Trading Signals: HLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: HLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc)
HLT latest price $73.6500 (-1.48%) ($73.4600 - $76.1100) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $73.6500(-1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   HLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HLT advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(70%)    JETS(64%)    IWM(61%)    IWN(60%)    IVE(59%)
Factors Impacting HLT price   HLT will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.52(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.14(-0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.06(2.21%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $20.424b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of hospitality businesses. It operates through the following segments: Ownership and Management & Franchise. The Ownership segment includes owned, leased, and joint venture hotels. The Management & Franchise segment manages hotels and timeshare properties, and license its brands to franchisees. The company was founded by Conrad Hilton on March 18, 2010 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. HLT price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	78.28	72.06	74.14	73.52			73.65(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	1	38	1.46	44%	-0.18	13.9	2%	0	0.6	64	0
2	Oct_20_2015	78.42	71.88	74.06	73.45			74.76(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-10000	-1	51	2.06	44%	-0.17	3.1	1.99%	0	1	72	0
3	Oct_19_2015	78.55	71.68	73.74	73.49			72.51(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-9	74	1.36	42%	-0.19	-3.2	1.95%	0	0.3	76	0
4	Oct_16_2015	78.7	71.65	73.71	74.12			72.66(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-8	115	2.17	42%	-0.19	-3.7	1.95%	0	0.4	74	0
5	Oct_15_2015	78.85	71.6	73.56	74.72			74.04(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	-10000	-2	142	2.79	42%	-0.19	-5.5	1.94%	0	0.9	64	0

6	Oct_14_2015	79	71.67	73.23	74.84			73.26(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	40	-10000	2	155	1.83	42%	-0.18	-4.5	1.94%	0	0.5	61	0
7	Oct_13_2015	79.14	71.8	72.82	74.72			75(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	10	156	1.92	43%	-0.05	-5.4	1.92%	0	1	64	0
8	Oct_12_2015	79.18	71.76	71.93	73.99			75.66(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	11	119	1.24	43%	-0.16	-13	1.93%	0	1.2	61	0
9	Oct_9_2015	79.31	71.75	70.99	73.24			75.63(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	14	79	1.91	45%	-0.16	-15.9	1.95%	0	1.2	57	0
10	Oct_8_2015	79.44	71.76	70.31	72.26			74.67(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	12	44	2.32	44%	-0.18	-20.8	1.94%	0	0.9	56	0

11	Oct_7_2015	79.58	71.81	69.75	71.41			72.63(1.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	8	-10000	11	-3	2.11	41%	-0.2	-23.1	1.92%	0	0.2	38	0
12	Oct_6_2015	79.74	71.96	69.46	70.65			71.37(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	17	-46	1.4	41%	-0.23	-23.9	1.91%	0	-0.2	34	0
13	Oct_5_2015	79.92	72.18	69.38	69.52			71.88(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	18	-90	2.01	41%	-0.21	-30.5	1.91%	0	-0.1	40	0
14	Oct_2_2015	80.09	72.27	69.35	68.36			70.74(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-31	-10000	5	-140	11.5	41%	-0.22	-41.1	1.91%	0	-0.4	34	0
15	Oct_1_2015	80.27	72.44	69.42	68.07			70.44(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-40	-10000	3	-169	5.45	41%	-0.21	-44.2	1.91%	0	-0.6	32	0

16	Sep_30_2015	80.44	72.59	69.92	67.9			68.82(4.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-10000	-4	-180	3.24	39%	-0.25	-46.3	1.89%	0	-1.1	29	0
17	Sep_29_2015	80.64	72.79	70.63	68.15			65.7(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-61	-10000	-17	-192	2.04	32%	-0.3	-44.4	1.78%	0	-2.1	16	0
18	Sep_28_2015	80.88	73.26	71.59	69.22			66.12(-4.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-57	-10000	-19	-170	2.59	32%	-0.31	-36.4	1.81%	0	-2.4	17	0
19	Sep_25_2015	81.13	73.74	72.64	70.41			69.27(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-10000	-8	-135	2.02	35%	-0.23	-28.1	1.73%	0	-1.8	37	0
20	Sep_24_2015	81.32	74.03	73.39	70.93			69.57(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-10000	-21	-118	2.34	35%	-0.22	-25.1	1.73%	0	-2	36	0

21	Sep_23_2015	81.5	74.24	74.09	72.27			70.08(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-10000	-20	-72	2.16	35%	-0.22	-19.2	1.73%	0	-2.1	43	0
22	Sep_22_2015	81.68	74.31	74.74	73.54			71.04(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-12	-22	2.06	35%	-0.21	-17.4	1.72%	0	-1.7	50	0
23	Sep_21_2015	81.85	74.34	75.27	74.33			72.09(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-10000	-13	5	1.87	35%	-0.22	-22.2	1.72%	0	-1.2	44	0
24	Sep_18_2015	82.03	74.43	75.5	75.2			71.88(-5.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-6	-10000	-15	22	4.61	37%	-0.18	-18.5	1.72%	0	-1.4	42	0
25	Sep_17_2015	82.18	74.59	75.78	76.18			76.26(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	-0	56	1.51	41%		-11	1.59%	0	0.9	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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