Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GRPN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 2, 2018

Trading Signals: GRPN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 4, 2011 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Groupon Inc)
GRPN latest price $104.8000 (2.75%) ($102.8000 - $105.2000) on Tue. Jan. 2, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.32% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $104.8000(2.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   GRPN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GRPN declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GRPN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(46%)    IWM(45%)    IWC(44%)    PEJ(44%)    IBUY(43%)
Factors Impacting GRPN price   GRPN will decline at least -1.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.16% (StdDev 2.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $96.42(-8%)
Resistance Level   $108.38
5 Day Moving Average   $102.84(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.68(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.38(-3.3%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $3.006b

Groupon, Inc. operates as a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. The firm provides marketing services by selling vouchers through online local marketplaces. It operates through North America and International segment. The company was founded by Andrew D. Mason, Eric Paul Lefkofsky, and Bradley A. Keywell on January 15, 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. GRPN price fluctuates within 4.59% (three month std-dev: 2.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.26%(25%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.44%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -3.45%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 5.11%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.75%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2018	99.03	108.38	104.68	102.84	102.72	103.03	104.8(2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	20	29	-73	0.42	52%	0.46	-57.1	2.32%	0	-0.7	23	INF
2	Dec_29_2017	98.58	108.77	104.75	102.68	102.53	101.84	102(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-50	-33	-124	0.24	53%	0.22	-59.3	2.31%	0	-1.3	19	INF
3	Dec_28_2017	98.36	109.33	105.19	103.76	103.4	102.41	101.2(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-68	-80	-46	-132	0.2	53%	0.23	-57.4	2.36%	0	-1.7	23	INF
4	Dec_27_2017	98.13	110.05	106.1	105.08	104.85	103.23	102.2(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-67	-110	-46	-128	0.16	55%	0.21	-51	2.37%	0	-1.7	22	INF
5	Dec_26_2017	97.92	110.78	106.98	106.08	105.96	104.39	104(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-80	-110	-63	-129	0.31	57%	0.39	-41.8	2.39%	0	-1.6	30	INF

6	Dec_22_2017	97.54	111.29	108.23	106.76	107.06	106.48	104(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-30	-28	-103	0.25	57%	0.2	-36.3	2.4%	0	-1.8	29	INF
7	Dec_21_2017	97.35	111.84	109.43	107.08	107.31	107.53	107.4(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	20	4	-82	0.32	61%	0.24	-30.5	2.36%	0	-1.2	40	INF
8	Dec_20_2017	97.12	112.17	110.11	106.84	106.94	107.64	107.8(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	50	5	-81	0.17	61%	0.31	-22.5	2.38%	0	-1.2	40	INF
9	Dec_19_2017	96.82	112.42	110.89	107.32	107.16	107.1	107.2(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-10	1	-77	0.38	61%	0.34	-8.5	2.39%	0	-1.5	34	INF
10	Dec_18_2017	96.49	112.62	111.6	108.08	108.05	106.25	107.4(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-120	-58	-97	0.41	61%	0.32	2.8	2.39%	0	-1.6	33	INF

11	Dec_15_2017	96.18	112.77	112.35	110.04	109.84	107.23	105.6(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-101	-170	-104	-91	0.56	61%	0.32	23.5	2.39%	0	-2.3	37	INF
12	Dec_14_2017	95.87	112.99	113.13	112.16	112.51	109.85	106.2(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-83	-160	-89	-64	0.38	61%	0.33	42.6	2.39%	0	-2.4	36	INF
13	Dec_13_2017	95.55	112.98	113.88	113.8	114.34	112.45	110.2(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-100	-80	-42	0.36	64%	0.38	43.7	2.35%	0	-0.9	45	INF
14	Dec_12_2017	95.19	112.72	114.41	114.92	115.43	115.18	111(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-0	-31	-3	1.08	64%	0.41	39.6	2.34%	0	-0.5	50	INF
15	Dec_11_2017	94.8	112.53	114.97	115.56	115.76	116.23	117.2(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	25	41	0.34	69%	0.47	38.6	2.24%	0	1.2	69	INF

16	Dec_8_2017	94.36	112.04	114.62	115.04	115.13	115.68	116.2(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	40	21	43	0.32	69%	0.43	33.1	2.24%	0	1.1	69	INF
17	Dec_7_2017	93.96	111.81	114.42	114.32	114.65	115.29	114.4(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	50	28	49	0.28	69%	0.37	37.6	2.23%	0	0.7	68	INF
18	Dec_6_2017	93.61	111.66	114.35	114	113.93	114.58	115.8(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	40	17	62	0.37	69%	0.41	47.9	2.23%	0	1.1	80	INF
19	Dec_5_2017	93.23	111.3	114.01	113.88	113.67	114.01	114.2(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	20	8	77	0.29	66%	0.4	66.4	2.23%	0	0.8	79	INF
20	Dec_4_2017	92.86	111.06	113.65	114.32	114.03	113.28	114.6(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-50	-6	87	0.54	66%	0.38	94.9	2.27%	0	1	69	INF

21	Dec_1_2017	92.51	110.78	113.16	114.16	114.49	113.33	112.6(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-60	-38	79	0.42	66%	0.37	120.2	2.28%	0	0.5	63	INF
22	Nov_30_2017	92.17	110.44	112.82	114.52	114.75	114.78	112.8(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	10	-21	85	0.58	68%	0.39	137.7	2.3%	0	0.7	51	INF
23	Nov_29_2017	91.81	109.94	112.06	114.68	114.84	115.65	115.2(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	50	32	95	0.54	70%	0.44	139.8	2.28%	0	1.4	55	INF
24	Nov_28_2017	91.41	109	110.95	114.12	114.26	114.73	116.4(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	30	38	80	0.57	70%	0.48	113.4	2.3%	0	1.5	63	INF
25	Nov_27_2017	90.97	107.85	109.92	112.88	113.24	114.03	113.8(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	60	23	51	0.36	70%		91.2	2.3%	0	1.1	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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