Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $39.7700 (0.73%) ($39.4500 - $39.9500) on Tue. Sep. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $39.7700(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(49%)    EWG(48%)    XLP(48%)    EEM(44%)    EWI(44%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(0%)    GLD(4%)    IGOV(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.46(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.09(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.42(3.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $98.968b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2010	35.95	38.42	39.09	39.46			39.77(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	7	121	1.12	61%	0.03	62	1.25%	0	1.6	78	0
2	Sep_13_2010	35.94	38.32	38.89	39.29			39.48(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	2	106	1.2	61%	0.03	68.4	1.25%	0	1.5	63	0
3	Sep_10_2010	35.93	38.25	38.74	39.25			39.44(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	110	0.99	65%	0.03	82.4	1.27%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Sep_9_2010	35.92	38.14	38.56	39.15			39.5(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	6	109	1.27	65%	0.03	88.4	1.28%	0	1.9	69	0
5	Sep_8_2010	35.91	37.99	38.35	39.01			39.1(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	14	98	1.25	65%	-0.03	83.9	1.28%	0	1.5	58	0

6	Sep_7_2010	35.92	37.9	38.16	38.67			38.91(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	10	64	1.79	65%	-0.11	83	1.28%	0	1.5	55	0
7	Sep_3_2010	35.96	37.79	38.06	38.42			39.29(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	10	46	2.01	60%	0	76.6	1.33%	0	2.1	59	0
8	Sep_2_2010	35.96	37.65	37.87	38.16			38.95(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	11	23	2.32	63%	-0.03	78.1	1.33%	0	1.9	56	0
9	Sep_1_2010	35.97	37.51	37.7	37.88			38.78(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	10	5	3.05	63%	0	75.1	1.38%	0	1.9	63	0
10	Aug_31_2010	35.97	37.38	37.61	37.61			37.4(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	2	1	1.55	60%	-0.06	74.3	1.32%	0	0	61	0

11	Aug_30_2010	35.99	37.33	37.68	37.57			37.68(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-2	4	1.23	60%	-0.06	67.6	1.32%	0	0.5	53	0
12	Aug_27_2010	36.01	37.25	37.71	37.63			37.98(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	4	24	1.24	63%	0	56.4	1.32%	0	0.9	59	0
13	Aug_26_2010	36.01	37.12	37.72	37.54			37.56(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	2	35	1.24	61%	-0.06	42.6	1.36%	0	0.5	60	0
14	Aug_25_2010	36.03	37.01	37.69	37.49			37.43(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-5	40	1.2	61%	-0.03	32.3	1.38%	0	0.4	62	0
15	Aug_24_2010	36.04	36.91	37.61	37.61			37.18(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-7	50	1.65	61%	-0.03	31.5	1.38%	0	0.3	60	0

16	Aug_23_2010	36.05	36.87	37.64	37.79			38.01(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	-0	80	1.91	64%	0.06	36.9	1.36%	0	1.2	66	0
17	Aug_20_2010	36.03	36.8	37.52	37.8			37.54(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-5	90	0.97	60%	-0.06	41.3	1.35%	0	0.8	66	0
18	Aug_19_2010	36.05	36.74	37.43	37.92			37.29(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	29	-10000	1	114	1.78	61%	-0.03	47.1	1.4%	0	0.6	70	0
19	Aug_18_2010	36.06	36.71	37.33	37.9			38.01(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	12	133	1.11	61%	0	44.6	1.39%	0	1.5	78	0
20	Aug_17_2010	36.06	36.62	37.15	37.59			38.12(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	5	117	2.12	61%	0	37	1.43%	0	1.8	74	0

21	Aug_16_2010	36.06	36.52	36.97	37.45			38.05(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	9	113	1.79	61%	0	40	1.43%	0	2	63	0
22	Aug_13_2010	36.06	36.43	36.76	37.21			38.14(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	12	91	2.65	57%	0	42.4	1.47%	0	2.6	58	0
23	Aug_12_2010	36.06	36.33	36.46	36.88			37.2(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	8	57	1.82	55%	-0.06	46.3	1.45%	0	1.5	55	0
24	Aug_11_2010	36.08	36.32	36.26	36.68			36.46(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	2	28	2.2	53%	-0.06	58.4	1.43%	0	0.3	48	0
25	Aug_10_2010	36.1	36.31	36.16	36.63			37.4(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	9	19	1.45	59%		70.1	1.39%	0	1.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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