Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 16, 2004

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $46.7600 (2.1%) ($46.1500 - $46.8800) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $46.7600(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(52%)    SPY(52%)    XLP(49%)    EWI(48%)    EWP(48%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.75(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.32(3.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.19(5.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $116.362b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2004	42.42	44.19	45.32	45.75			46.76(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	53	-10000	13	173	2.17	61%	0.14	22.8	1.1%	0	2	83	0
2	Dec_15_2004	42.36	44.08	45.01	45.42			45.8(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	8	169	1.15	59%	0.12	20.8	1.07%	0	1.5	81	0
3	Dec_14_2004	42.31	44.02	44.77	45.23			45.58(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	4	165	0.87	61%	0.14	19.3	1.08%	0	1.4	80	0
4	Dec_13_2004	42.25	43.97	44.47	45.12			45.8(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	-10000	10	160	1.81	62%	0.14	19.8	1.09%	0	1.7	79	0
5	Dec_10_2004	42.19	43.92	44.18	44.87			44.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	2	147	0.92	60%	0.09	16.8	1.07%	0	0.9	75	0

6	Dec_9_2004	42.15	43.89	43.97	44.81			45.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	11	138	1.23	60%	0.12	16.1	1.07%	0	1.2	63	0
7	Dec_8_2004	42.1	43.84	43.73	44.54			44.87(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	13	94	1.54	61%	0.12	9.5	1.07%	0	1.1	45	0
8	Dec_7_2004	42.05	43.81	43.49	44.22			45.05(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	21	47	2.16	58%	0.14	7.8	1.07%	0	1.3	46	0
9	Dec_6_2004	41.99	43.76	43.25	43.72			44.52(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	14	-15	1.56	57%	0.12	-1.4	1.09%	0	0.8	45	0
10	Dec_3_2004	41.94	43.75	43.06	43.39			44.55(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	16	-63	2.24	57%	0.14	-1.9	1.1%	0	0.9	43	0

11	Dec_2_2004	41.88	43.73	42.94	43.01			43.73(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-20	-10000	9	-106	1.75	54%	0.1	-3.4	1.08%	0	0	42	0
12	Dec_1_2004	41.84	43.75	43.04	42.79			43.25(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	6	-117	1.67	53%	0.07	-2.9	1.07%	0	-0.5	41	0
13	Nov_30_2004	41.81	43.74	43.2	42.65			42.54(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-2	-128	1.41	50%	0.05	-2.3	1.05%	0	-1.3	31	0
14	Nov_29_2004	41.79	43.77	43.41	42.7			42.88(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	1	-120	0.96	50%	0.05	6.8	1.05%	0	-1	36	0
15	Nov_26_2004	41.77	43.77	43.62	42.68			42.65(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	-8	-119	0.34	53%	0.07	9.9	1.05%	0	-1.2	33	0

16	Nov_24_2004	41.74	43.76	43.81	42.87			42.65(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-20	-109	0.61	55%	0.05	16	1.08%	0	-1.2	33	0
17	Nov_23_2004	41.72	43.77	43.98	43.34			42.55(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-21	-77	0.86	55%	0.02	31.6	1.08%	0	-1.2	35	0
18	Nov_22_2004	41.71	43.76	44.18	43.84			42.77(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-19	-10000	-17	-24	1.1	55%	0.05	42.5	1.08%	0	-0.9	54	0
19	Nov_19_2004	41.69	43.71	44.35	44.24			42.77(-1.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-10	-10000	-19	16	2.4	55%	0.05	50.2	1.08%	0	-0.8	51	0
20	Nov_18_2004	41.67	43.67	44.53	44.69			43.59(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-10000	-8	78	2.1	59%	0.05	61.1	1.05%	0	-0.1	65	0

21	Nov_17_2004	41.65	43.61	44.62	44.87			45.04(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	39	-10000	7	134	1.3	62%	0.07	68.6	0.97%	0	1.2	82	0
22	Nov_16_2004	41.62	43.46	44.53	44.71			45.01(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	5	140	1.63	64%	0.07	68.5	0.99%	0	1.3	75	0
23	Nov_15_2004	41.59	43.31	44.32	44.59			44.77(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	4	143	0.77	64%	0.05	66.4	1.01%	0	1.2	78	0
24	Nov_12_2004	41.57	43.14	44.16	44.49			45.02(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	6	159	1.06	64%	0.07	63.4	1.01%	0	1.6	83	0
25	Nov_11_2004	41.54	42.96	43.9	44.36			44.51(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	1	161	0.93	62%		59.6	1.01%	0	1.3	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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