Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: GSK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(GlaxoSmithKline plc )
GSK latest price $44.3700 (0.5%) ($43.4400 - $44.4000) on Thu. Nov. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $44.3700(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GSK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GSK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GSK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(52%)    SPY(52%)    XLP(49%)    EWI(48%)    EWP(48%)
Factors Impacting GSK price   GSK will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.37(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.74(3.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.29(4.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $110.415b

GlaxoSmithKline Plc is a healthcare company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals, Vaccines, Consumer Healthcare, and Corporate Executive Team (CET). The Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on developing medicines in respiratory and infectious diseases, oncology, and immuno-inflammation. The Vaccines segment produces pediatric and adult vaccines to prevent a range of infectious diseases including, hepatitis A and B, diphtheria, tetanus and whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella, polio, typhoid, influenza, and bacterial meningitis. The Consumer Healthcare segment develops and markets brands in the oral health, pain relief, respiratory, nutrition and gastro intestinal, and skin health categories. The CET segment refers to the management of business activities. The company was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Middlesex, the United Kingdom.

$. GSK price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2004	41.46	42.29	42.74	43.37			44.37(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	43	-10000	18	117	1.91	59%	0.02	13.5	1.04%	0	2.6	76	0
2	Nov_3_2004	41.45	42.15	42.51	42.96			44.15(3.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	35	-10000	13	99	2.37	59%	0.07	-13	1.04%	0	2.9	77	0
3	Nov_2_2004	41.42	42.08	42.29	42.66			42.84(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	89	2.59	54%	0.02	-33.3	0.98%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Nov_1_2004	41.41	42.08	42.2	42.48			43.1(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	16	79	2	54%	0.05	-37.7	0.98%	0	1.5	60	0
5	Oct_29_2004	41.39	42.11	42.04	42.16			42.4(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	8	46	1.27	52%	0	-42	0.96%	0	0.4	54	0

6	Oct_28_2004	41.39	42.18	41.94	42.01			42.31(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	1	21	1.36	52%	-0.02	-39.1	0.96%	0	0.2	50	0
7	Oct_27_2004	41.4	42.24	41.83	41.99			42.65(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	6	12	1.19	54%	0	-33	0.96%	0	0.5	57	0
8	Oct_26_2004	41.4	42.29	41.83	41.99			41.95(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	0	-21	1.4	51%	-0.02	-31.9	0.96%	0	-0.4	37	0
9	Oct_25_2004	41.41	42.35	41.7	41.87			41.51(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-0	-44	0.82	49%	-0.02	-31.9	0.96%	0	-0.9	27	0
10	Oct_22_2004	41.42	42.42	41.75	41.88			41.62(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	-10000	1	-63	1.05	53%	0	-32.9	0.96%	0	-0.9	32	0

11	Oct_21_2004	41.42	42.5	41.81	41.85			42.2(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	10	-85	1.25	56%	0.02	-34.7	0.98%	0	-0.3	30	0
12	Oct_20_2004	41.41	42.53	41.77	41.64			42.09(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-10000	6	-129	1.11	58%	-0.02	-40.6	0.98%	0	-0.5	33	0
13	Oct_19_2004	41.42	42.57	41.85	41.51			41.95(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-38	-10000	-0	-151	1.78	58%	0.02	-43.1	1%	0	-0.7	31	0
14	Oct_18_2004	41.41	42.64	42	41.52			41.55(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-10000	-4	-152	1.23	58%	-0.02	-41.7	0.99%	0	-1.3	34	0
15	Oct_15_2004	41.42	42.71	42.17	41.61			41.47(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-7	-142	1.09	55%	-0.05	-37.4	0.99%	0	-1.5	40	0

16	Oct_14_2004	41.44	42.79	42.42	41.76			41.15(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-7	-120	1.03	55%	-0.05	-27	1%	0	-2.2	35	0
17	Oct_13_2004	41.46	42.88	42.68	41.91			41.45(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-15	-103	0.83	55%	-0.02	-16.7	1%	0	-2.1	39	0
18	Oct_12_2004	41.47	42.95	42.92	42.23			41.98(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-16	-69	0.9	58%	0	6.6	1%	0	-1.6	43	0
19	Oct_11_2004	41.47	43	43.07	42.56			41.99(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-12	-42	1.05	58%	0	40.6	1.01%	0	-1.8	39	0
20	Oct_8_2004	41.47	43.02	43.17	42.83			42.21(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-16	-24	1.05	58%	0	58.3	1.01%	0	-1.4	46	0

21	Oct_7_2004	41.47	43	43.26	43.19			41.9(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-12	-10000	-17	3	2.92	58%	-0.02	69.9	1%	0	-1.7	42	0
22	Oct_6_2004	41.48	42.99	43.26	43.56			43.05(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-8	41	1.49	64%	0.02	79.4	0.94%	0	0.1	55	0
23	Oct_5_2004	41.47	42.91	43.38	43.72			43.64(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	65	1.08	67%	0.05	72.4	0.94%	0	0.8	65	0
24	Oct_4_2004	41.45	42.77	43.34	43.65			43.37(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	5	68	0.79	67%	0.02	70.6	0.94%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Oct_1_2004	41.44	42.67	43.29	43.55			44.01(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	10	72	0.92	67%		64.9	0.93%	0	1.5	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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