Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 7, 2005

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $50.4900 (0.58%) ($50.2500 - $50.6400) on Wed. Sep. 7, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $50.4900(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(53%)    SPY(53%)    EWI(49%)    XLP(49%)    EWP(48%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.69(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.74(3.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.34(4.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $125.644b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2005	48.72	48.34	48.74	49.69			50.49(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	-10000	25	156	1.23	54%	0.04	56.5	0.77%	0	2.4	71	0
2	Sep_6_2005	48.7	48.19	48.44	49.21			50.2(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	49	-10000	28	112	0.97	54%	0.08	49.4	0.77%	0	2.7	71	0
3	Sep_2_2005	48.66	48.07	48.22	48.69			49.61(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	-10000	24	74	0.57	52%	0.04	42.1	0.76%	0	2.7	67	0
4	Sep_1_2005	48.64	47.96	48.07	48.25			49.45(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	23	-10000	18	37	0.82	52%	0.06	29.2	0.76%	0	3.2	65	0
5	Aug_31_2005	48.61	47.88	47.93	47.93			48.72(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	15	-10000	16	13	0.85	47%	0.04	18.5	0.74%	0	2.7	59	0

6	Aug_30_2005	48.59	47.84	47.84	47.64			48.05(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	0	-10000	5	-15	0.97	43%	0.04	11.5	0.72%	0	0.8	56	0
7	Aug_29_2005	48.57	47.84	47.81	47.55			47.61(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-8	-29	0.44	39%	0.02	24.1	0.71%	0	-0.8	49	0
8	Aug_26_2005	48.56	47.82	47.84	47.69			47.44(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-9	-18	0.57	39%	0.04	51.9	0.72%	0	-1.5	43	0
9	Aug_25_2005	48.54	47.83	47.84	47.84			47.82(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-6	3	0.63	42%	0.02	88.5	0.71%	0	-0	54	0
10	Aug_24_2005	48.53	47.82	47.89	47.94			47.3(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-3	-10000	-7	11	0.69	37%	0.02	88.1	0.7%	0	-1.6	41	0

11	Aug_23_2005	48.52	47.81	47.94	48.06			47.58(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-2	20	1.51	37%	0.06	75.6	0.7%	0	-0.6	43	0
12	Aug_22_2005	48.49	47.76	47.96	48.1			48.3(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	26	0.85	41%	0.06	68.1	0.68%	0	1.2	59	0
13	Aug_19_2005	48.46	47.69	47.92	48			48.21(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	4	23	0.98	41%	0.04	48.6	0.68%	0	1	63	0
14	Aug_18_2005	48.44	47.61	47.86	47.94			48.29(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	5	19	1.19	41%	0.04	32.4	0.69%	0	1.4	67	0
15	Aug_17_2005	48.42	47.54	47.86	47.86			47.91(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	4	16	0.99	37%	0.06	14.9	0.69%	0	0.8	55	0

16	Aug_16_2005	48.39	47.5	47.82	47.8			47.77(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	27	0.78	37%	0.04	-3	0.69%	0	0.6	66	0
17	Aug_15_2005	48.37	47.46	47.83	47.79			47.84(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-1	49	1.63	37%	-0.02	-13.9	0.69%	0	0.8	73	0
18	Aug_12_2005	48.38	47.46	47.8	47.81			47.88(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	1.9	37%	0.04	-20.8	0.7%	0	0.9	65	0
19	Aug_11_2005	48.36	47.45	47.76	47.76			47.9(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-10000	-1	75	0.46	37%	0.04	-23.2	0.7%	0	0.8	69	0
20	Aug_10_2005	48.34	47.47	47.74	47.77			47.63(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-4	87	1.31	33%	0.02	-19.2	0.7%	0	0.3	58	0

21	Aug_9_2005	48.33	47.51	47.67	47.84			47.72(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-2	93	1.03	33%	0.02	-11.3	0.72%	0	0.4	58	0
22	Aug_8_2005	48.32	47.53	47.56	47.87			47.94(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	5	92	0.67	33%	0.02	-8.5	0.72%	0	0.7	61	0
23	Aug_5_2005	48.31	47.54	47.45	47.79			47.63(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	2	73	0.57	33%	-0.02	-11.3	0.71%	0	0.1	49	0
24	Aug_4_2005	48.32	47.57	47.35	47.75			47.93(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	4	47	0.98	33%	0	-14.8	0.72%	0	0.6	47	0
25	Aug_3_2005	48.32	47.58	47.25	47.69			48(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	12	21	1.29	41%		-21.2	0.72%	0	0.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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