Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $41.2800 (-2.18%) ($41.0300 - $42.0700) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $41.2800(-2.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(48%)    EWG(47%)    XLP(47%)    EWP(44%)    EWI(43%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $42.49
5 Day Moving Average   $41.75(-1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.09(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.49(-2.85%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $102.725b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 4.12% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2011	42.29	42.49	41.09	41.75			41.28(-2.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	3	-72	4.6	43%	0.07	-21.1	1.69%	0	-0.7	38	0
2	Aug_17_2011	42.26	42.62	41.17	41.65			42.2(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	20	-92	4.35	44%	0.09	-20.3	1.67%	0	-0.2	39	0
3	Aug_16_2011	42.22	42.66	41.27	40.98			41.85(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-30	-10000	5	-136	2.99	44%	0.12	-32.5	1.67%	0	-0.5	41	0
4	Aug_15_2011	42.17	42.71	41.46	40.8			42.11(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-25	-10000	16	-148	2.46	44%	0.09	-37.5	1.67%	0	-0.4	39	0
5	Aug_12_2011	42.13	42.76	41.66	40.26			41.3(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-48	-10000	-3	-182	3.24	43%	0.1	-47.2	1.65%	0	-0.9	40	0

6	Aug_11_2011	42.09	42.86	41.95	40.37			40.81(5.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-50	-10000	-8	-177	4.3	43%	0.07	-49.2	1.65%	0	-1.2	40	0
7	Aug_10_2011	42.06	42.97	42.35	40.64			38.84(-5.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-68	-10000	-30	-182	7.39	37%	0.02	-50.5	1.52%	0	-2.6	30	0
8	Aug_9_2011	42.05	43.22	42.92	41.6			40.92(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-10000	-21	-133	6.08	42%	0.07	-43.2	1.39%	0	-1.8	43	0
9	Aug_8_2011	42.02	43.36	43.32	42.23			39.44(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-51	-10000	-36	-95	7.27	36%	0.05	-32.8	1.3%	0	-3.3	35	0
10	Aug_5_2011	42	43.57	43.84	43.24			41.82(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-22	-10000	-22	-22	6.53	42%	0.12	-12.8	1.1%	0	-2.1	45	0

11	Aug_4_2011	41.95	43.7	44.06	43.76			42.2(-3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-12	-10000	-22	20	5.57	42%	0.14	13.3	1.1%	0	-2.1	45	0
12	Aug_3_2011	41.89	43.7	44.25	44.3			43.63(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	17	-10000	-6	84	4.01	47%	0.14	49.3	1.02%	0	-0.3	60	0
13	Aug_2_2011	41.83	43.79	44.2	44.43			44.07(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-7	90	2.89	47%	0.12	67.8	1.02%	0	0.4	56	0
14	Aug_1_2011	41.78	43.75	44.09	44.6			44.47(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	3	102	3.57	47%	0.14	89.3	1.01%	0	1.1	59	0
15	Jul_29_2011	41.72	43.68	43.95	44.54			44.42(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	6	97	2.91	47%	0.14	99.3	1.02%	0	1.1	60	0

16	Jul_28_2011	41.66	43.6	43.83	44.41			44.91(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	-10000	10	80	2.97	48%	0.17	108.8	1.01%	0	2	53	0
17	Jul_27_2011	41.59	43.48	43.61	44.2			44.3(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	13	53	3.31	51%	0.14	117.4	1%	0	1.4	52	0
18	Jul_26_2011	41.53	43.36	43.52	43.92			44.89(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	17	30	4.6	54%	0.17	96.8	1.07%	0	2.3	59	0
19	Jul_25_2011	41.46	43.18	43.35	43.52			44.18(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	-10000	11	0	2.69	51%	0.14	73.1	1.06%	0	1.4	58	0
20	Jul_22_2011	41.4	43.04	43.25	43.27			43.75(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	4	-18	1.15	51%	0.12	58.2	1.05%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Jul_21_2011	41.35	42.91	43.28	43.17			43.89(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	10	-8	1.9	51%	0.15	49.8	1.06%	0	1.1	60	0
22	Jul_20_2011	41.29	42.79	43.27	42.94			42.9(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-5	-16	2.04	50%	0.12	40.5	1.02%	0	0.1	56	0
23	Jul_19_2011	41.24	42.72	43.34	43.05			42.87(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	13	1.31	50%	0.1	38.2	1.05%	0	0.2	63	0
24	Jul_18_2011	41.2	42.66	43.38	43.16			42.93(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	48	1.47	48%	0.12	38.8	1.05%	0	0.3	68	0
25	Jul_15_2011	41.15	42.59	43.4	43.22			43.28(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-8	71	2.93	48%		38	1.06%	0	0.7	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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