Trading Signals: HCA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: HCA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(HCA Healthcare Inc)
HCA latest price $74.9300 (5.85%) ($70.2100 - $77.0800) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $74.9300(5.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   HCA advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HCA advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HCA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(58%)    IWM(57%)    PEJ(56%)    SPY(56%)    VT(53%)
Factors Impacting HCA price   HCA will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.3(3.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.39(4.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.1(6.89%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $25.323b

HCA Healthcare, Inc. is a health care services company, which engages in operating hospitals, freestanding surgery centers and emergency rooms, and urgent care centers. It offers a full range of services to accommodate such medical specialties as internal medicine, general surgery, cardiology, oncology, neurosurgery, orthopedics and obstetrics, as well as diagnostic and emergency services. The company was founded on November 22, 2010 and is headquartered in Nashville, TN.

$. HCA price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2015	71.6	70.1	71.39	72.3			74.93(5.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	-10000	13	89	12.79	62%	0.08	26.5	1.75%	0	2.8	74	0
2	Mar_3_2015	71.54	69.82	70.77	71.51			70.79(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	1	69	4.12	60%	-0.03	9.1	1.62%	0	0.7	62	0
3	Mar_2_2015	71.56	69.78	70.64	71.44			71.99(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	-10000	4	79	3.19	62%	0.01	-2.2	1.64%	0	1.7	78	0
4	Feb_27_2015	71.55	69.7	70.3	71.21			71.54(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	6	77	2.79	62%	0	0.6	1.64%	0	1.5	70	0
5	Feb_26_2015	71.55	69.71	70.04	70.86			72.27(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	9	71	3.57	62%	0.01	-1.1	1.64%	0	2	66	0

6	Feb_25_2015	71.54	69.65	69.69	70.33			70.98(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	55	2.73	61%	-0.01	-5.3	1.64%	0	1.1	61	0
7	Feb_24_2015	71.55	69.7	69.49	69.93			70.41(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	4	39	2.78	61%	-0.03	2.1	1.65%	0	0.5	51	0
8	Feb_23_2015	71.57	69.8	69.18	69.71			70.86(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	8	21	3.5	61%	-0.01	7.5	1.67%	0	0.7	51	0
9	Feb_20_2015	71.58	69.69	68.89	69.25			69.79(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	3	-7	3.09	61%	-0.04	-5.7	1.67%	0	0.1	41	0
10	Feb_19_2015	71.61	69.72	68.78	69.1			69.6(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	2	-28	3.41	61%	-0.06	-8.4	1.68%	0	-0.1	33	0

11	Feb_18_2015	71.65	69.71	68.7	69.1			69(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	0	-44	3.63	61%	-0.07	-19.6	1.7%	0	-0.5	35	0
12	Feb_17_2015	71.7	69.66	68.78	68.97			69.32(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	7	-54	2.66	61%	-0.06	-31.7	1.71%	0	-0.2	33	0
13	Feb_13_2015	71.74	69.69	68.84	68.56			68.54(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-10000	2	-80	3.32	61%	-0.1	-52.9	1.72%	0	-0.7	26	0
14	Feb_12_2015	71.81	69.77	69.05	68.45			69.02(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	1	-75	2.81	61%	-0.07	-70.2	1.73%	0	-0.5	54	0
15	Feb_11_2015	71.86	69.85	69.34	68.45			68.97(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10000	0	-69	3.84	61%	-0.08	-79.2	1.75%	0	-0.6	47	0

16	Feb_10_2015	71.92	70	69.58	68.41			69.01(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-3	-62	3.7	61%	-0.08	-75.9	1.77%	0	-0.6	51	0
17	Feb_9_2015	71.98	70.15	69.9	68.59			67.26(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-10	-42	5.21	58%	-0.14	-70.1	1.75%	0	-1.8	52	0
18	Feb_6_2015	72.08	70.52	70.48	69.17			67.98(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-9	-12	4.52	58%	-0.12	-55.2	1.76%	0	-1.5	47	0
19	Feb_5_2015	72.17	70.86	70.59	69.74			68.85(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-11	-4	4.92	58%	-0.11	-40	1.77%	0	-1.1	48	0
20	Feb_4_2015	72.25	71.06	70.77	70.4			68.96(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-8	15	5.68	58%	-0.1	-33.8	1.79%	0	-1.1	47	0

21	Feb_3_2015	72.32	71.21	70.84	70.91			69.89(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-8	16	8.46	58%	-0.08	-35	1.8%	0	-0.7	44	0
22	Feb_2_2015	72.38	71.31	70.68	71.42			70.18(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-9	11	7.45	58%	-0.07	-35.5	1.82%	0	-0.6	44	0
23	Jan_30_2015	72.43	71.49	70.66	71.98			70.8(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	7	12	5.44	58%	-0.06	-28.2	1.83%	0	-0.4	39	0
24	Jan_29_2015	72.47	71.62	70.59	71.55			72.19(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	6	-20	4.2	61%	-0.01	-38.3	1.83%	0	0.3	41	0
25	Jan_28_2015	72.48	71.7	70.4	71.19			71.5(-1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	7	-39	5.96	61%		-44.2	1.85%	0	-0.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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