Trading Signals: HLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: HLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc)
HLT latest price $76.9500 (0.79%) ($76.0200 - $78.7500) on Tue. Jan. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $76.9500(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   HLT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HLT declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(69%)    IWM(61%)    IVE(59%)    SPY(59%)    VT(57%)
Factors Impacting HLT price   HLT will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $77.13
5 Day Moving Average   $76.83(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.82(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.13(-0.23%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $21.339b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of hospitality businesses. It operates through the following segments: Ownership and Management & Franchise. The Ownership segment includes owned, leased, and joint venture hotels. The Management & Franchise segment manages hotels and timeshare properties, and license its brands to franchisees. The company was founded by Conrad Hilton on March 18, 2010 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. HLT price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2015	77.42	77.13	76.82	76.83			76.95(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	9	-38	1.98	60%	-0.03	-27.2	1.41%	0	-0.1	45	0
2	Jan_12_2015	77.44	77.17	76.94	76.36			76.35(-1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	-10000	4	-55	1.14	60%	-0.05	-41.5	1.42%	0	-0.6	40	0
3	Jan_9_2015	77.48	77.28	77.18	76.15			77.13(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-17	-10000	-3	-59	1.41	60%	-0.01	-43.4	1.43%	0	-0.1	48	0
4	Jan_8_2015	77.49	77.32	77.32	76.29			77.91(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-11	-10000	-1	-42	1.44	60%	0.01	-39.4	1.45%	0	0.4	60	0
5	Jan_7_2015	77.48	77.35	77.34	76.36			75.81(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-9	-25	1.53	54%	-0.08	-32.1	1.37%	0	-1.1	61	0

6	Jan_6_2015	77.54	77.51	77.57	76.85			74.61(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-11	-10000	-14	-2	2.34	50%	-0.17	-15.1	1.36%	0	-2	48	0
7	Jan_5_2015	77.67	77.75	77.99	77.6			75.3(-3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-3	-10000	-13	27	1.44	50%	-0.13	0	1.38%	0	-1.9	43	0
8	Jan_2_2015	77.77	77.75	78.26	78.31			77.82(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-3	54	1.23	61%	0	0	1.22%	0	-0.1	46	0
9	Dec_31_2014	77.77	77.9	78.1	78.31			78.27(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	0	50	0.76	61%	0.04	0	1.24%	0	0.3	51	0
10	Dec_30_2014	77.74	77.82	77.73	78.47			78.27(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	26	0.56	61%	0.03	0	1.27%	0	0.4	48	0

11	Dec_29_2014	77.72	77.73	77.51	78.42			78.33(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-1	7	0.81	61%	0.05	0	1.3%	0	0.5	46	0
12	Dec_26_2014	77.68	77.73	77.42	78.46			78.84(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	5	2	0.22	61%	0.08	0	1.33%	0	61.1	47	0
13	Dec_24_2014	77.62	77.73	77.39	78.22			78.63(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	10	4	0.38	61%	0.08	0	1.36%	0	61	52	0
14	Dec_23_2014	77.56	77.73	77.3	77.67			78.3(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	15	6	1.27	61%	0.06	0	1.4%	0	59.8	52	0
15	Dec_22_2014	77.51	77.73	77.31	76.85			78(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	7	3	1.25	61%	0.04	0	1.45%	0	58.6	56	0

16	Dec_19_2014	77.48	77.73	77.39	76.45			78.54(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	3	-10000	3	1	2.07	61%	0.1	0	1.48%	0	57.3	59	0
17	Dec_18_2014	77.4	77.73	77.43	76.26			77.61(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-4	-10000	-4	-2	1.61	61%	0.01	0	1.51%	0	55.8	50	0
18	Dec_17_2014	77.39	77.73	77.46	76.49			75.9(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-8	-3	2	54%	-0.15	0	1.44%	0	52.7	50	0
19	Dec_16_2014	77.51	77.73	77.67	76.91			74.22(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-17	-7	2.95	44%	-0.39	0	1.32%	0	51.9	50	0
20	Dec_15_2014	77.81	77.73	77.96	77.8			75.96(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-13	-5	3.09	56%	-0.24	0	1.21%	0	70.3	50	0

21	Dec_12_2014	78	77.73	78.03	78.41			77.61(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-8	-3	1.17	76%	-0.05	0	1.04%	0	81.7	50	0
22	Dec_11_2014	78.04	77.73	78.03	78.74			78.78(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	4	2	1.09	100%	0.12	0	0.9%	0	79.6	50	0
23	Dec_10_2014	77.95	77.73	78.03	78.59			77.97(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	1	-10000	1	0	1	100%	0.01	0	0.93%	0	77.2	50	0
24	Dec_9_2014	77.94	77.73	78.03	78.56			78.69(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	13	5	1.05	100%	0.15	0	0.84%	0	72.9	50	0
25	Dec_8_2014	77.82	77.73	78.03	78.13			79.02(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	18	7	0.73	100%		0	0.8%	0	70.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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