM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(57%)    IVE(48%)    SPY(47%)    VYM(46%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting HUM price   HUM will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $149.17
5 Day Moving Average   $148.64(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $149.05(-0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.17(-0.96%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $19.545b

Humana Inc. engages in the provision of health insurance services. The firm operates through the following segments: Retail, Group and Specialty, Healthcare Services, and Individual Commercial. The Retail segment consists of products sold on a retail basis to individuals including medical and supplemental benefit plans such as Medicare, and State-based Medicaid contracts. The Group and Specialty segment contains employer group fully-insured commercial medical products and specialty health insurance benefits marketed to individuals and groups, including dental, vision, military services and other supplemental health & voluntary insurance benefits. The Healthcare Services segment offer services such as pharmacy solutions, provider services, clinical care, predictive modeling and informatics services to other Humana businesses, as well as external health plan members, external health plans, and other employers.. The Individual Commercial segment includes Individual Commercial products marketed under the HumanaOne brand. The company was founded by David A. Jones, Sr. and Wendell Cherry in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, KY.

$. HUM price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2015	145.81	149.17	149.05	148.64			147.74(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	2	-37	1.16	62%	0.03	63.6	1.46%	0	-0.6	46	0
2	Feb_5_2015	145.77	149.18	149.42	148.38			150.36(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	1	-34	1.2	66%	0.08	69.5	1.44%	0	0.5	56	0
3	Feb_4_2015	145.66	148.79	149.69	148.23			150.54(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	3	-21	1.78	66%	0.08	50	1.46%	0	0.6	58	0
4	Feb_3_2015	145.55	148.25	149.93	147.91			148.58(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-13	1.24	66%	0.05	31.3	1.47%	0	0.1	56	0
5	Feb_2_2015	145.48	147.83	149.99	148.34			145.98(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-11	-1	1.54	64%	0.01	23.9	1.46%	0	-0.5	55	0

6	Jan_30_2015	145.47	147.71	150.44	149.54			146.44(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-9	26	1.01	64%	0.01	30.4	1.48%	0	-0.3	52	0
7	Jan_29_2015	145.45	147.6	150.66	150.55			149.62(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-7	44	0.92	69%	0.08	35.7	1.45%	0	0.5	56	0
8	Jan_28_2015	145.34	147.4	150.5	151.36			148.91(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-8	72	0.98	69%	0.06	40.4	1.47%	0	0.4	68	0
9	Jan_27_2015	145.25	147.18	150.35	152.23			150.75(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	3	112	0.63	69%	0.1	44.6	1.47%	0	0.8	76	0
10	Jan_26_2015	145.11	146.89	149.86	151.87			152(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	-10000	4	125	0.82	69%	0.13	38.7	1.48%	0	1.2	78	0

11	Jan_23_2015	144.92	146.49	149.34	151.46			151.47(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	6	130	0.66	69%	0.12	39.2	1.5%	0	1.2	65	0
12	Jan_22_2015	144.74	146.13	148.96	150.75			153.65(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	11	135	0.99	69%	0.18	39.2	1.5%	0	1.9	68	0
13	Jan_21_2015	144.48	145.72	147.78	149.53			153.28(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	11	108	1.64	69%	0.17	38.9	1.52%	0	2.2	61	0
14	Jan_20_2015	144.23	145.33	146.38	148.24			148.97(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	6	78	1.66	65%	0.1	38.4	1.47%	0	1.2	58	0
15	Jan_16_2015	144.08	145.29	145.44	147.55			149.94(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	6	52	0.82	65%	0.13	45.3	1.49%	0	1.7	58	0

16	Jan_15_2015	143.9	144.94	144.71	146.91			147.92(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	0	37	0.88	65%	0.09	43.8	1.49%	0	1.1	57	0
17	Jan_14_2015	143.77	144.61	144.25	146.9			147.55(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	11	39	0.95	65%	0.09	40.9	1.52%	0	1.1	55	0
18	Jan_13_2015	143.64	144.37	144.01	145.73			146.84(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	14	21	0.79	65%	0.08	26.1	1.54%	0	0.9	50	0
19	Jan_12_2015	143.53	144.2	143.73	144.18			145.51(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	11	-8	0.79	65%	0.05	8.9	1.57%	0	0.5	47	0
20	Jan_9_2015	143.46	144.05	143.66	142.92			146.75(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-4	-10000	7	-38	1.22	65%	0.08	-2.2	1.58%	0	1	43	0

21	Jan_8_2015	143.34	143.78	143.37	142.17			147.83(4.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.2	-7	-10000	7	-47	1.35	65%	0.12	-11.3	1.6%	0	1.6	58	0
22	Jan_7_2015	143.17	143.54	142.99	141.33			141.73(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-8	-65	0.88	57%	-0.04	-15.4	1.41%	0	-0.7	53	0
23	Jan_6_2015	143.23	143.69	143.44	142.14			139.09(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-11	-46	1.77	53%	-0.12	4.2	1.39%	0	-1.9	44	0
24	Jan_5_2015	143.4	143.98	144.2	143.21			139.2(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-12	-21	1.69	53%	-0.13	0	1.42%	0	-2.3	43	0
25	Jan_2_2015	143.58	144.12	145.2	144.39			142.99(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-3	20	0.98	62%		0	1.33%	0	-0.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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