Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $39.5000 (0.71%) ($38.8900 - $39.5300) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $39.5000(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)    XLP(49%)    EWI(45%)    EWP(45%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(5%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.08(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.1(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.08(1.07%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $98.296b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2009	35.71	39.08	39.1	39.08			39.5(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	3	-15	0.5	68%	0.28	20	1.55%	0	1.1	51	0
2	Sep_9_2009	35.61	39.07	39.05	38.99			39.22(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	4	-18	1.21	68%	0.25	16.5	1.55%	0	0.4	53	0
3	Sep_8_2009	35.52	39.04	39.04	38.88			39.02(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-1	-24	0.64	68%	0.4	5	1.55%	0	-0.1	53	0
4	Sep_4_2009	35.38	39.03	39.08	38.9			39.04(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	-1	-13	0.8	68%	0.23	5	1.55%	0	0	59	0
5	Sep_3_2009	35.3	39.02	39.17	38.92			38.6(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10000	-6	-0	0.82	68%	0.23	10.9	1.54%	0	-1	53	0

6	Sep_2_2009	35.22	39.01	39.17	39.11			39.06(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-1	17	1.61	68%	0.26	22.2	1.56%	0	0.1	53	0
7	Sep_1_2009	35.13	39	39.25	39.13			38.69(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-3	16	1.3	68%	0.26	29.6	1.56%	0	-0.7	45	0
8	Aug_31_2009	35.04	39.02	39.28	39.22			39.1(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-2	24	0.98	68%	0.11	40	1.56%	0	0.2	56	0
9	Aug_28_2009	35	39.01	39.21	39.29			39.14(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-6	21	0.64	68%	0.29	45.1	1.56%	0	0.3	53	0
10	Aug_27_2009	34.9	38.97	39.15	39.47			39.58(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	32	1.35	68%	0.26	56.5	1.55%	0	1.4	57	0

11	Aug_26_2009	34.81	38.91	39.15	39.42			39.13(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	-10000	1	36	0.91	68%	0.26	55.8	1.55%	0	0.5	60	0
12	Aug_25_2009	34.72	38.88	39.08	39.4			39.15(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	2	38	0.9	68%	0.26	60.2	1.56%	0	0.6	51	0
13	Aug_24_2009	34.63	38.85	39.03	39.34			39.44(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	8	34	1.5	68%	0.26	61.9	1.57%	0	1.3	54	0
14	Aug_21_2009	34.54	38.81	38.97	39.1			40.03(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	13	-10000	10	21	1.42	68%	0.26	57.7	1.56%	0	2.8	58	0
15	Aug_20_2009	34.45	38.72	38.84	38.79			39.37(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	4	-10000	3	7	0.74	67%	0.23	76.5	1.55%	0	2	60	0

16	Aug_19_2009	34.37	38.67	38.72	38.69			39.01(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-2	-10000	-1	-3	0.92	67%	0.23	87.5	1.56%	0	1	56	0
17	Aug_18_2009	34.29	38.62	38.71	38.73			38.84(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	2	6	1.07	67%	0.26	110.2	1.56%	0	0.6	55	0
18	Aug_17_2009	34.2	38.58	38.72	38.68			38.25(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	1.32	67%	0.26	116.3	1.56%	0	-0.9	46	0
19	Aug_14_2009	34.11	38.57	38.8	38.81			38.5(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-2	14	0.83	67%	0.24	93.6	1.57%	0	-0.1	49	0
20	Aug_13_2009	34.03	38.47	38.79	38.88			38.86(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	5	21	1	67%	0.27	94.4	1.57%	0	0.6	57	0

21	Aug_12_2009	33.94	38.38	38.75	38.74			39.22(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	2	13	1.83	70%	0.3	84.7	1.57%	0	1.1	59	0
22	Aug_11_2009	33.84	38.25	38.66	38.69			38.59(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-3	13	1.17	69%	0.27	86.8	1.61%	0	0.4	60	0
23	Aug_10_2009	33.75	38.15	38.67	38.77			38.9(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	0.89	69%	0.3	92.2	1.6%	0	0.8	59	0
24	Aug_7_2009	33.65	38.01	38.64	38.79			38.83(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	4	34	0.98	69%	0.3	84.3	1.6%	0	0.8	62	0
25	Aug_6_2009	33.55	37.84	38.59	38.68			38.17(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-2	44	1.27	67%		80.4	1.6%	0	0.3	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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